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UFC 198 - Curitiba - Werdum vs Miocic

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Jae Gibbz said:
So who are the people that lay like -4000 -5000 on X fighter to not win in R3 when that's like his best way of winning? This is just one example, you guys know what I'm talking about. I always wondered who the hell did such dumb bets like that. Who the f*** lays -5000 to begin with? How many of those in a parlay do you need to hit evens? has to be more than 25, right?
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Not gonna lie, there was a string of events between Oct - Dec where I would lay some considerable juice on 13 pick parlays of lines like those, least likely outcomes (like Not Brown by sub would be perfect example from this weekend)

I don't think any ever came out to an even pay out, think one or two were better than -200 lol stopped doing em after the three events in three days in December. I had one like 25 picks long and the ONLY one to bust was 'Not Edgar in round 1" at like -5000. Since then have said fuck that lol not worth it
 
Joseph Budden said:
Not gonna lie, there was a string of events between Oct - Dec where I would lay some considerable juice on 13 pick parlays of lines like those, least likely outcomes (like Not Brown by sub would be perfect example from this weekend)

I don't think any ever came out to an even pay out, think one or two were better than -200 lol stopped doing em after the three events in three days in December. I had one like 25 picks long and the ONLY one to bust was 'Not Edgar in round 1" at like -5000. Since then have said fuck that lol not worth it
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Yeah, I remember that. I mean, rarely I'll do a parlay of -1000s to the point where it pays even or close to it. HOWEVER, those -1000s have "value". -5000 is crazy, especially when it's a possible/likely route to victory. There are people in this world that have laid over -6000 on Matt Brown to not win in R3. Shit like that is just moronic. Obviously they are likely to hit it, but lol...
 
decisions U4.5 -146
decisions U3.5 +385

etc.

i see tons of finishes tomorrow in brazil

playing U4.5 and everything below.
 
I know this card looks like it will have a lot of finishes, but the o4.5 DEC and up pay very nicely, imo. I'm on them
 
haha EZ. I already knew you were eyeing the unders, fwiw
 
Besides FOTN, avoiding event props like the plague on this card. Could see a bunch of decisions, could see a bunch of finishes.
 
Joseph Budden said:
Besides FOTN, avoiding event props like the plague on this card. Could see a bunch of decisions, could see a bunch of finishes.
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At least half the fights being a DEC pays +341, that's crazy for a big cage. I'll take the risk
 
i hear you but i think this'll be a kinda nutty atmosphere in brazil.. refs might be quick on the tko's...
 
EzFlyer said:
i hear you but i think this'll be a kinda nutty atmosphere in brazil.. refs might be quick on the tko's...
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Yeah, I hear you, too. I doubt either of us have much risk on them anyways
 
img


how weird would it be if it did rain tomorrow night...
 
Hmm, I just thought of this, it won't be that super hot/humid atmosphere like most Brazil arenas. Less gassing possibly?
 
Joseph Budden said:
Besides FOTN, avoiding event props like the plague on this card. Could see a bunch of decisions, could see a bunch of finishes.
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look at your being so sensible lately...:)

PS I agree with what you said tho.
 
Hey fellas, need some of your brilliant advice here...I just have been so busy that I haven't had time to post regularly although I am +104 units I am +102 units over the last 60 and 90 days respectively in MMA so I still am doing quite well as I see a lot of you guys are.

But I need help here: so I made a few parlays a few months back but it's $500 for $3500 on the big one..should I let this ride or make any alterations? Thanks in advance for the advice!

[Ticket #: 2556xxxxx] PARLAY (8 TEAMS)
04/16/2016 @ 09:05 PM MU Fight has been canceled after Machida failed a drug test
LYOTO MACHIDA -330
JOHN DODSON -530
JON JONES -495
DEMETRIOUS JOHNSON -400
ROBERT WHITTAKER -338
RONALDO SOUZA -300
DEMIAN MAIA -280
500.00 3460.88

What say you?
 
MMA Goodfella said:
Hey fellas, need some of your brilliant advice here...I just have been so busy that I haven't had time to post regularly although I am +104 units I am +102 units over the last 60 and 90 days respectively in MMA so I still am doing quite well as I see a lot of you guys are.

But I need help here: so I made a few parlays a few months back but it's $500 for $3500 on the big one..should I let this ride or make any alterations? Thanks in advance for the advice!

[Ticket #: 2556xxxxx] PARLAY (8 TEAMS)
04/16/2016 @ 09:05 PM MU Fight has been canceled after Machida failed a drug test
LYOTO MACHIDA -330
JOHN DODSON -530
JON JONES -495
DEMETRIOUS JOHNSON -400
ROBERT WHITTAKER -338
RONALDO SOUZA -300
DEMIAN MAIA -280
500.00 3460.88

What say you?
Click to expand...
Hedge with Vitor/Vitor R1 if Maia wins. Otherwise, do nothing and good luck!
 
MMA Goodfella said:
Hey fellas, need some of your brilliant advice here...I just have been so busy that I haven't had time to post regularly although I am +104 units I am +102 units over the last 60 and 90 days respectively in MMA so I still am doing quite well as I see a lot of you guys are.

But I need help here: so I made a few parlays a few months back but it's $500 for $3500 on the big one..should I let this ride or make any alterations? Thanks in advance for the advice!

[Ticket #: 2556xxxxx] PARLAY (8 TEAMS)
04/16/2016 @ 09:05 PM MU Fight has been canceled after Machida failed a drug test
LYOTO MACHIDA -330
JOHN DODSON -530
JON JONES -495
DEMETRIOUS JOHNSON -400
ROBERT WHITTAKER -338
RONALDO SOUZA -300
DEMIAN MAIA -280
500.00 3460.88

What say you?
Click to expand...

you're at 500 for 2228.55, if you didn't know ... machida cancellation means 7 team parlay.

it depends on how big you're betting nowadays. is 500 5u? and thus quite a large bet? maybe a shot at belfort rd 1 is worthwhile if you don't wanna lose 5 bills
 
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