Odd: D Cruz -600 vs U Faber +400

susanto

Blue Belt
@Blue
Joined
Dec 23, 2003
Messages
943
Reaction score
0
Anyone see value here ???

This odd doesn't make any sense
 
No, not really. Faber has declined since they first fought, and Cruz's striking even looked improved in some respects against Dillashaw.
 
The odds don't mean "this is X fighter's chance of winning". The odds are weighted where people are putting money. People aren't putting money on Faber. It makes sense.
 
The odds don't mean "this is X fighter's chance of winning". The odds are weighted where people are putting money. People aren't putting money on Faber. It makes sense.

He is asking if there is value. So if Fabers chance of winning is greater than X, there is value.

His chances aren't though, Fabers gonna get trashed. He's looking awful these days.
 
I'd say that's about right. I wouldn't touch it either way. Cruz is too big of a favorite to win any money on, and Faber is a big underdog for a good reason. He's gonna get schlacked.

Not worth betting $6 to win $1 profit on Cruz tho.
 
He is asking if there is value. So if Fabers chance of winning is greater than X, there is value.

His chances aren't though, Fabers gonna get trashed. He's looking awful these days.

How did he look awful? He blew his load in the 2nd round against Saenz, granted that's the first I've ever seen Faber gassed like that.
 
He is asking if there is value. So if Fabers chance of winning is greater than X, there is value.

His chances aren't though, Fabers gonna get trashed. He's looking awful these days.

Faber has a chance, albeit Cruz is the prohibitive favorite.
 
How did he look awful? He blew his load in the 2nd round against Saenz, granted that's the first I've ever seen Faber gassed like that.

He was also getting his ass whooped by Riveria until he blatantly eye poked the fuck out of Riveria. That was Kevin Burns level of eye poke, that win should be a NC.

Losing to Riveria and barely getting by Saenz? That's pretty awful and he's fighting Cruz next.
 
Those odds are still too close IMO.

Faber has no chance this fight.
 
He was also getting his ass whooped by Riveria until he blatantly eye poked the fuck out of Riveria. That was Kevin Burns level of eye poke, that win should be a NC.

Losing to Riveria and barely getting by Saenz? That's pretty awful and he's fighting Cruz next.

He was losing that first round against Rivera, but you're crazy if you think it was a Travis Browne move, although I agree it should have been ruled a NC.
 
All Faber's got now is a puncher's chance. The only reason he's fighting for the title again is because Barao is coming off a loss. Almajin Sterling and Thomas Almeda should be fighting Cruz, and would be more intriguing.
 
He was losing that first round against Rivera, but you're crazy if you think it was a Travis Browne move, although I agree it should have been ruled a NC.

Am I?

An accidental eye poke basically happens when a fighter is trying to gauge distance and his opponent accidentally runs into the fingers.

Here we see Riveria actually moving away from Faber, moving backwards instead of forward, and Faber throws an open handed finger stab directly in Riverias eye. Fuck a NC, this really should of been a DQ and Faber should of been fined. This is the most blatant eye poke in MMA history.

Urijah%2BFaber%2BEye%2BPokes%2BFrancisco%2BRivera%2B-%2BUFC%2B181.gif
 
With odds like that Faber is a good value bet. He still holds a grappling and power advantage over Cruz.
 
Worth a $50 shot on faber ... Who the fucks gonna risk that on Cruz ... I bet it closes a lot closer ... -260 +180 region
 
Faber has slowed down while Cruz still has incredible speed and his hands have gotten better. I think Cruz gets the finish this time around.
 
looks like cruz's mouth has won him more than some sherdog love - dont see how the fight would be that one sided, wierd - -250 or -300 for dom makes more sense

but this happens all the time, people never stop getting surprised and being condescending in fight picks toward the underdog before being very wrong - it just keeps happening over and over again
 
Am I?

An accidental eye poke basically happens when a fighter is trying to gauge distance and his opponent accidentally runs into the fingers.

Here we see Riveria actually moving away from Faber, moving backwards instead of forward, and Faber throws an open handed finger stab directly in Riverias eye. Fuck a NC, this really should of been a DQ and Faber should of been fined. This is the most blatant eye poke in MMA history.

Urijah%2BFaber%2BEye%2BPokes%2BFrancisco%2BRivera%2B-%2BUFC%2B181.gif

Ok dude. I guess you can read another persons mind
 
Every fighter has a chance. There's no guarantees. Rememeber, no one thought Holly could beat Ronda.
 
Back
Top