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UFC 253: Adesanya v Costa

careto said:
Im more interested in seeing Sadistics early leans on the fights rather than in the betting slips. At the end of the day, who cares what odds he got? We are not benefting from those odds, but we are benefitting from his picks.
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in sadistics case, it’s not broke don’t fix it

I feel like it’s been a bit of a double edged sword for me
 
For the ME I think it’s too risky to bet either fighter with so many possibilities where the fight goes.

I’m leaning towards a large bet on Izzy if he makes it past round two without too many issues. Like previously said, Izzy will make Costa use more energy than any other fighter has. He will slow badly in 3, 4 and 5.

however I can still see him catching Izzy in 1 or 2

Not many other bets for me with this card apart from:

Ibragimov
Vieira DEC
Reyes V Jan over 1.5 rounds
 
One bet I considered was costa 1,2,3 around +240 i think it was
and then Izzy round 4,5 dec +200.
1u each. But the times you lose both bets is horrible - thats why keeping track of this stuff is so important, or you may think you win or lose without actually knowing it.
I like the over in izzy/costa but prefer izzy again unless he´s too gunshy, but doubt it, I like his size too, I feared the size would be bigger. Initially I was on Costa, he does land a ton, but Hall did pretty well against him. He can definitely win this fight, but Izzy should have more tools, if Izzy is Izzy then he wins, he does have to do what he do best to win this, but thats also how to beat a guy like Costa, that or be even bigger and more natural than him that is.
 
I would problary bet Ibragimov either by Dec or Ko need see weigh ins before decision. After looking at his opponents ugh not really good record. No offense but he wasn't facing the better of opponents. They should made him faced different ones.
 
Lines on camur and ibragimov are tightening up. -150 range on both. 100 parlays wins 180... not bad at all

Also, I have no aliases nor have I ever trolled

I'm the only guy on the thread on Shane Young, he's in the + money now. Im patiently waiting for the +120 spot that that will soon come. Meth of victory ludovit by KO +260 and dhane young +960 by sub at fanduel. Both sexy sexy picks. If young don't get sparked out he will be able to pressure and get to klein, might take his back in scrambles. RNC a possibility

Charlo can't beat deverychenko. He can't deal with angles. SD will be exiting the pocket to side and never a straight right standing in pocket. Hell be moving and hitting him w combos.. Major problems for Charlo. Only thing preventing large bet is the judging and the promotion is fully charlo

Royval and da silva hold massive value. I think both can win. Royval should win

Line tightening back up on Reyes. Back to -260 range. Great parlay pieces
 
I will get hated for this but i will be on Eubanks small bet on her.
Vieira could ruin my parlays with a sub so i might bet her as well.
 
GoldenWolf87 said:
I will get hated for this but i will be on Eubanks small bet on her.
Vieira could ruin my parlays with a sub so i might bet her as well.
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Going for the dog in a wmma fight shouldn't get you flak, certainly more reasonable than your obsession with gm3 last week. There's some red flags on vieria that would make me never bet on her at -200. I'm probably going to go with eubanks as well tbh.
 
Initially said:
What are the best book(s) in Vegas for MMA?

The lines at Aria/Paris are ridiculous(too spread, not enough props if any, approval for parlays/etc).

Looking for one with potentially point handicap spreads/good props/lines not that spread.

Any input is much obliged.
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SuperBook (Westgate's app) and the William Hill app.

Once you deposit money in-person at a casino in Nevada, you can download their app and bet from anywhere in Nevada. This also goes for Westgate and William Hill.
guesswhoseback said:
From my understanding no vegas sportsbook offers spreads
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There are no point spreads in Las Vegas yet.

Some books only offer money lines; some books offer money lines and props; some books offer money lines, props, and totals; and some offer limited versions of all three of the aforementioned.

I have 6 sportsbook apps on my phone for the above reason: Westgate, William Hill, MGM, Caesars, Wynn, and Circa.
Initially said:
What about prop bets for the whole card?

Last time I was there for Conor/Khabib, there were only props for the main event at all of the books on the strip.
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Read my previous quote.
 
Naught2Sixty said:
Lmao @ denouncing Sad's legitimacy. Dudes been robbing bookies longer than you white belts have had big boy hair on your tiny balls.
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Maybe these clowns are representatives from said bookies trying to drive sadistics away to put a stop to the bleeding from all the monies that they're losing from him and followers.
 
FimbulFightPicks said:
One bet I considered was costa 1,2,3 around +240 i think it was
and then Izzy round 4,5 dec +200.
1u each. But the times you lose both bets is horrible - thats why keeping track of this stuff is so important, or you may think you win or lose without actually knowing it.
I like the over in izzy/costa but prefer izzy again unless he´s too gunshy, but doubt it, I like his size too, I feared the size would be bigger. Initially I was on Costa, he does land a ton, but Hall did pretty well against him. He can definitely win this fight, but Izzy should have more tools, if Izzy is Izzy then he wins, he does have to do what he do best to win this, but thats also how to beat a guy like Costa, that or be even bigger and more natural than him that is.
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I'm seeing Costa KO anywhere from +200 to +275, really seems like his only PTV to me. I think his strikes per minute stat is a little inflated too. He has gotten an early break in all of his last 3 fights, due to either an eye poke or groin strike. Costa's best shot seems to be a groin strike.

His only 3rd round in the UFC was against Yoel "The Statue of God" Romero. Nice victory but barely winning a cardio contest against a 42 year old isn't the greatest look. I hope Stylebender prefers a steel cup.
 
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PuertoRican said:
SuperBook (Westgate's app) and the William Hill app.

Once you deposit money in-person at a casino in Nevada, you can download their app and bet from anywhere in Nevada. This also goes for Westgate and William Hill.

There are no point spreads in Las Vegas yet.

Some books only offer money lines; some books offer money lines and props; some books offer money lines, props, and totals; and some offer limited versions of all three of the aforementioned.

I have 6 sportsbook apps on my phone for the above reason: Westgate, William Hill, MGM, Caesars, Wynn, and Circa.

Read my previous quote.
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Awesome, thanks.

Although I do love having an actual bet slip in my hand while I'm in Vegas, this seems like the much more profitable way to go about gambling while I'm there.
 
TheFightDoctor said:
I live in New York, I work in.nEw york. I cant always physically be located in jersey. Bookmaker is great with same day payouts on weekdays. 5dimes and betonline are solid but bookmaker the best for 25% cash bonus on everything and I breeze thru the rollover. So can't just go to jersey like that
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ah I’m in NY too let’s grab a beer
 
Before covid. I'd go to fanduel for a lot of the fights. They habitually don't update their lines, u can catch bets both ways. Plus u gettin the ppv on the big screen and get drunk. Good night I go to straight out after
 
avid1 said:
What is Jan's most likely path to a win, KO? Can he take decision? Tempted to put some money on his decision @8.5
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I would say he could definitely get a decision, especially since Reyes took both of the championship rounds off against Jones last time out, although I don't know if either guy's cardio is amazing in a five round fight.
 
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