Non-MMA Sports Betting Discussion - July 2016

[Dooze]

b365 in-play offer on tonight, anyone decided what they're doing?

I'll probably do o0.5/u5.5 to qualify, cover the alternative elsewhere for a couple of quid then use the in play on a correct score bet.

We beat and drew with Belgium in qualifying so I don't think they demolish us. That said, head over heart I do think we lose.

I dislike backing against us but might do 2-1 Belgium. Maybe first goal = free kick which has come in for 2 Wales games so far.

 

[barrygood1]

Portugal cannot beat Poland in regulation. I hate even thinking of the idea but it's getting too far fetched first with England now Portugal. The fact the were first to concede a goal and win it in penalty kicks is such a "kick in the face"
Another big blow considering I've been on one of the hottest betting streaks. Might just focus on Wimbledon oh yeah except Mugu crapped the bed with a gosh darn awful bagel. Just frustrated... that's all, no big deal it's not like I need to pay rent or anything :L

 

[Dragons Roar]

Portugal cannot beat Poland in regulation. I hate even thinking of the idea but it's getting too far fetched first with England now Portugal. The fact the were first to concede a goal and win it in penalty kicks is such a "kick in the face"
Another big blow considering I've been on one of the hottest betting streaks. Might just focus on Wimbledon oh yeah except Mugu crapped the bed with a gosh darn awful bagel. Just frustrated... that's all, no big deal it's not like I need to pay rent or anything :L

Barry, Portugal havent won a single game all tournament. Not one! Why on earth you suddenly thought they would win in the quarters against a side who has only conceded once, ill never know

 

[Agent Mulder]

Portugal cannot beat Poland in regulation. I hate even thinking of the idea but it's getting too far fetched first with England now Portugal. The fact the were first to concede a goal and win it in penalty kicks is such a "kick in the face"
Another big blow considering I've been on one of the hottest betting streaks. Might just focus on Wimbledon oh yeah except Mugu crapped the bed with a gosh darn awful bagel. Just frustrated... that's all, no big deal it's not like I need to pay rent or anything :L

Cant say I was surprised considering how awful Portugal has looked all tournament. Poland on the other hand has performed above my expectations.

 

[Shoulder]

I got

Belgium 1-0 [email protected]
1-0 Wales + Bale to Score [email protected]
Belgium Over 1.5 in the parlay.

 

[Dooze]

Portugal cannot beat Poland in regulation. I hate even thinking of the idea but it's getting too far fetched first with England now Portugal. The fact the were first to concede a goal and win it in penalty kicks is such a "kick in the face"
Another big blow considering I've been on one of the hottest betting streaks. Might just focus on Wimbledon oh yeah except Mugu crapped the bed with a gosh darn awful bagel. Just frustrated... that's all, no big deal it's not like I need to pay rent or anything :L

How were either of the England/Portugal results 'too far fetched'?

Neither of those two have looked great all tournament. England looked ok at times in the group stages but only in that they generally controlled games. In pretty much every match they were still devoid of a proper attacking threat and struggled to break down well organised defensive teams, ie a team like Iceland. Yeah they were expected to go through but it was never a gimme match for them. All tournament they've had players off form and been questionable tactically, whereas Iceland have been putting in solid defensive performances since the first match.

Then as mentioned with the Portugal match, they've looked poor all tournament. They struggled with breaking down Iceland, couldn't score against Austria and were trailing on 3 separate occasions against a Hungary team who despite massively exceeding expectations (they were one of, if not the weakest team coming into the tournament), got demolished when they faced a world class team. On the other hand Poland are a well organised team who have looked the part all tournament, despite Lewandowski underperforming. Last night and away in qualifiers to Germany (who they they drew 0-0 with this tournament, and beat at home in the qualifiers) are the only time they've lost in a competitive match since October 2013. They're a very good team whereas outside of Ronaldo it's widely regarded that Portugal are decent but nowhere near world class and seemingly always underperform.

All that said, I dunno why you're considering it so far fetched that a team who'd drawn their 4 games in this competition against inferior competition to Poland, (apart from Croatia, who are about the same level) had to go into extra time and eventually penalties to beat a well organised team not known for conceding who had only lost 1 competitive game in the past couple of years (that against the World Cup winners, who they beat and drew with in that same time).

 

[iGnP]

Stabbing Rockies first five innings +0.5 at +105 and first five ML at +157. The dodgers are starting a pitcher that they acquired via trade only yesterday who isn't very good to begin with. The Dodgers have a massive bullpen advantage so taking the first five innings takes that advantage out of the equation. I think bc of that, this is a coin flip proposition and the odds are good enough for a play. Not tail worthy as I don't normally play first five plays, I just think this might be a special opportunity to take advantage of

 

[Shoulder]

I got

Belgium 1-0 [email protected]
1-0 Wales + Bale to Score [email protected]
Belgium Over 1.5 in the parlay.

Ok I'll add some more cause money isn't really my thing.

Alderweireld to score with a header 0.5U/5@21
Game ends in a draw and Hazard and Bale score 0.1U/5@31

 

[kenCs]

Ok I'll add some more cause money isn't really my thing.

Alderweireld to score with a header 0.5U/5@21
Game ends in a draw and Hazard and Bale score 0.1U/5@31

I got DeBruyne too take over 1.5 shots on target at 3/4. Likely to hit?

 

[cs02132]

On Belgium small plus I hedged with the draw. Not super confident for some reason, but I also won't be surprised if they win easily. Hope I don't regret going so small

 

[Shoulder]

I got DeBruyne too take over 1.5 shots on target at 3/4. Likely to hit?

I think so. I think Belgium will pressure and have a lot of finishes. De Bruyne takes free kicks so he should get 2 shots on goal. I played it at 1.75 with 4/5 Units.

 

[kenCs]

Belgium running rampant damn.

 

[Shoulder]

I think so. I think Belgium will pressure and have a lot of finishes. De Bruyne takes free kicks so he should get 2 shots on goal. I played it at 1.75 with 4/5 Units.

De Bruyne is having a really bad first half, hope he picks up in the second half.

 

[kenCs]

De Bruyne is having a really bad first half, hope he picks up in the second half.

Looks like its not gonna hit damnit. Been on an losing streak for so long.

 

[cs02132]

Looks like its not gonna hit damnit. Been on an losing streak for so long.

Not watching but reading the PBP it seems like it hit? He shot right at the goalie and one above the crossbar

Knew I shouldn't have bet Belgium today but said fuck it. Damn

 

[kenCs]

Not watching but reading the PBP it seems like it hit? He shot right at the goalie and one above the crossbar

Knew I shouldn't have bet Belgium today but said fuck it. Damn

I dunno. Was it on target. I've only seen the free kick on target. I think he can get another shot on target in 20 mins.

 

[kenCs]

I definitely want Wales to win but I want a penalty shoot out just for the tension.

 

[MidgardSerpent]

Djokovic down 2 sets against Sam Querrey.
7-6 (8-6) 6-1

He's -148 for 'live' betting now the play is suspended. Only someone of his caliber would still be the favorite...

 

[kenCs]

Djokovic down 2 sets against Sam Querrey.
7-6 (8-6) 6-1

He's -148 for 'live' betting now the play is suspended. Only someone of his caliber would still be the favorite...

Lol. Djokovic is one the tennis GOATS.

 

[cs02132]

I definitely want Wales to win but I want a penalty shoot out just for the tension.

I just need Belgium to draw and I barely lose. Not too upset if they lose because I saw it happening but said fuck it and bet them anyway. Most of the time when I say fuck it it doesn't end well lol