Official UFN 69 Betting Thread - Post Your Bets!

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weekend mma bets

bella 138 Risk: 535
shamrock: 0 for 30 / kimbo
weichel +241: 300 for 723 / freire
charles +505: 25 for 126.25 / O1.5: 60 for 50 / lashley
straus-corrales U2.5: 50 for 86.50
campos +477: 45 for 214.45 / O2.5: 55 for 50 / chandler
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yeaaaa, idk. 3 dumb plays to start the night, a strong 3u play on weichel is the real play tonight. would be a great hit to start weekend.

ufn 69 Risk: 1,282
penne +525: 50 for 262.50 / NOT jedrzejczyk ITD: 50 for 75
siver -135: 135 for 100 / kawajiri
sobotta-kennedy: idk
hein -173: 199 for 115 / sajewski
fullen +205: 50 for 102.50 / fullen DEC: 20 for 97.40 / amirkhani
taisumov -165: 165 for 100 / taisumov ITD: 33 for 100.65 / patrick
arnold +170: 100 for 170 / arnold DEC: 30 for 105 / omer
lahat +180: 200 for 360 / lahat DEC: 50 for 212.50 / backstrom
askham-dos santos: idk
hallmann -121: 200 for 165.97 / mustafaev
sasaki-lapilus: idk
Props
Parlays
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prolly about set. maybe i'll do some late props, idk. don't love the card. hopefully lahat doesn't stink up the joint.

going slightly bigger on some fights where i don't know both guys = scary for me (over 1u on arnold, 2u against both sajewski and mustafaev, etc)

not my most confident weekend.

hope i don't feel dumb tonight after weichel.
 
Tebowned said:
5dimes and bookmaker are my go to's but 5Dimes accepts CCs.

I had my friend sign up to book maker but I guess they don't let you deposit with visa anymore and he was mad.
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Damn that sucks, CC is the way I want to deposit.

Guess I might have to do 5dimes.
 
Ken has almost no chance but he wont shoot. He will try his scissor leg takedown ala his fights with Frye and Franklin.
 
Sham5916910 said:
Ken has almost no chance but he wont shoot. He will try his scissor leg takedown ala his fights with Frye and Franklin.
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Probably his one borderline realistic chance of winning. If I was Ken I'd spam that move over and over.

15-20% Ken gets ahold of it and pulls it off. Otherwise he's getting teed off on.
 
The last time Ken even won by a leglock in a pro mma fight was 19 years ago against Kimo, and I'm pretty sure ATT has drilled Kimbo in defending whatever Ken has for him takedown wise. They probably formulated their own gameplan for Kimbo against Ken
 
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Tebowned said:
5dimes and bookmaker are my go to's but 5Dimes accepts CCs.

I had my friend sign up to book maker but I guess they don't let you deposit with visa anymore and he was mad.
Click to expand...

I signed up like two weeks ago and deposited with my master card.
 
mkess101 said:
Damn that sucks, CC is the way I want to deposit.

Guess I might have to do 5dimes.
Click to expand...
I just went to the cashier on BM and it has Visa available as a deposit method. I didn't try it, though. For CC they have Visa, Mastercard, and Amex available for deposit.
 
HeyBoone said:
I signed up like two weeks ago and deposited with my master card.
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Jae Gibbz said:
I just went to the cashier on BM and it has Visa available as a deposit method. I didn't try it, though. For CC they have Visa, Mastercard, and Amex available for deposit.
Click to expand...



Weird I signed into mine right now and don't have one. You're in the US?


28hdgzm.jpg
 
Of all of tomorrow's UFC fights I believe that the most likely to win and the best to have as a first or second leg of your parlay is Peter Sobotta over Steven Kennedy. Right now Sobotta is at -255 were I would probably have him more around -330 -- so I believe even at his current betting line he is worth a moderate play straight up.

This is Sobotta's second stent with the UFC and he made they most of his return as he easily bested the tough undefeated undefeated Pawell Pawlak during the UFC's last trip to Deutschland.

Sobotta is virtually a jack of all trades when it comes to martial arts as he has a background in everything from judo to taekwondo to Muay-Thai to BJJ -- and while he is competent in all of the aforementioned arts, it is the latter two that right his checks predominately the latter of the latter. Indeed, if you didn't follow that garbled syntax, it is Sobbata's BJJ that is his meal ticket as he is a black belt in the discipline under Dean Lister (IIRC). At any rate, Sobotta has a litany of accolades in submission grappling and Wrestling on the European circuit and is one of Germany's most decorated practitioners. Moreover, not only is Sobotta a good tournament grappler, but his style translates well to mixed martial arts as he has nine submission wins to his credit.

Meanwhile, Steve Kennedy is an Australian mixed martial artist with a record of 22-6 and is entering the contest on a 7 fight winning streak -- all those the bulk of those wins are as you'd expect coming to the butchers, bakers and candlestick makers of the UK's formal penal colony.n that's right, I am reminding all my Ozzie friends in here (looking at you NDC) that you all are the living descendants of 17th century murderers and rapists transported to Ozzieland to serve out their punishment in exile on the beautiful continent. Nevertheless, I am unaware of Steve Kennedy's ancestral background, yet I do know that he is a strong grappler with serviceable striking. However, his best asset's fall squarely into the Sobotta wheelhouse which presents a big time problem for the Ozzie.

Worse still, Kennedy is not a big power puncher and although he has 8 TKOs on his resume; almost all of them are a byproduct of him getting off some ground until the referee steps in as opposed to the one punch variety that he needs to land on Sobotta. Even worse than that however is the fact that Steve Kennedy is traveling from Australia to Germany to take on Sobotta on 10 days notice due to the Sergio Moraes injury. Taking on any fighter with only 10 days notice is like daunting task let alone taking on a top shelf fighter like Peter Sobotta.

Ultimately, I believe that this is a pretty straightforward pick and a easy win for Sobotta as he will cruise to victory quite possibly sinking in his patented rear naked choke that will put the cherry on the Sundae. Regardless, I believe that Sobotta will send the fans home happy and when the fight is over the German flag will be flying high. 🇩🇪

As for the bet itself; the best play in my opinion is to put Sobotta in a 2 (or 3) team parlay. I have a Sobotta + Joanna + Chandler paying out at +110 for 3u although you can still get it at -112 which is a good value considering the players.

Conversely if you do not like to bet on Bellator fighters (which is understandable) I also have a Sobotta + Omer +109 for 2u as well.

It's bratwurst and a Pilsner of Becks on "Planet Eater" afterwards 🍺
 
MMA Goodfella said:
Of all of tomorrow's UFC fights I believe that the most likely to win and the best to have as a first or second leg of your parlay is Peter Sobotta over Steven Kennedy. Right now Sobotta is at -255 were I would probably have him more around -330 -- so I believe even at his current betting line he is worth a moderate play straight up.

This is Sobotta's second stent with the UFC and he made they most of his return as he easily bested the tough undefeated undefeated Pawell Pawlak during the UFC's last trip to Deutschland.

Sobotta is virtually a jack of all trades when it comes to martial arts as he has a background in everything from judo to taekwondo to Muay-Thai to BJJ -- and while he is competent in all of the aforementioned arts, it is the latter two that right his checks predominately the latter of the latter. Indeed, if you didn't follow that garbled syntax, it is Sobbata's BJJ that is his meal ticket as he is a black belt in the discipline under Dean Lister (IIRC). At any rate, Sobotta has a litany of accolades in submission grappling and Wrestling on the European circuit and is one of Germany's most decorated practitioners. Moreover, not only is Sobotta a good tournament grappler, but his style translates well to mixed martial arts as he has nine submission wins to his credit.

Meanwhile, Steve Kennedy is an Australian mixed martial artist with a record of 22-6 and is entering the contest on a 7 fight winning streak -- all those the bulk of those wins are as you'd expect coming to the butchers, bakers and candlestick makers of the UK's formal penal colony.n that's right, I am reminding all my Ozzie friends in here (looking at you NDC) that you all are the living descendants of 17th century murderers and rapists transported to Ozzieland to serve out their punishment in exile on the beautiful continent. Nevertheless, I am unaware of Steve Kennedy's ancestral background, yet I do know that he is a strong grappler with serviceable striking. However, his best asset's fall squarely into the Sobotta wheelhouse which presents a big time problem for the Ozzie. Worse still, Kennedy is not a big power puncher and although he has 8 TKOs on his resume; almost all of them are a byproduct of him getting off some ground until the referee steps in as opposed to the one punch variety that he needs to land on Sobotta. Even worse than that however is the fact that Steve Kennedy is traveling from Australia to Germany to take on Sobotta on 10 days notice due to the Sergio Moraes injury. Taking on any fighter with only 10 days notice is like daunting task let alone taking on a top shelf fighter like Peter Sobotta.

Ultimately, I believe that this is a pretty straightforward pick and a easy win for Sobotta as he will cruise to victory quite possibly sinking in his patented rear naked choke that will put the cherry on the Sundae. Regardless, I believe that Sobotta will send the fans home happy and when the fight is over the German flag will be flying high. 🇩🇪

As for the bet itself; the best play in my opinion is to put Sobotta in a 2 (or 3) team parlay. I have a Sobotta + Joanna + Chandler paying out at +110 for 3u although you can still get it at -112 which is a good value considering the players.

Conversely if you do not like to bet on Bellator fighters (which is understandable) I also have a Sobotta + Omer +109 for 2u as well.

It's bratwurst and a Pilsner of Becks on "Planet Eater" afterwards 🍺
Click to expand...

I really like him and Hein no homo.
 
Jae Gibbz said:
The last time Ken even won by a leglock in a pro mma fight was 19 years ago against Kimo, and I'm pretty sure ATT has drilled Kimbo in defending whatever Ken has for him takedown wise. They probably formulated their own gameplan for Kimbo against Ken
Click to expand...

kimocross.jpg
 
@MMAGF I really like Sobbota, too. And this is the parlay I'm playing with him. Sobbota + Siver/Kawa o2.5 @ +101

Also gonna play Sobbota + Kimbo/Ken u1.5
 
Thoughts on pitbull against weichel over 2.5 rds?

opened at -175, down to -132. I like it. Weichel is good, and pitbull can be somewhat respectful/passive
 
Jae Gibbz said:
The last time Ken even won by a leglock in a pro mma fight was 19 years ago against Kimo, and I'm pretty sure ATT has drilled Kimbo in defending whatever Ken has for him takedown wise. They probably formulated their own gameplan for Kimbo against Ken
Click to expand...

And come on... When your best chance at winning is based off going for a scissor leg takedown... I mean lol do I have to say anymore? Not saying Kimbo is a lock, but lol reread the bold
 
Does 5dimes plan on releasing the rest of the props? Submission TKO etc? I got my eyes on a few things
 
Steve Kennedy on Sobotta "Im hoping to win two out of the three rounds"

Good on ya Steve that's the spirit! You keep shooting for that 29-28 decision!!! Don't get too cocky though mate
 
Of course straus itd opens right after I bet u2.5/... +200.. Playing for 0.5u
 
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