The War Room Bet Thread

[Limbo Pete]

No it means that I know I should get better odds and I am giving you guys a chance at making fun of me as well as better odds than the betting sites.

Can't believe so many Hillary supporters have no confidence in her ability to win Florida when the polls have her ahead.

On the other side of the coin, you don't seem to have much confidence Trump will actually become President imo

 

[UpaLoompa]

No it means that I know I should get better odds and I am giving you guys a chance at making fun of me as well as better odds than the betting sites.

Can't believe so many Hillary supporters have no confidence in her ability to win Florida when the polls have her ahead.

Sigh. You don't seem to understand why odds are given.

Simple question: Do you think that Trump will win?

 

[Hans Gruber]

On the other side of the coin, you don't seem to have much confidence Trump will actually become President imo

@m52nickerson and I were talking about Florida in another thread. That is what the bet is about.

I already made a straight election bet on 5dimes (I bet on Trump at some steep odds)

 

[UpaLoompa]

Who knew that half a decade of living with degenerate gamblers while in my early 20's would be relevant to a political discussion?

 

[Hans Gruber]

Sigh. You don't seem to understand why odds are given.

Simple question: Do you think that Trump will win?

Talk to me when you are ready to take action and bet instead of cowering in your safe space. It is just money. Why are you so afraid to lose it?

The odds of Trump winning Florida aren't looking good according to betting lines. I am offering better odds than the betting line. Why would I go for even odds?

 

[Limbo Pete]

@m52nickerson and I were talking about Florida in another thread. That is what the bet is about.

I already made a straight election bet on 5dimes (I bet on Trump at some steep odds)

All you had to say lol
Moving on

 

[UpaLoompa]

Talk to me when you are ready to take action and bet instead of cowering in your safe space. It is just money. Why are you so afraid to lose it?

What does my disinterest in betting have to do with your misunderstanding of why odds are set?

Also, I don't even have a pay pal account.

The odds of Trump winning Florida aren't looking good according to betting lines. I am offering better odds than the betting line. Why would I go for even odds?

Again, the odds you're offering suggest you think Trump won't win.
That's simply the fact of it. Don't get snippy with me because you don't understand how lines are set.

 

[Hans Gruber]

What does my disinterest in betting have to do with your misunderstanding of why odds are set?

Also, I don't even have a pay pal account.

Again, the odds you're offering suggest you think Trump won't win.
That's simply the fact of it. Don't get snippy with me because you don't understand how lines are set.

I think he is going to win Florida but I am not going to get ripped off with even odds.

I thought Shogun would bet Machida in their first fight and I sure as hell wouldn't have given anyone even odds on that. I got Shogun at +400 on betonfights.com (even the the judges robbed Shogun and me)

If I bet someone in person on the Shogun fight I would have only asked for 2 to 1 odds. I was was confident that Shogun was going to win.

 

[UpaLoompa]

I think he is going to win Florida but I am not going to get ripped off with even odds.

You seriously need to stop betting, you don't understand how lines work.

 

[Hans Gruber]

You seriously need to stop betting, you don't understand how lines work.

I know how lines work. You don't even know what you are talking about.

I bet on Shogun at +400 (A $100 bet earns me $400 if he wins)

If I was going to bet someone in person I would be nice and knock the odds down to +200 because that is the type of guy I am (generous)

That is what I am doing with the Trump Florida bet. Giving better odds than the betting sites.

I am offering better odds for those that think Hillary is going to win Florida and people are too scared to bet me.

 

[UpaLoompa]

I know how lines work.

You've not demonstrated that.

I bet on Shogun at +400 (A $100 bet earns me $400 if he wins)

With a bookie? What does that tell you about their expectations? (in truth two things are conflated with how things are set but that's not really relevant here)

If I was going to bet someone in person I would be nice and knock the odds down to +200 because that is the type of guy I am (generous)

No, you're the type of guy that doesn't understand betting.

 

[Lead]

Guys, no cash bets. We can't enforce them and I'm not even certain if it's legal

Dana white gif

 

[Limbo Pete]

Guys, no cash bets. We can't enforce them and I'm not even certain if it's legal

Dana white gif

Noted
@Hans Gruber

 

[Hans Gruber]

You've not demonstrated that.
With a bookie? What does that tell you about their expectations? (in truth two things are conflated with how things are set but that's not really relevant here)

No, you're the type of guy that doesn't understand betting.

You've not demonstrated that.
With a bookie? What does that tell you about their expectations? (in truth two things are conflated with how things are set but that's not really relevant here)

No, you're the type of guy that doesn't understand betting.

My God. Learn to read. If I believe the Lions are going to win the Super Bowl I am still going to try to get better than even odds because the odds of it happening are not even.

Simple

 

[Hans Gruber]

Guys, no cash bets. We can't enforce them and I'm not even certain if it's legal

Dana white gif

If the bet was with a mod it would be legal though right? What about bribing a mod with a portion of my winnings?

When I bet on Sherdog before we just used the honor system and everything worked out. I am aware of the risk of someone not paying. (especially the risk of expecting honor from Hillary supporters)

 

[cooks1]

<=6.400000% and I win.

Ex 1: 6.41% and he wins.
Ex 2: 6.40% and I win.

Correct!

 

[cooks1]

Okay, so long as @cooks1 doesn't have a crazy long sig, this should work for the two months of overlap. Afterwards, if he did want more space, he would have it.

Is this all good with you cooks?

I will just be happy to defer to @m52nickerson and let him have his time if he wins. I can pick up with @waiguoren after that bet ends. Not really much difference between 4 years vs 3 years, 10 months.

 

[m52nickerson]

I think he is going to win Florida but I am not going to get ripped off with even odds.

You clearly aren't confident that Trump will win Florida or you would be willing to risk just as much as me. You also clearly don't understand how bets go between people.

 

[Quipling]

You clearly aren't confident that Trump will win Florida or you would be willing to risk just as much as me. You also clearly don't understand how bets go between people.

He does. He's just trying to make it as unpalatable as possible so he can act confident in his opinion without anyone clearly calling his bluff.

 

[Lead]

If the bet was with a mod it would be legal though right? What about bribing a mod with a portion of my winnings?

When I bet on Sherdog before we just used the honor system and everything worked out. I am aware of the risk of someone not paying. (especially the risk of expecting honor from Hillary supporters)

Theres just too much to it that seems like a red flag. Like I said, I don't even think the admins or site owners would be okay with this. Next, I don't know if two people can just make a cash bet without going through a gambling site, etc. and lastly, I don't even think gambling sites in the US are allowed to do bets on US elections. I could have some of this wrong but I can guarantee you if this wasn't shut down by me, it would be by someone higher up. Just do an av or sig bet.