The Justin Gaethje X-Factor: The "Predictability" Trap

Siver!

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Okay, I think I see what it is about Gaethje that makes him so difficult to beat:

R2: the commentators are ALL IN on the fact that Gaethje is ducking his head every single time he approaches, and you see towards the end of the round that Fiziev spots it as well and he starts to go all in on it. Gaethje in turn notices this, switches up his angles ever so slightly and cleans Fiziev's clock and takes not only the round, but ALL the momentum of the fight.

Justin lured Fiziev in. Fiziev is such a technical fighter, as soon as he gets a read on a pattern he knows exactly what he needs to do. Except the predictability/pattern isn't genuine, it's a trap! Fiziev ends up playing Gaethje's game instead of doing what he's best at: being a monster in the Thai clinch and striking from mid-range. He engages at close quarters in a bit of a brawl because he spots the 'predictable' moves Justin is making.

Add in that Justin is double-tough and has great cardio, once Fiziev eats a heavy shot and loses the round, he is basically done after R2 as a result. In terms of mentality, he did exactly what he was supposed to do, but still lost the second round, hence how demoralized he looked at the end of R2.

Learning: If you're fighting Gaethje and winning, I guess you gotta be prepared to stray from the technical aspect in order to stay ahead - which is exactly what Max Holloway did, and why he aced that fight. If you can't completely dominate Justin, you gotta make sure you don't fall into predictable patterns of how to attack Justin's "predictable" patterns - or you're getting countered.

Make sense to anyone, or nah?
 
JG has a very high fight IQ regardless of what people think. I also think his nose getting destroyed had alot to do with the way that Max fight went. thats hard to deal with and beat a fighter as good as MH.
 
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