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There are a few things happening right now that need to be addressed. There's a shortage of doctors, there's an increase in ER visits, and there's affordability issues in regards to access to medical care. An expanded scope of practice for NP's addresses these issues, and it's fact that a significant portion of a PCP's workload can be handled by an NP.
I don't have any figures to support a total US decline but I know in Memphis, So far this year our patient number visits have been drastically down from years past.
One of the hospitals I work at already sent out an email talking about how they are 14 million behind in expected patient/insurance payments. This was in just the first 3 months of this year. The CEO said it was because a lot of people have lost their insurance or are being dropped into a high deductible plan (I was dropped from really good but expensive insurance into a hi ded plan, GOD IT SUCKS). Since with a high deductible plan you have to basically pay a ton of money out of pocket that people are waiting longer to go to the hospital, trying to see if they can just get over whatever they have. The email also said that hospitals/insurance companies/doctors and all other medical staff needs to get use to the idea of making less money. It was a slick way of basically saying, you guys aren't getting raises any time soon.
My insurance was great, I didn't have a deductible, I only had small co-pays. Now I have to pay the first $1600 out of pocket for each person in my family (4 total), before insurance even kicks in. I went from basically no payments (small co-pay) to having to pay for every single thing in the world.
At my main Hospital we are already slow as hell (there is a normal slow down during the summer months, But it has started 3 months early. They are already talking about watching people hours and maybe cutting them.
Again this was an issue that people brought up with the ACA, when you shove people into high ded plans, not everyone has a bunch of money laying around to pay out of pocket, especially if you have more than one person in your family that is sick.