Elections The general election poll reporting is highly annoying

[blaseblase]

I don't care what the overall polls are. That shit hasn't mattered since Al Gore lost to George W. Democrats are going to win the popular vote, that should be taken for granted at this point. What matters is what a few hundred thousand people in the swing states feel like. That is what every election poll should be concentrated on. But every pollster and every news org fixates on this overall poll number when it doesn't mean jack shit about who's going to win. It's slightly interesting sure. Maybe it says something about the flaws in our election process. But it doesn't tell us what is actually important, which is who is most likely to win. Just give me the breakdown of the states that matter.

 

[aerius]

I believe what you're looking is a bookie...

 

[Copper Burner]

Have Trump walk into an NFL stadium on a Sunday afternoon. Then have Kamala walk into an NFL stadium on a Sunday afternoon. The crowd reaction elects the next president.

 

[BlankaPresident]

Nate Silver's mailing list and Substack are what you're looking for.

He calculates probabilities considering not the general polls but the electoral college votes from the states breakdown.

 

[oski]

This is what they put up about 10 minutes after...

Just loling away; don't mind me.