The Polar Bear will dominate the Black Beast

[650lb Sumo]

Just got around to watching the fight and wow, I expected a one-sided win but that was a domination! Lewis is absolutely washed. Only DC submitted him before and that was 5 years ago.

 

[TIMELESS TRUTH]

Paul Varelans is coming back! Oh boy!!!

 

[Doughie99]

Physically Lewis is 10 years older and has a 1" reach and 15lb weight advantage. They are the same height.

In terms of experience Lewis is 26-10 with 1 NC and Spivak is less experienced at 15-3. In the UFC they are 17-8 and 6-3. Recently however Derrick has lost 3 of his last 4 by (T)KO while Sergei is 5-1 in his last 6. Lewis has lost his last 2 by (T)KO and Spivak has won his last 2 by TKO. Albeit Derrick has been fighting the higher-ranked opponents.

Lewis is 37, heavy and slow with a lot of miles on the clock. He's on a downward trajectory while Spivak is rising through the rankings and I see this fight continuing those trends. Probably by decision but if washed up Black Beast gets (T)KOed again it wouldn't greatly surprise me. Sergei is younger, faster and more versatile with a higher output. He has a grappling game, which Lewis does not, although Derrick is difficult to control on the ground or keep down. Sergei doesn't have Derrick's power, but he does have fast, accurate hands, better footwork, more volume, better stamina and decent power with a grappling game to keep his opponent on the defensive as well.

Lewis is an explosive brawler who has historically relied on his chin, which is not what it was any more, and weathering storms to at some point land that one big shot. In 2022, against Sergei Spivak I don't see that working, I see Sergei simply outworking him and landing more leather for 3 rounds, not all volume, some hard shots as well and taking a UD. The longer the fight goes the slower Derrick will get. Like I said though Lewis is fading fast and if Spivak does connect hard he could finish him with strikes and I think he is smooth enough to evade Lewis's wild bombs all night. The fight will probably be mostly on the feet as Lewis has no ground game but is hard to take down and keep down. While on the ground though Sergei will also dominate but I doubt he gets a sub or GnP stoppage, he will just rack up control time.

Black Beast is about to lose 3 in a row for the 1st time in his career.

absolutely nailed it with your prediction.

well done.

 

[ComfortablyNumb55]

 

[Lights Out 101]

I remember being really unimpressed with him in the Olenik fight, had him retreating and he just looked timid. He can't do that against Lewis.

Well I really shit the bed with that prediction. Spivak is better than I thought, he's levelled up quite a bit.