• Xenforo is upgrading us to version 2.3.7 on Tuesday Aug 19, 2025 at 01:00 AM BST (date has been pushed). This upgrade includes several security fixes among other improvements. Expect a temporary downtime during this process. More info here

The Ponies Thread (part 2)

Take my money Mahoning Valley you glorious 3rd rate track..
 
Came back #3, #9, #6, #4, so nothing for me, albeit it was close. I guess the silver lining is that all three of the horses I used beat the top two choices.
 
==========

Race 2 (6f-Dirt);


#3 EP - 78.4, LP - 51.0, SP - 71.7, TT - 51.7, MP - 71.0, EL - 67.0, DP - 75.5, ELD - 63.6, SF - 87.4, BT - 88.2, AC - 120.3, PP - 130.9, NF - 53.2, AVG - 77.7 (8/5) (5/2)

#1 EP - 70.6, LP - 52.9, SP - 68.9, TT - 55.8, MP - 69.4, EL - 63.3, DP - 70.2, ELD - 73.9, SF - 78.7, BT - 83.6, AC - 118.0, PP - 124.0, NF - 41.5, AVG - 74.7 (3/1) (6/1)

#2 EP - 70.6, LP - 55.4, SP - 70.5, TT - 51.7, MP - 69.8, EL - 65.9, DP - 71.0, ELD - 77.0, SF - 77.9, BT - 83.1, AC - 116.1, PP - 118.1, NF - 44.5, AVG - 74.7 (9/1) (6/1)

#6 EP - 71.4, LP - 54.2, SP - 70.1, TT - 53.0, MP - 69.8, EL - 65.1, DP - 71.2, ELD - 74.7, SF - 79.6, BT - 83.1, AC - 117.2, PP - 116.8, NF - 44.0, AVG - 74.6 (7/1) (6/1)

#7 EP - 67.1, LP - 53.5, SP - 67.5, TT - 49.6, MP - 66.3, EL - 63.6, DP - 67.7, ELD - 78.2*, SF - 79.2, BT - 75.5, AC - 114.0, PP - 115.7, NF - 42.7, AVG - 72.4 (27/1) (11/1)

#4 EP - 67.5, LP - 48.5, SP - 64.6, TT - 51.7, MP - 64.0, EL - 60.3, DP - 66.5, ELD - 71.5, SF - 68.3, BT - 75.5, AC - 118.2, PP - 114.7, NF - 54.3, AVG - 71.2 (8/1) (14/1)

#8 EP - 68.6, LP - 44.7, SP - 62.8, TT - 53.7, MP - 62.8, EL - 58.1, DP - 66.2, ELD - 65.6, SF - 76.6, BT - 78.5, AC - 117.4, PP - 118.0, NF - 46.6, AVG - 70.7 (11/1) (16/1)

#5 EP - 66.7, LP - 47.9, SP - 63.8, TT - 51.7, MP - 63.2, EL - 59.6, DP - 65.7, ELD - 71.5, SF - 72.2, BT - 66.8, AC - 114.6, PP - 103.6, NF - 36.2, AVG - 67.9 (85/1) (32/1)

==========
 
Race 2 - #3 over #1, #2, #6, #7 in some $1 supers. I may win bet the #3 horse for $6 as well since, based on the will pays, it won't be the favourite. Either that or a W/P on the #2 for $2/$4.
 
Last edited:
Track Announcer Matt picks the #4 and the odds on that one drop immediately from 5/1 to 7/2 in an instant. One of the reasons I like this track so much is his influence on the public. He is a sharp capper, though, no doubt. That's in addition to being one of the more likable announcers in the game.
 
Race 2 - #3 over #1, #2, #6, #7 in some $1 supers. I may win bet the #3 horse for $6 as well since, based on the will pays, it won't be the favourite. Either that or a W/P on the #2 for $2/$4.

The #2 to W/P it is then.
 
#1, #3, #2, #4 was the finishing order.
 
==========

Race 3 (6f-Dirt);


#1A EP - 79.6, LP - 50.4, SP - 71.9, TT - 53.7, MP - 71.8, EL - 66.6, DP - 76.2, ELD - 61.6, SF - 87.9, BT - 89.3, AC - 117.6, PP - 127.5, NF - 50.7, AVG - 77.3 (8/5 alone, 6/5 coupled) (5/2 alone)

#5 EP - 78.4, LP - 52.9, SP - 72.9, TT - 53.0, MP - 72.5, EL - 67.7, DP - 76.1, ELD - 66.0, SF - 87.4, BT - 88.2, AC - 118.0, PP - 116.4, NF - 45.2, AVG - 76.5 (7/1) (3/1)

#3 EP - 70.2, LP - 51.0, SP - 67.5, TT - 49.6, MP - 66.3, EL - 63.6, DP - 69.3, ELD - 71.9, SF - 78.3, BT - 79.0, AC - 117.4, PP - 118.7, NF - 50.1, AVG - 73.3 (9/2) (8/1)

#8 EP - 64.4, LP - 55.4, SP - 67.3, TT - 51.7, MP - 66.7, EL - 62.9, DP - 66.3, ELD - 74.7*, SF - 71.8, BT - 78.5, AC - 116.4, PP - 109.7, NF - 46.6, AVG - 71.7 (25/1) (11/1)

#4 EP - 76.8, LP - 42.8, SP - 65.8, TT - 55.8, MP - 66.3, EL - 60.3, DP - 71.8, ELD - 54.9, SF - 78.3, BT - 80.6, AC - 116.4, PP - 117.3, NF - 44.2, AVG - 71.6 (9/2) (12/1)

#1 EP - 72.9, LP - 48.5, SP - 67.3, TT - 49.0, MP - 65.9, EL - 63.6, DP - 70.6, ELD - 66.0, SF - 79.2, BT - 77.5, AC - 114.3, PP - 107.4, NF - 19.4, AVG - 69.4 (5/1 alone, 6/5 coupled) (20/1 alone)

#7 EP - 65.9, LP - 49.1, SP - 64.2, TT - 47.6, MP - 62.4, EL - 61.0, DP - 65.5, ELD - 73.9, SF - 63.9, BT - 73.4, AC - 115.7, PP - 104.8, NF - 49.3, AVG - 69.0 (15/1) (22/1)

#2 EP - 66.7, LP - 49.1, SP - 64.6, TT - 51.7, MP - 64.0, EL - 60.3, DP - 66.1, ELD - 73.1, SF - 59.6, BT - 76.0, AC - 114.2, PP - 104.4, NF - 37.6, AVG - 68.3 (48/1) (27/1)

#9 EP - 72.5, LP - 42.2, SP - 63.2, TT - 51.0, MP - 62.4, EL - 59.2, DP - 68.3, ELD - 58.5, SF - 77.9, BT - 71.9, AC - 115.0, PP - 109.3, NF - 34.6, AVG - 68.1 (21/1) (28/1)

==========
 
Race 3 - #1A, #5 over #1A, #3, #5, #8 over #1A, #3, #5, #8 in exactas ($2) and tris ($1). I'll probably win bet the #5 for $9 as well, as that one gives me an 'all or nothing' vibe.
 
Race 3 - #1A, #5 over #1A, #3, #5, #8 over #1A, #3, #5, #8 in exactas ($2) and tris ($1). I'll probably win bet the #5 for $9 as well, as that one gives me an 'all or nothing' vibe.

I went $5 to win on the #5, and then the #8 (top ELD horse, ranks 4th of 9 on AVG, longest shot on the board, and may get a pace setup) to show for $4 instead, in addition to the exacta and trifecta plays.
 
Really hope the #8 runs a good race here, as that one may have been my best deep longshot of the day.
 
Three way photo. Shit. I can barely take a two way one in the best of times.
 
==========

Race 4 (6f-Dirt);


#6 EP - 69.0, LP - 56.1, SP - 70.1, TT - 51.7, MP - 69.4, EL - 65.5, DP - 70.0, ELD - 78.6*, SF - 77.0, BT - 88.2, AC - 119.8, PP - 120.9, NF - 46.9, AVG - 75.6 (4/1) (5/1)

#4 EP - 69.4, LP - 53.5, SP - 68.7, TT - 55.1, MP - 69.0, EL - 63.3, DP - 69.5, ELD - 75.8, SF - 78.7, BT - 86.2, AC - 117.6, PP - 120.4, NF - 41.7, AVG - 74.5 (9/2) (7/1)

#1 EP - 69.0, LP - 54.8, SP - 69.3, TT - 53.0, MP - 69.0, EL - 64.4, DP - 69.6, ELD - 77.8, SF - 76.6, BT - 81.1, AC - 117.7, PP - 114.4, NF - 45.0, AVG - 74.0 (11/1) (8/1)

#8 EP - 62.4, LP - 63.6, SP - 71.5, TT - 49.6, MP - 70.2, EL - 67.3, DP - 67.3, ELD - 62.4, SF - 69.6, BT - 88.2, AC - 119.1, PP - 121.2, NF - 49.5, AVG - 74.0 (12/1) (8/1)

#10 EP - 75.7, LP - 46.6, SP - 67.5, TT - 53.7, MP - 67.5, EL - 62.5, DP - 72.1, ELD - 60.8, SF - 84.4, BT - 85.7, AC - 119.5, PP - 121.7, NF - 44.2, AVG - 74.0 (9/2) (8/1)

#5 EP - 77.2, LP - 46.6, SP - 68.3, TT - 52.4, MP - 67.9, EL - 63.6, DP - 73.3, ELD - 59.3, SF - 86.1, BT - 79.6, AC - 117.3, PP - 117.0, NF - 49.8, AVG - 73.7 (7/1) (9/1)

#2 EP - 72.9, LP - 46.6, SP - 66.2, TT - 58.5, MP - 67.5, EL - 59.9, DP - 70.0, ELD - 63.6, SF - 81.3, BT - 82.6, AC - 118.4, PP - 115.9, NF - 45.0, AVG - 73.0 (15/1) (11/1)

#3 EP - 68.3, LP - 52.9, SP - 67.7, TT - 49.0, MP - 66.3, EL - 64.0, DP - 68.4, ELD - 76.2, SF - 65.3, BT - 83.1, AC - 118.2, PP - 116.3, NF - 51.9, AVG - 72.9 (10/1) (11/1)

#7 EP - 72.2, LP - 42.8, SP - 63.4, TT - 50.3, MP - 62.4, EL - 59.6, DP - 68.2, ELD - 59.6, SF - 81.8, BT - 90.3, AC - 115.3, PP - 122.9, NF - 38.5, AVG - 71.3 (8/1) (17/1)

==========
 
Race 4 - #1, #4, #5, #6, #8 super box for $0.20. The will pays say that the #1 is going to go off at big odds, so probably a W/P on that one too for $2/$4.
 
#4, #5, #7, #1 was the order. The #6 was right behind the #1 and #7 (who photo'd for 3rd) by about a length, so that's the margin I lost a 1600/1 super by. Just one of those days I guess.
 
==========

Race 5 (8f-Dirt);


#8 EP - 59.3, LP - 49.8, SP - 61.2, TT - 51.0, MP - 60.5, EL - 57.4, DP - 61.8, ELD - 76.6, SF - 55.2, BT - 77.0, AC - 115.1, PP - 115.9, NF - 45.7, AVG - 68.2 (6/5) (5/2)

#6 EP - 58.1, LP - 52.9, SP - 62.6, TT - 46.2, MP - 60.5, EL - 59.9, DP - 64.5, ELD - 71.5, SF - 65.7, BT - 70.4, AC - 112.1, PP - 103.2, NF - 38.9, AVG - 66.7 (6/1) (4/1)

#5 EP - 58.5, LP - 42.2, SP - 56.1, TT - 52.4, MP - 55.8, EL - 52.2, DP - 54.5, ELD - 72.7, SF - 67.4, BT - 67.8, AC - 114.5, PP - 104.1, NF - 45.0, AVG - 64.9 (9/1) (7/1)

#2 EP - 51.5, LP - 53.5, SP - 59.6, TT - 49.6, MP - 58.5, EL - 56.2, DP - 63.4, ELD - 64.0, SF - 57.4, BT - 69.4, AC - 112.5, PP - 100.8, NF - 45.7, AVG - 64.8 (4/1) 7/1)

#10 EP - 58.9, LP - 46.0, SP - 58.7, TT - 42.2, MP - 55.4, EL - 57.4, DP - 58.2, ELD - 77.0*, SF - 49.2, BT - 63.2, AC - 112.2, PP - 103.4, NF - 44.0, AVG - 63.5 (7/1) (9/1)

#9 EP - 55.0, LP - 42.8, SP - 54.7, TT - 42.2, MP - 51.5, EL - 53.6, DP - 54.2, ELD - 77.0*, SF - 64.8, BT - 59.2, AC - 108.7, PP - 92.3, NF - 46.7, AVG - 61.7 (17/1) (15/1)

#4 EP - 47.2, LP - 51.0, SP - 55.9, TT - 47.6, MP - 54.2, EL - 53.3, DP - 59.9, ELD - 62.8, SF - 41.3, BT - 59.7, AC - 110.5, PP - 88.7, NF - 35.3, AVG - 59.0 (23/1) (30/1)

#3 EP - 66.3, LP - 33.4, SP - 54.5, TT - 45.6, MP - 52.3, EL - 52.5, DP - 48.2, ELD - 53.7, SF - 46.1, BT - 62.2, AC - 110.4, PP - 96.1, NF - 40.5, AVG - 58.6 (28/1) (33/1)

#7 EP - 57.3, LP - 33.4, SP - 50.0, TT - 47.6, MP - 48.4, EL - 47.7, DP - 45.9, ELD - 62.8, SF - 51.3, BT - 52.5, AC - 108.6, PP - 87.5, NF - 35.9, AVG - 56.1 (65/1) (60/1)

#1 EP - 42.9, LP - 34.6, SP - 43.5, TT - 44.2, MP - 41.0, EL - 42.5, DP - 43.5, ELD - 79.0, SF - 47.9, BT - 44.9, AC - 108.0, PP - 87.7, NF - 45.1, AVG - 54.2 (42/1) (94/1)

==========
 
Race 5 - #8 over #6 over #2, #5, #9, #10 over #2, #5, #9, #10 in tris ($2) and supers ($1).

Tough to find much value this race, so I have to play it skinny.
 
Over 3000/1 on that super even with a 3/5 shot getting the win. Pretty crazy.
 
Back
Top