The War Room Bet Thread

[waiguoren]

What is stopping you from doing both
Find someone else to take the action on Ohio. I dont think it would be hard.

I already have a lot of bets outstanding of this race, and the odds you are giving me (evens) are shit. No rational person would take your offer.

 

[Limbo Pete]

I already have a lot of bets outstanding of this race, and the odds you are giving me (evens) are shit. No rational person would take your offer.

It's just an av bet lol
Not a yuge deal bruh

 

[waiguoren]

It's just an av bet lol
Not a yuge deal bruh

Askren avatar is gold. Don't want to change it.

 

[Limbo Pete]

Askren avatar is gold. Don't want to change it.

Fair enough

 

[Quipling]

Bigly if true

Lol. Absolutely not. Let's make a little bet - just a week or so long. Should be fun. Terms:

1. Clinton is indicted by November 1
2. Big Brown Clown for. Quipling, against.
3. COB Nov. 1.
4. AV bet (I can do a Sig bet for longer, if you prefer)
5. Until November 9.

 

[Jack V Savage]

Lol. Absolutely not. Let's make a little bet - just a week or so long. Should be fun. Terms:

1. Clinton is indicted by November 1
2. Big Brown Clown for. Quipling, against.
3. COB Nov. 1.
4. AV bet (I can do a Sig bet for longer, if you prefer)
5. Until November 9.

This is exactly what this thread is for, IMO.

Everyone knows this is false, but lots of people will profess to believe it and then forget about it when the day passes.

 

[Lead]

This is exactly what this thread is for, IMO.

Everyone knows this is false, but lots of people will profess to believe it and then forget about it when the day passes.

It definitely had the intention of being somewhat of an appropriate "call out thread" for the War Room.

 

[Quipling]

It definitely had the intention of being somewhat of an appropriate "call out thread" for the War Room.

Silence is deafening. Warroom is getting swamped by people willing to make disingenous arguments without any sincere belief behind them. This election needs to be over - it's a constant flood of bullshit now.

 

[Lead]

Silence is deafening. Warroom is getting swamped by people willing to make disingenous arguments without any sincere belief behind them. This election needs to be over - it's a constant flood of bullshit now.

I think as soon as the primary was over, I knew the last month would be pretty unbearable in here. I think a lot of people are just avoiding it entirely. It is almost done however.

 

[Limbo Pete]

I think as soon as the primary was over, I knew the last month would be pretty unbearable in here. I think a lot of people are just avoiding it entirely. It is almost done however.

Home stretch

 

[Lead]

Home stretch

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

 

[VivaRevolution]

75.5%

-6.2%

23.0%

5.6%

https://electionbettingodds.com/


I bet anyone that wants to take it, that these betting odds swing 10% in favor of Trump, from the Clinton FBI E-mail story.


So the date to count would be November 7th, if the betting odds for Trump have increased to 33%.

Sig bet 1 month.

 

[Jack V Savage]

So the date to count would be November 7th, if the betting odds for Trump have increased to 33%.

Sig bet 1 month.

I'll take that.

And @Lead, note that it doesn't overlap with my bet with McVeterans or whatever his name is.

 

[Fawlty]

Taking action on the Clinton indictment. Who wants some? My av is tied up from nov-jan for the GE outcome, but I'm still willing to bet avs with the stipulation that I win that one. One of you pussies has got to be willing to force me into a parlay. Sigs or other creative bets are fine too.

 

[Jack V Savage]

Taking action on the Clinton indictment. Who wants some? My av is tied up from nov-jan for the GE outcome, but I'm still willing to bet avs with the stipulation that I win that one. One of you pussies has got to be willing to force me into a parlay. Sigs or other creative bets are fine too.

I was really surprised that Lucas, of all people, turned out to be a True Believer. I doubt there are any more.

Maybe @Cubo de Sangre would be willing to make a bet he can't welsh on.

 

[Cubo de Sangre]

Maybe @Cubo de Sangre would be willing to make a bet he can't welsh on.

I'll bet you can't verify this claim.

 

[Lead]

1. The exact statement the bet is premised upon
2. Stance each poster is taking in regards to the statement
3. The date the bet will be decided
4. The reward/punishment for the winner/loser
5. The duration of the reward/punishment before I will post it.
6 (OPTIONAL) A situation which makes the bet void that isn't clear with the content in 1 & 2. This needs to be very clear if included.

@VivaRevolution v. @Jack V Savage
1. Trump will be at 33% or more on November 7th on this site https://electionbettingodds.com/
2. VivaRevolution- For, Jack V Savage- Against
3. 11/08/16 (so we know the final number the site shows for 11/7/16)
4. Signature bet
5. 11/09/16-12/08/16

For the site, you can go to the chart and see where the percentage is by day. I would go to that section on the 8th to see what they determined it to be on the 7th since I'm unsure if they update it hourly or not so I don't want to deal with live tracking it the day of. It shouldn't really affect the results and looking at it from the day after would be a true representation of where the odds say it at that day.

Can we make this official?

 

[Jack V Savage]

@VivaRevolution v. @Jack V Savage
1. Trump will be at 33% or more on November 7th on this site https://electionbettingodds.com/
2. VivaRevolution- For, Jack V Savage- Against
3. 11/08/16 (so we know the final number the site shows for 11/7/16)
4. Signature bet
5. 11/09/16-12/08/16

For the site, you can go to the chart and see where the percentage is by day. I would go to that section on the 8th to see what they determined it to be on the 7th since I'm unsure if they update it hourly or not so I don't want to deal with live tracking it the day of. It shouldn't really affect the results and looking at it from the day after would be a true representation of where the odds say it at that day.

Can we make this official?

Wait, I'd like to propose one small change. The site is linked to John Stossel, and I think he is a dishonest hack. The current numbers look in line with legitimate stuff, but I'd prefer that we use Bovada, RCP (http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/writeup/us_presidential_election_live_betting_odds.html), Paddy Power, or some other politically unaffiliated site. Obviously, we'd adjust for the vig if we use a site that's actually taking bets.

That's just a preference, but if Viva wants to be a dick and hold firm, I'll take Stossel's site.

I also have a permanent AV bet with Lucas about whether Clinton will be indicted in the next 60 days (lol).

I'll bet you can't verify this claim.

You know the issue with that.

 

[Cubo de Sangre]

You know the issue with that.

Issue? Preventing you from being able to prove what you say?

 

[theBLADE1]

Sorry but Jack is playing you all for fools. $hillary is going to be the next president and she will not be indicted. This shit has been in the bag.