Official UFN 82** Thread

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man it seems like Rosholt has almost no way to finish roy inside besides a freak accident
 
mkess101 said:
From a betting perspective, I can't see whey anyone would even seriously be looking at this fight. A guy whoo's 1-0 (with the win coming over another guy making his debut) against a guy who's never fought and you have the guy who **should** win at -600 LOL? Maybe .2u on the dog for action or something but otherwise no way.
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A small bet on the under 1½ at -155 is my gotta have action play. Probably Gall by submission in round 1.
 
Really dont like most of the odds on this card. The favorites are way too expensive. Ill just LB and make some parlays.

Placed some on the O1.5 for Nelson vs Rosholt. The odds for this improved ever so slightly. Nelson dec at (12/1)+1200 looks tempting but if he wins, I think he wins by KO in R2/R3. Got a parlay of the over 2.5 JB/Mak and Wonderboy/Big Rig at (11/5)+220. Another parlay with Gall/Borg/Hendricks at +234.
 
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mkess101 said:
From a betting perspective, I can't see whey anyone would even seriously be looking at this fight. A guy whoo's 1-0 (with the win coming over another guy making his debut) against a guy who's never fought and you have the guy who **should** win at -600 LOL? Maybe .2u on the dog for action or something but otherwise no way.
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Watch the other guys amateur fights. -600 is generous. Poor fight IQ and seemingly little ground game.
 
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Think the safest parlay by far is Lahat ML with o2.5 Ben/Mak. Pays pretty well, think like -115. Actually would've probably laid some nice juice on this combo. Of course I jumped the gun and split them up though with too much money on each side to run this as well. Sigh.
 
mkess101 said:
From a betting perspective, I can't see whey anyone would even seriously be looking at this fight. A guy whoo's 1-0 (with the win coming over another guy making his debut) against a guy who's never fought and you have the guy who **should** win at -600 LOL? Maybe .2u on the dog for action or something but otherwise no way.
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i'm on board, mkess.

no disrespect whatsoever to anyone who's put the time in and thinks he has a good read on this fight, i hope you win $

but i'm not even touching this one. and most know: i bet almost every fight, lol
 
Joseph Budden said:


This show doesn't get enough love. Conor Rubeusch called himself out for not having the best predictions to start the year, but on the flipside feel like these guys have been making some great picks.
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From my experience there actual picks are horrendous, you're much better off tailing people in this thread. Still, I watch most of every video they release as they give decent analysis and give you a great base from which to start studying. Just don't tail blindly.
 
I'm counting on Roy to score the KO. If Roy gets taken down by Rosholt I don't expect him to lay there til the clock runs. Roy knows how sweep or get up. Rosholt would really need to beat him in the dirty clinch or possibly leg kick Roy and immobilize him like most guys do. Does Rosholt even have that in his repertoire? Probably not but he's been trying to round out his game over the years maybe he'll try?
 
Hendricks ITD and Nelson by decision at +3426 looks good to me.
 
Rebel_LioN said:
I'm counting on Roy to score the KO. If Roy gets taken down by Rosholt I don't expect him to lay there til the clock runs. Roy knows how sweep or get up. Rosholt would really need to beat him in the dirty clinch or possibly leg kick Roy and immobilize him like most guys do. Does Rosholt even have that in his repertoire? Probably not but he's been trying to round out his game over the years maybe he'll try?
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That's my main play on this fight as well. Also have a flyer on Nelson by dec at +995 and Nelson by sub +940.
 
I'm putting some on Makovsky, those odds are ridiculous. Thinking about playing Pyle, I think he's the better fighter but IDK if I can justify betting on a 40 year old. I like the over for Lewis/Grabo at +110. Have 5 units on nelson at -147 as I really don't see Rosholt taking this. Parlaying Borg and Benavidez/Makovsky over.
 
The MM Analyst said:
I'm putting some on Makovsky, those odds are ridiculous. Thinking about playing Pyle, I think he's the better fighter but IDK if I can justify betting on a 40 year old. I like the over for Lewis/Grabo at +110. Have 5 units on nelson at -147 as I really don't see Rosholt taking this. Parlaying Borg and Benavidez/Makovsky over.
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What is Makovsky decision line?

We have same parlay - good luck!
 
Sham5916910 said:
What is Makovsky decision line?

We have same parlay - good luck!
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+515 Damn, I can only bet on Pinnacle right now unfortunately, and they only have over/under for props. Makovsky decision is a great bet though. Good luck to you too!
 
The MM Analyst said:
+515 Damn, I can only bet on Pinnacle right now unfortunately, and they only have over/under for props. Makovsky decision is a great bet though. Good luck to you too!
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I'm def taking Mak dec for a small flutter - pretty sure this fight will go to a decision and be close.

Nelso is +1200 dec at 365 - it is tempting altho i think if Nelson wins it is probably by KO. 365 basically have his SU line and ITD line the same.
 
michi972 said:
What do you think about Burkman+Benavidez+Osp+Hendricks?
Especially about Burkman
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Burkman has had hit and miss performances more recently and 35 years old, so has noons but overall burkman has the potential to get the job done here. I generally like osp+hendricks too.

Joseph Budden said:
I'm on Mak. At first just for value, but the more I think about it I think he'll win. Hes slowly but steadily making improvements to his game, arguably beat Dodson in his last fight. On the flipside, Benavidez has had lackluster showings for awhile now and I expect him to fall off sooner than later.
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I watched it also and felt mak may have edged the fight, I actually cashed out of my dodson expensive play since I felt the fight was too close. Something about dodson and Jbs power over voume style which favours judges perhaps.

mkess101 said:
Rosholt is burying his head in Roy's crotch (wow, gross) but doing nothing and the judges favor Roy at least trying to throw some strikes.
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Think that is rosholts only style really, but yeah do agree roy is creative and has some dirty boxing of his own within the clinches, maybe roy should adopt the travis hellbows game plan.

Sham5916910 said:
Damn Means busted, Cerrone fight off. Was really liking Means as the dog too.
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Ufc are going to announce a replacement fighter for cowboy very soon according to sherdog main page article, but yeah think half of us were gonna be on Means :(
 
FutureGOAT said:
I'm probably reading into this too much..but I didn't give Mike Jackson a chance, considering he's not a full-time fighter, doesn't seem to have a ground game and is going up against a brown belt. But anyone else feel like after watching those interviews with Ariel that Mickey Gall seems nervous as hell? Well he admitted it but both guys are aware all the pressure is on Gall. Jackson seems pretty confident, and at their stare down Mickey looked away from his eyes, looking downward. The kid seems to be feeling it. Things might get interesting.
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A lot on the line for both guys really, winner gets a shot at CM Punk and gets that shot really. Both guys are having their debuts each so id imagine first time jitters will effect everything, I doubt gall risk anything in this fight he will do whatever it takes to get the fight on the ground and get that sub in but yeah jackson appears very clear he won't get that take down and I noticed he has good foot work and striking so its perhaps worth a m.jackson flyer or to add him in a hail mary prop.
 
I actually think Lewis is more likely to win in rd 2 or 3 than rd 1..
He's terrible standing. He has sub par wrestling. He's good at one thing. GnP'ing. Particularly against gassed opponents.
 
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