International Russia/Ukraine Megathread V13

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"
Analysis of internet searches conducted by people in Russia suggests their real views on the war in Ukraine differ significantly from what the Kremlin would like the world to believe, new research reveals.

What opinion polls tell us

According to both the Voice of America and Euronews websites, recent surveys of the Russian public conducted by their government show two obvious trends in relation to the war in Ukraine, which seem to be counter-intuitive.

These polls found that while as many as 80 percent expressed concern about the financial and social effects of Western sanctions, imposed after Russia’s full-scale invasion of Ukraine, they did not blame the Kremlin. At the same time, even after 18 months of war, as many as two thirds still support the “special military operation.”"
 
Denter said:
They may finally be out of cruise missiles?
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Not likely. I think they are accumulating for some big scale strike.

Also they does have at least 500 cruise missiles Ukr had sold them in 1999th (?).
While these missiles were intended to be used with nuclear warhead, there isn't big problem for kleptocrats to use conventional classic warhead for such missiles.
I don't have clue about % from these missiles they might refubrish and bring in working condition....

Kalibr missiles Russia looks that still are producing in the same ammounts like before war. Maybe will accumulate for some big strikes.

Lancet drones production they had increased.
Production of Iranian death drones clones looks that failed to be started.....despite efforts.
 
LeonardoBjj said:
@SandisLL - How is the living standart of the average russian citizen?
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Average? dunno. Well off people mainly in St Petersburgp and Moscow are not really noticing much.

SandisLL said:
Armed forces of Russian Federation had established physical control in Terricon in Avdiivka. This in short means that Ukraine already had lost battle for Avdiivka de Facto.
It is reality.
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I would not be so quick. While I think that "fire control" has so far been overrated if russia captures or gains large enough part of the industrial area in north of the city I think it'll be over for the defenders.
Remains to be seen what Ukrainian reinforcements around the area can accomplish, but the Zaporizzhia offesince is almost certainly over with units drawn from there to defend Avdiivka.
 
DEVILsSON said:


That's one way to spin having 3 S400 systems destroyed lol.
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Reality about S 300 and S 400 is that these too are distributed systems.
Launchers, KP, CP, gen sets, radars are in separate items carried by stuff like heavy duty truck.

Most likely for strike with cluster ammo had been opted to hit radars.
They are soft target and easy to damage with cluster ammo+ expensive and it isn't possible to produce them quickly regardless sanctions or no sanctions. This is because production and testing does require to have very experienced engineers and technicians in this niche sub field and ....their number is limited and it isn't possible to make a pro from fresh graduate quickly.....
 
Videer said:
Average? dunno. Well off people mainly in St Petersburgp and Moscow are not really noticing much.



I would not be so quick. While I think that "fire control" has so far been overrated if russia captures or gains large enough part of the industrial area in north of the city I think it'll be over for the defenders.
Remains to be seen what Ukrainian reinforcements around the area can accomplish, but the Zaporizzhia offesince is almost certainly over with units drawn from there to defend Avdiivka.
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Yes, I agree that we should see something more.
 
LeonardoBjj said:
How is the living standart of the average russian citizen?
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Videer said:
Average? dunno. Well off people mainly in St Petersburgp and Moscow are not really noticing much.
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I think they're all feeling it it's just their nature to suffer in silence.

This guy made a video about grocery shopping before the war and had his friend go to the same supermarket around 18 months later. Timestamped.


Fresh produce actually cheaper.

Everything else up around 50%+ on average though.
 
Denmark had signed bill for approx 522 m USD$ worth military aid.

Then there is additional stuff...
Latvia had signed November military aid package and will sign next macro financial assistance collective package for November .....

While they didn't had signed warrant letters for EBRD and IMF and IBRD loans ...
They does have with budget approx the same situation like U.S.
Budget is open for 2024 th...
In 2023 th their parliament had finally approved budget 2023 th in April 2023 th.
They not likely will sign any supplies for 2024 th until parliament and state Treasury will confirm budget 2024 th....

They will supply really generous for them technical aid in 2023 th...
Mainly de mining equipment and some ammo....
Will see what will be in 2024 th.

Ukraine will get IBRD loan portion 1,2 b USD $ worth cos Japan's State Treasury had signed warrant letter for this loan.
 
Videer said:
Average? dunno. Well off people mainly in St Petersburgp and Moscow are not really noticing much.
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- Are you Russian?
We adoted one russian in bb as a fan favorite!
unnamed-41.jpg
 
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