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Official UFN 69 Betting Thread - Post Your Bets!

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Can't find any info regarding the cage size. My guess is it'd be the small one as main event features two small skinny women.
 
-chandler looked great.

-straus looked solid. corrales is not easy to put away, apparently, even tho straus isn't a great finisher (tho he's starting to figure that part out)

-lashley looked solid, i guess. his cardio was pretty decent, tho charles never put it on him at all.

-weichel... man... fucking HAD THAT SHIT. FUCK jon mccarthy. that was a goddamned rd 1 tko. and then he was lookin GREAT at start of 2nd.. and a LUCKY PUNCH.. F M L ... and omg, mccarthy jumped in INSTANTANEOUSLY to stop that!? but let pitbull get pummeled and let him go to his corner even tho he didn't know where he was? he stole 1,000 from me on that shit. (and i know i wasn't alone on weichel)

-shamrock-kimbo: no comment. tho can't believe ken couldn't tap him, jesus.
 
Can't find any info regarding the cage size. My guess is it'd be the small one as main event features two small skinny women.

This IS the first title fight on fight pass so it's possible that they're making some odd choices but the small cage events are usually at much smaller venues and have never involved a title fight. The O2 holds 17,000, I would assume a normal cage.
 
If Big John called that as a TKO for Weichel at the end of round 1 in the co-main event, I would have had a really good night. Nonetheless, my totally degenerate plays on Kimbo, my Straus ITD bet and my parlay cashed so I earned a nice little profit nonetheless.

Bellator 138 Results Risk $912.00

Kimbo Slice (-240) vs Ken Shamrock $240.00 for $100.00= $100.00
Kimbo Slice (-295) vs Ken Shamrock $295.00 for $100.00= $100.00
Daniel Weichel (+245) vs Patricio Freire $50.00 for $122.50= -$50.00
Not Patricio Freire inside distance (-140) $56.00 for $40.00= -$56.00
Dan Charles/Bobby Lashley Over 1
 
Lost on Weichel and Shamrock. Frustrating. Fuck.

Those were my 2 bets too, wow that was tough to take. Thought I had already won the first one and was like 1/5 to win the other with Kimbo in the RNC.
 
yea. bold +250 bets looked great and got f'd tonight. hurts. just gotta know you made good bets and take it on the chin.
 
Been bouncing back and forth, but think I've settled on Pior, but how can one be confident when Mustafaev can go Slam-Page at any moment :eek:


slam_zpsnmipv3bc.gif
 
I like Holley too for the record. Zoro is in the wrong weightclass, drains him self way too much, thus have no chin at all - And generally refuses to use his great BJJ. Not favoring him or anything, but at +250 I will gladly take it.

Hey Thanks Jeffsplsgo good to hear I'll join in the fun as you guys seem to of done your homework! .

I did a bit of a mini cap of the Nastyukhin/Kawanago

Nastyyukhin will push Kawango's shit in . Total squash match. My writing isn't very good so will dot point

Nastyukhin
* Trains at Russia top team - not a renowned camp but has a few pro's around his weight training there. Also there is a video of him on youtube with him training at Tiger Muay Thai looking like he is taking this very seriously

* interviews with him he seems very driven with a win in this match he will almost certainly get a chance at Aoki's belt . Motivation seem to be pretty high

* Stats 25YO, 5"7 kind smallish LW (EDIT FW)but seems very strong

* Punches hard as fuck very very nasty, defensively a bit meh but may be more of a lack of respect for his previous opponents striking.

* Every fight of his ends in the first round (4/tko/4 sub)
* Only loss was his first fight (by sub) back in 2010
* Said on the ONEFC broadcast that he is a pankration world champion
* Opponenets record is very shit with records of 1-0 , 3-2 , 0-1 , 0-1 , 0-3 , 0-1 , 0-1 , 5-4, 14-5 . Combined 23-18
* He was an underdog in his last fight (+150)



Kawango

Rob Lisita KO'd him.. I have seen Rob fight at AFC cards he aint that great believe me.

* Inactive fighter 2 fights in 2014 and then didn't fight until 2012
* Obscure Japanese gym that he trains at with not many Pro's at all
* Not a terrible striker but not as good as Timmy
* Taken down easy by Lisita (An Aussie taking someone down??)


Prediction Nastyukhin by KO first round and then he gets his shot at the Belt - May be worth looking out for his Title fight as he will be a pretty decent dog to Aoki more than likely. I didnt see much tape on Timmy's TDD apart from one old fight of his in Russia where he did defend a takedown against the fence competantly.



Bet Not much value at the unibet odds of -400 but he is a rightful favorite . Dont know if you fellas can get odds for the under? if so that seems very likely.

Sorry No real sexy bets for this one but I will add Timmy to the Holley play to boost it up a bit
 
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at least that kimbo fight was better than the shitshow cain vs werdum. u guys need to show some respect
 
this arnold allen kid is impressing me... yea... 3rd decent-sized bet on a fight where i haven't seen both fighters fight live previously.. uncommon for me to do 3... sheesh..

allen > omer (never seen allen live)
hallmann > mustafaev (never seen mustafaev live)
hein > sajewski (never seen sajewski live)

not to mention just not a TON of info/tape/experience with a LOT of the other fighters tomorrow.

yea. i'm nervous.

oh well, sleeping on any further action. BoL tomorrow, guys. west coasters set your alarms, no sleeping in on saturday!
 
I like Holley too for the record. Zoro is in the wrong weightclass, drains him self way too much, thus have no chin at all - And generally refuses to use his great BJJ. Not favoring him or anything, but at +250 I will gladly take it.

Moreira is matched up well with Holley. And his chin isn't that bad, he won first two rounds against Boku and Ando . The only issue is cardio in his last fight. Wrestler against bjj champion. Moreira for parley or pass for me.

His interview from June, 8.
http://www.mmamania.com/2015/6/8/87...t-back-winning-ways-one-dynasty-champions-mma
 
#UFCBerlin Bets

Jędrzejczyk by T/KO/DQ $70 @ -160
Jędrzejczyk wins in round 3 $10 @ +650
Jędrzejczyk wins in round 4 $10 @+1000
Jędrzejczyk wins in round 5 $10 @+1600

Amirkhani/Masion ends between 0.00 and 0.59 $6.25 @+1200
Hallman/Mustafaev ends ITD $12.5 @ -110
Askham by T/KO $12.5 @ +188
Lahat SU $12.50 @ +180
Patrick SU $12.5 @+140
Arnold Allen $12.5 @+160
Siver+Hein $12.50 @+155
Sobotta ITD $12.50 @+150
Sasaki+Amirkhani $12.50 @+100
 
Prediction Nastyukhin by KO first round and then he gets his shot at the Belt - May be worth looking out for his Title fight as he will be a pretty decent dog to Aoki more than likely. I didnt see much tape on Timmy's TDD apart from one old fight of his in Russia where he did defend a takedown against the fence competantly.

Nastyukhin is physically strong fighter with a good pankration background but all his MMA fights were very quick to evaluate his skills. He will probably win but odds are very poor to bet.
 
I just watched Bellator and was happy to see my big Straus/Pitbull/Kimbo parlay somehow hold up, but that was some scary moments.
 
Nastyukhin is physically strong fighter with a good pankration background but all his MMA fights were very quick to evaluate his skills. He will probably win but odds are very poor to bet.

Yes it was very limited the amount of footage available to see. His opponent level is really bad as well.

Don't get me wrong I would not bet $400 to win $100 on him but feel pretty safe adding him to an underdog play to boost it up a bit. Kawanago gave me no faith in his chances at all
 
I'm thinking about going pretty big on Kawajiri but I don't know, the fact that he's a pretty big underdog is making me worried lol.

What do you guys think?
 
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