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My Analysis on Usman Vs Leon...Leon will win imo again

textwarrior

textwarrior

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I been listening to what UFC fighters think, and their predictions..their arguments vs their 2 fights with each other..but as a fan...who likes this sport...I want to call this. I think Leon will win again.

The problem is this..when I watch the first fight, I was amazed, by Leon, how he controlled and counter the take downs on Usman which no other really did..We know Leon is so boring and technical...but in that first fight he had it....

Now, the real fighters in the UFC, called it, said Leon is only 2 rounds vs 8 rounds for Usman...got me thinking about it..

The problem with Leon is he does not pull the trigger much and plays it safe too much which made me think ...but Leon will go in this fight ...and gain that confidence early on...what I am saying is that Leon will have too much technical ability against Usman in rounds 1 and 2 that he will let it go a little more than he has done before...

Am I just saying this? To think Leon is going to win...NO, I am saying this because that is what will happen. Leon will let it go more early on just by the fact its their 3rd fight.

Leon, is at a turning point vs Usman down turning point, that is why he will do better in this fight. Leon will be smarter in this fight vs Usman because Leon has his number. As a fan, I can tell you, what I see in fighters and Leon has an advantage in this fight because between the last 2 fights Leon actually overall had not only a technical advantage but a striking advantage.

SO what I am saying is stylistically, Leon has an advantage even more based on the last two fights they had with each other...I been watching UFC since it started...I am telling you...Leon will win this cause Leon will have more tools like JJ does. But now, when it goes to ground and on their feet, we will see Usman trying to hang on.....

Leon stylistically is too dangerous...if Leon stays safe he can still pull it off but if he lets it go he can KO him again...Leon wins by 3rd or 4th round...I am calling it...they both have a feel for each other now...but Leon will be much more comfortable in this fight cause he is going to make reads on Usman now that will make Leon let it go more earlier on. Thats the problem for Usman....Leon will read him too well in this 3rd fight...

Leon wins....calling it..it wont go to decision...Leon will finish Usman by 3rd or 4th round...

what do you guys think? and when this happens come back and post I was right!! I been right many times before with my friends in calling fights....Just saying...Leon finishes Usman by 3rd or 4th round...watch
 
Leon took him down in the first and knocked him out in the 5. He can absolutely win this.

But Camaro has proven that he is the all around better fighter, it will come down to how he has mentally dealt with the KO loss. If I was to bet, my money would be on Usman.
 
OP seems like a professional at this MMA stuff.

Convinced me to bet my baby momma's tax refund.

You better be right.
 
It's the likely outcome. Usman is the better all around fighter but he's getting old. He can definitely win but I think he loses again.
 
Crazy Librarian said:
I've been saying this for a while, Leon is going to beat the crap out of Marty. If Marty somehow wins, even by DQ or luck, I'll leave Sherdog forever.
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ComfortablyNumb55 said:
OP seems like a professional at this MMA stuff.

Convinced me to bet my baby momma's tax refund.

You better be right.
Click to expand...
Don't worry, I am right not because I think so but just look at their 2 fights...and why Leon KO'd Usman...now heading into the 3rd fight in what Usman can bring vs Leon. The problem for Usman vs the problem for Leon are polarized...Usman needs to do things he never could to Leon in a GSP way which he never had...Usman will by 3rd round look like he is hanging on...Leon by 3rd or 4th round.
 
dc007 said:
It's the likely outcome. Usman is the better all around fighter but he's getting old. He can definitely win but I think he loses again.
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Well Usmans career so far is better overall but against Leon its another problem for him...its not Usman vs Burns or others..its Usman vs Leon...thats the problem. Leon stylistically works perfectly against Usman's style...Usman has a real problem here.
 
i think usman has the skills to wrestlefuck for 7 rounds +, but he just seems a little off. this is just my gut feeling. i also predicted total domination from jon jones over gane and my temporary ban from sherdog, so obviously, im a mystic
 
Davidjacksonjones said:
Agreed! I hope its a great fight.
Great analysis man
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yeah, but its not great till it happens...if Leon wins...then its great...I am so confident in this that I want you to know that when it happens..it wasn't cause I predicted it ...but just stated facts between the first 2 fighters between these two fighters.....Leon will be very smart with his team on what happened in the first 2 fights. Leon played it way to safe in the second fight....but its the third fight,....Leon will take away where he went wrong with the judges in that 2nd fight...vs the `1st fight that was close....He will see, Leon, will see, that he can't do the stupid crap he did in the 2nd fight....leading up to his 5th round KO...Leon will actually, be more like his first fight ....it will be savage style...for the Judges to know Leon will put Usman in a situation that Usman needs to do more...vs Leon needing to with that 5th round by KO...

Usman has to GSP Leon to win but it wont happen in this 3rd match...Leon will technically put Usman on the defense and when Usman tries to play Leons game in that late 2nd round...Leon will come out in the the third with his reads on Usman like something out of a bag of tricks and Usman will fall because Usman will not be able to GSP him...Leon will technically beat him by ko or tko
 
Edwards doesn't have heavy hands. His left hand has just okish power.
Usman's chin is ok, far from great though.

Still Edwards only has a head kick ko chance, which is like ~15%. And a ~5% bodykick chance.
He did well in the first round and that's about it.

Edwards is in his prime though at 31, getting better. So his chances improved.
While Usman at 35 is past prime and collecting injuries.

Got Usman 70 to 30
 
Crazy Librarian said:
I've been saying this for a while, Leon is going to beat the crap out of Marty. If Marty somehow wins, even by DQ or luck, I'll leave Sherdog forever.
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No you won't brada. Win or lose, you're staying.

giphy.gif
 
ComfortablyNumb55 said:
OP seems like a professional at this MMA stuff.

Convinced me to bet my baby momma's tax refund.

You better be right.
Click to expand...
How much did you win off this?
I hope to God you didn't just take my advice but he won at least...would never want to be responsible for someone else bet ..go to real pros for that

I still think he could have won it in 3rd or 4th round but played it safe...Leon has a questionable chin so maybe it was the smart thing
But it pretty much went the way I thought....its easy to predict cause Leon was something else in that first match as they both were rising
Leon pretty much did the same thing but did it better this time.
Not surprised because his first 2 fights had mistakes by him in them by him as a young rising star, not, an old man tying to maintain.
 
textwarrior said:
How much did you win off this?
I hope to God you didn't just take my advice but he won at least...would never want to be responsible for someone else bet ..go to real pros for that

I still think he could have won it in 3rd or 4th round but played it safe...Leon has a questionable chin so maybe it was the smart thing
But it pretty much went the way I thought....its easy to predict cause Leon was something else in that first match as they both were rising
Leon pretty much did the same thing but did it better this time.
Not surprised because his first 2 fights had mistakes by him in them by him as a young rising star, not, an old man tying to maintain.
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Nothing lol.

Didn't bet.

But you called a win!
 
Good prediction! I was leaning in a similar route with Leon finishing Marty in the 3rd or 4th, Leon's star was on the rise, while Marty "My Knees are literally 116 years old, I have to levitate down the stairs" Usman is on the slide. The sport is sometimes ruthless, but almost always beautiful!
 
WoozyFailGuy said:
Good prediction! I was leaning in a similar route with Leon finishing Marty in the 3rd or 4th, Leon's star was on the rise, while Marty "My Knees are literally 116 years old, I have to levitate down the stairs" Usman is on the slide. The sport is sometimes ruthless, but almost always beautiful!
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Yeah, that was the thing...I saw Marty on a down turning point vs Leon
I really thought, Leon would finish Usman in 3rd or 4th round
But Usman still was dangerous enough to make comfortable Leon hold back
Leon, like I thought, made so many great reads on Usman...in rounds 1 and 2
Thats the trick, see who is reading who more
Leon, in round 1...was clearly making better reads
People who don't know, you can tell, because one fighter actually gets comfortable and reacts well
Leon did that in rounds 1 and 2...d
but yeah good fight...Leon team did well.
 
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