UFC 198 - Curitiba - Werdum vs Miocic

[SalvadorAllende]

Cyborg looked GOOD.

139lbs??? only 4 more please and she can wreck Ronda

 

[null]

Cyborg looked GOOD.

139lbs??? only 4 more please and she can wreck Ronda

Even better- only three more pounds to go for a non-title fight with Ronda.

 

[SalvadorAllende]

Fuck this shit... Big Big bet on Corey at -160.

I barely have any line movement in my shitty bookie but this is stupid.

 

[SalvadorAllende]

Small on Belfort-Souza over 1.5 @ +105

Belfort has been patient lately and Jacare is though to finish.

But all ends if Jacare takes Vitor down... the gap in the ground is huge. He need to close the distance to do that tho.

Well.. now Im regretting... LOL

 

[SalvadorAllende]

Tempted to smash the hell out of Cummins.

Why is Lil Nog still fighting? And worst.. why is he fighting a pressure wrestler???

 

[EzFlyer]

...i have cummins -165.

...but.

...i'm having second thoughts. he can get so sloppy.. i really thought nog won rd 1 and 3 vs shogun... he still has heart... in brazil....

talk me out of this craziness...

 

[Jae Gibbz]

...i have cummins -165.

...but.

...i'm having second thoughts. he can get so sloppy.. i really thought nog won rd 1 and 3 vs shogun... he still has heart... in brazil....

talk me out of this craziness...

I pretty much have the same bet as you, except to win 1.25u. I hedged off .25u of it on Nog, and played Nog DEC fwiw. Maybe look to play Nog +3.5?

 

[Joseph Budden]

...i have cummins -165.

...but.

...i'm having second thoughts. he can get so sloppy.. i really thought nog won rd 1 and 3 vs shogun... he still has heart... in brazil....

talk me out of this craziness...

I have similar concerns. Nog's boxing still seemed good vs Shogun, def better than anything Cummins has shown on the feet. Plus all that experience against guys like Bader, Davis, Rashad. Letting it ride, but this is one of my scarier bets.

 

[vkram]

...i have cummins -165.

...but.

...i'm having second thoughts. he can get so sloppy.. i really thought nog won rd 1 and 3 vs shogun... he still has heart... in brazil....

talk me out of this craziness...

Cummins is pretty tough despite his losses coming by T/KO, he took bombs from Glover and was still standing and got caught by OSP who has the power to finish pretty much anyone if he connects. I don't think Lil Nog has enough power to finish Cummins although he can cause him problems but I expect Cummins to use his physical advantages to get the win.

 

[EzFlyer]

thx for replies ^^

reduced juice going up

 

[EzFlyer]

screw it, U1.5 t.santos-marquardt -147. can't figure out another way to play the fight, anyway.

 

[BillyBatts]

Anyone know who the referee is for the Cyborg fight? or know where I can find out? I'd like to make some prop bets on Smith surviving the first round depending on who the ref is.

If it's someone like Herb who would be anxiously waiting to stop the fight as soon as Smith is in a little bit of trouble then forget it.

 

[iGnP]

Does anyone know what's w the line movement on Marquadt?

 

[EzFlyer]

Does anyone know what's w the line movement on Marquadt?

you mean the 40 point drop on BM? prolly someone maxing him there

 

[Jae Gibbz]

Does anyone know what's w the line movement on Marquadt?

IMO, it's just regular line movement

 

[iGnP]

you mean the 40 point drop on BM? prolly someone maxing him there

IMO, it's just regular line movement

I just checked best fight odds and it's not as drastic as i thought it was. I thought santos was like -450 or so

 

[Jae Gibbz]

I just checked best fight odds and it's not as drastic as i thought it was. I thought santos was like -450 or so

He was like -420 yesterday on 5d. Weighs in/reduced juice/etc

 

[piglord]

Werdum to win (-160)
Shogun to win (+185)
Vitor to win (+260)
Cyborg to win (-1700)

$100 to win $1665

What do u guys think?

i think you will be lucky to get 2/4.

 

[piglord]

Your selections
UFC Matches Antonio Rogerio Nogueira v Patrick Cummins
15-05-2016 00:30
Method of Victory
Patrick Cummins on Points @ 5/6

UFC Matches Fabricio Werdum v Stipe Miocic
15-05-2016 05:00
Method of Victory
Stipe Miocic by KO @ 7/2

UFC Matches Demian Maia v Matt Brown
15-05-2016 02:30
Method & Round Combo
Matt Brown KO & Round 3 @ 25/1

UFC Matches Renato Moicano v Zubaira Tukhugov
14-05-2016 23:30
Method of Victory
Renato Moicano on Points @ 10/3

Your Bets
Accumulator 4
1 line at £5.50 per line
Total stake for this bet: £5.50
Potential returns: £5,112.25

 

[Jae Gibbz]

So who are the people that lay like -4000 -5000 on X fighter to not win in R3 when that's like his best way of winning? This is just one example, you guys know what I'm talking about. I always wondered who the hell did such dumb bets like that. Who the f*** lays -5000 to begin with? How many of those in a parlay do you need to hit evens? has to be more than 25, right?