UFC 223 - Ferguson vs. Nurmagomedov

[piglord]

In Vegas Rose is already at even. I will be in Vegas in a couple days (during the week but not on fight day) and all the lines I'm thinking of playing are getting worse. I might be passing on a lot of bets if they are too expensive.

i actually want to bet joanna, reckon there is any hope for + money before fight night?

 

[Wiktoruspro]

Guys I have to admit I feel stupid. I watched more tape and Calvin is not a lock against Moicano. He eat Shanes leg kicks and I dont know if he will be able to defend Moicanos takedowns and how the leg kicks will affect his game. Im still on Calvin but not so confident like on begining.

 

[Gugabe]

what you descibed is exactly why i believe tonys gameplan will be to intentionally lose the first 7 minutes of the fight by being on the bottom with the whole objective of not taking too much damage in the attempt to gas khabib.

if tonys doenst suffer a 10-8 round or any cuts in the first ten minutes and is +500 or even a +400...just a great entry point

Prettymuch. I'm looking to get Ferg after a round or two for +500/600, and will be putting a bit on Khabib pre-match in order to hopefully easily flip -220 for a 10% cash-out/free roll on the Ferg comeback.

 

[Gugabe]

i actually want to bet joanna, reckon there is any hope for + money before fight night?

We'd need to see a shaky weigh-in, IMO. It's definitely possible, but I'm predicting a close at evens.

 

[quincy k]

i think joanna is going to successfully throw 100 strikes in the first round and that these two fights might go the way of rahman/lewis in boxing

to me, joahnna appears to be a mentally strong person and the ko loss is going to make her a better fighter

 

[iGnP]

i think joanna is going to successfully throw 100 strikes in the first round and that these two fights might go the way of rahman/lewis in boxing

to me, joahnna appears to be a mentally strong person and the ko loss is going to make her a better fighter

based on what?

 

[piglord]

We'd need to see a shaky weigh-in, IMO. It's definitely possible, but I'm predicting a close at evens.

weight looks like it's dialled in.

 

[joenewbie]

i actually want to bet joanna, reckon there is any hope for + money before fight night?

I think it's possible but it would happen on fight day. I have never bet online, only in Las Vegas so my experience is based only on that. The day of the fight there can be a lot of line movement. For GSP vs Bisping, GSP was a +125 underdog the weekend before, then was at even money in the morning on fight day when I put my money down, then moved to -140 at fight time.

Edit: I guess this is pretty much what Gugabe said just stated differently.

 

[joenewbie]

i think joanna is going to successfully throw 100 strikes in the first round and that these two fights might go the way of rahman/lewis in boxing

to me, joahnna appears to be a mentally strong person and the ko loss is going to make her a better fighter

I think she is mentally strong now but the first time Rose lands a good strike or if Rose gets a TD, will JJ wilt and break? I think she will.

 

[Naught2Sixty]

-125 for Joanna is still a screaming deal though.

 

[Sham5916910]

-125 for Joanna is still a screaming deal though.

For someone who basically folded every time rose hit her? Not for me.

 

[Wiktoruspro]

For someone who basically folded every time rose hit her? Not for me.

weigh cut issues ?

 

[quincy k]

based on what?

based on the fact that shes an excellent striker...by mens standards

 

[quincy k]

I think she is mentally strong now but the first time Rose lands a good strike or if Rose gets a TD, will JJ wilt and break? I think she will.

a mentally weak person would crumble and a mentally strong person will ktfo or get ktfo trying and jj is a superior striker than rose

the td is a problem but if jj can keep this standing she wins

 

[Sham5916910]

a mentally weak person would crumble and a mentally strong person will ktfo or get ktfo trying and jj is a superior striker than rose

the td is a problem but if jj can keep this standing she wins

Just like the first fight right?

 

[lilbloaty]

a mentally weak person would crumble and a mentally strong person will ktfo or get ktfo trying and jj is a superior striker than rose

the td is a problem but if jj can keep this standing she wins

This is the stupidest fucking thing I've ever read. Did you just not watch the first fight?

 

[lilbloaty]

weigh cut issues ?

Did she blame getting dropped by pillow fist karolina and grappler claudia on the weight cuts too?

She just has a bad chin. Bullshit excuse. Rose schooled her before the knockdowns.

 

[lilbloaty]

Lol @ people saying Joanna will win the rematch cause Rose is mentally weak. Only one of them tapped to strikes and made excuses

 

[iGnP]

I'm on Rose ITD and I haven't really heard anything from JJ backers that makes me less confident in my bet. It's more just conjecture of "JJ is a superior striker and Rose won on a fluke". Yeah... it could very well be true, but nothing from their first fight screamed fluke/luck to me

 

[Naught2Sixty]

It's also not like anyone is saying Rose is going to dominate the division or something. It just appears she has a tough style for JJ.