The War Room Bet Thread

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Lead said:
It's in this thread pretty much. Hey did a permanent AV bet which Lucas lost then he continually broke the rules, ignored pms and got banned. He then used another old account he had which got banned like a page back.
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Yeah I just read it - Boom - I was hoping to see the meltdown lol.
 
dontsnitch said:
I'll say this and put this all to rest. Jack has been harassing me off-and-on for about a year. At first he would quote me, then he would just tag me, then just mention me, and now he just quotes other people about me, all saying the same thing- that I'm a terrible person and poster.
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It's not "harassing" you if someone is annoyed with your trolling and I say, essentially, "yeah, that guy is a waste of time." You get mad and feel the need to respond to it, but that's not in my control.

dontsnitch said:
That actually doesn't bother me. What bothers me is his dishonesty when dealing with me.
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If you have a single example of me ever saying something you think is dishonest, post it. I assure you, if I said anything untrue, it would have been a mistake, and I'm always willing to correct mistakes. Otherwise, it just looks like you think that anyone who isn't a hardcore right-winger is "dishonest," and that you're not defining the term accurately. And to make those kinds of vicious character attacks with no basis at all is itself dishonest and reflective of low character.
 
drstrangelov said:
So, pick one approval rating poll, either individual or aggregate, and Id wager he will poll at +10 pts some time before Labor Day. Call the whole thing off if he or secret service protecting his person are injured/killed in an attach or a new war or clear march to war begins in that time.
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OK, so we'll base it on the current RCP average. And I'd say a clear attempt that is foiled should count, too. Otherwise, I'm down. What are the terms? One-month sig?
 
Jack V Savage said:
OK, so we'll base it on the current RCP average. And I'd say a clear attempt that is foiled should count, too. Otherwise, I'm down. What are the terms? One-month sig?
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Terms work for me, but id rather do an avatar bet, I use mobile and sigs done show up as I have it configured.
 
drstrangelov said:
Terms work for me, but id rather do an avatar bet, I use mobile and sigs done show up as I have it configured.
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How about my AV against your sig?

I never even know what to pick for the AVs, though I did enjoy apparently driving Lucas nuts with that one.

My current record in this thread is 2-0, I think, about to be 3-0 on inauguration day. Outside the thread, in the past year, it's 5-1. Over the years, it's even better (only sig bet I ever lost in the WR was to CMart this year, and I once lost a HW bet to Petey). HW record is even better, I think, just because there were more.
 
@Jack V Savage vs. @drstrangelov
1. Trump's favorability rating Real Clear Politics average is 10+ margin at one point before Labor Day
2. drstanglov- For, Jack V Savage- against
3. 09/04/2017 (Labor Day)
4. Hybrid- Jack's avatar or Drstranglovs sig
5. 1 month (tentatively 09/04/17-10/03/17)
6. If Trump is killed beforehand, the bet is null

How's this look guys? If I could get you to quote and okay this, I'll finalize it. Sorry for the delay.
 
Still have to backtrack it but I'm going to post a rankings with a champ every ten bets that occur. I didn't do it at 10 but can figure out who was where. Should add some more interest to it to hold the title as top guy.
 
Lead said:
@Jack V Savage vs. @drstrangelov
1. Trump's favorability rating Real Clear Politics average is 10+ margin at one point before Labor Day
2. drstanglov- For, Jack V Savage- against
3. 09/04/2017 (Labor Day)
4. Hybrid- Jack's avatar or Drstranglovs sig
5. 1 month (tentatively 09/04/17-10/03/17)
6. If Trump is killed beforehand, the bet is null

How's this look guys? If I could get you to quote and okay this, I'll finalize it. Sorry for the delay.
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Not just killed, but any credible assassination attempt or a war buildup. I should have added a heart attack, but I didn't, and we agreed on the terms.

I feel almost as confident about this one as I do about winning the one with @mcveteran81.
 
Jack V Savage said:
Not just killed, but any credible assassination attempt or a war buildup. I should have added a heart attack, but I didn't, and we agreed on the terms.

I feel almost as confident about this one as I do about winning the one with @mcveteran81.
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I'll adjust it in a bit.
 
Jack V Savage said:
Not just killed, but any credible assassination attempt or a war buildup. I should have added a heart attack, but I didn't, and we agreed on the terms.

I feel almost as confident about this one as I do about winning the one with @mcveteran81.
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Can we clarify what a war build up would be. I feel like that could cause an argument about whether it occurred or not
 
#3 @Jack V Savage v. @mcveteran81
1. Obama will still be president a week after the scheduled inauguration date due to declaring a state of emergency
2. mcveteran- True Jack V Savage- False
3. 1/27/2017 (week after scheduled inauguration day)
4. Signature bet- Winner picks the loser's signature
5. 1/28/2017-2/27/2017
Winnner: Jack V Savage
 
For now, until the Jack and strangelov bet is finalized, we have zero open bets. We need more posters calling others out here.
 
Just some clarifications for those interested in how the rankings are determined when they go up, here's a few guidelines:
-It's a formula so I'm not making any judgement calls with it
-AV bets are more valuable then Sig bets
-Length of bet factors into the reward/ risk.
-More recent bet history is weighted heavier

I haven't look at the sheet lately but I might be missing something but this is the general idea. Obviously, win your bets and you're likely to be at the top.
 
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