Elections Media pollsters pull a "Hillary 2016" in Florida Race

[EGarrett]

That's exactly what I said.

Bro look at the pic in the op.

All of them except 1..quinnapic.


As I said, most of the polls were within the margim of error.

No again. If you take Quinnipiac's 3.5% as a normal margin of error, then 6 out of the 7 failed by greater than that.

And the one that wasn't was given an "unrated" score by FiveThirtyEight (the second best they rated "C+"). So not only was this NOT explained by their margin of error, but FiveThirtyEight was also exactly wrong in its own confidence level in rating the poll results.

So what the heck are you talking about?

 

[VivaRevolution]

Yesterday, the media's polling predictions in Florida, as reported by FiveThirtyEight, had Andrew Gillum dominating the Governor race by as much as 7 points.

The Republican Ron DeSantis won.

What the **** is wrong with these people?

Wow. This one is way worse. That is outside the margin of error. That is literally guaranteed fraud in that polling.

 

[TheBlondBomber]

They underestimated just how racist that state really is. We all knew they were dumb.

Gillum is a dummy who has accomplished nothing in his life besides getting elected to government positions. That’s his only skill.

 

[Which Doctor]

No again. If you take Quinnipiac's 3.5% as a normal margin of error, then 6 out of the 7 failed by greater than that.

And the one that wasn't was given an "unrated" score by FiveThirtyEight (the second best they rated "C+"). So not only was this NOT explained by their margin of error, but FiveThirtyEight was also exactly wrong in its own confidence level in rating the poll results.

So what the heck are you talking about?

Nothing. He's just blabbing. Blabbing about Mars.

 

[Mr. Shickadance]

If you heard the radio ads Gillum ran in Florida you would not have voted for him either. He or whoever did the ads yelled throughout it about gun control and pushing stricter gun laws and working to repeal stand your ground. Also he did a lot harm to Jacksonville and it saw a sharp rise in crime under his watch.

Explain.

 

[ocean size]

The frightening thing is that it appears they learned absolutely nothing from 2016.

They weren't joking. They really did tell themselves that it was "Russian hackers" or invisible deplorables (who somehow elected Obama twice), and just kept doing the exact same thing, right on down to the phony polls where they ask their friends and call that the official numbers. (seriously though, these "pollsters" really have been caught just asking a group of like 60% democrats who they were going to vote for then declaring that Hillary had a 10-point lead).

I love that the dumbest poll among them, where Gillum had a blowout 7% lead, is rated an A- by 538, and the ones that had it the closest are unrated and C+.

Oh hop off it. You are talking about a single race out of north of 500. It happens to be in the top 3 upsets. The polls were quite good across the country.

 

[EGarrett]

Explain.

He means Tallahassee. Gillum was mayor of Tallahassee. I know because I went to school with him there. (but never talked to him)

 

[Mr. Shickadance]

He means Tallahassee. Gillum was mayor of Tallahassee. I know because I went to school with him there. (but never talked to him)

I figured that's what he meant it just seemed odd to me for someone so knowledgeable of the guy to get wrong.

 

[EGarrett]

Oh hop off it. You are talking about a single race out of north of 500. It happens to be in the top 3 upsets. The polls were quite good across the country.

I bet if I took the time to look at more (but I probably won't because I have better things to do), I'd find more of this. No offense but a democrat claiming the polls were good isn't exactly reliable.

 

[44nutman]

If you heard the radio ads Gillum ran in Florida you would not have voted for him either. He or whoever did the ads yelled throughout it about gun control and pushing stricter gun laws and working to repeal stand your ground. Also he did a lot harm to Jacksonville and it saw a sharp rise in crime under his watch.

Tallahassee, Dum Dum.

 

[ocean size]

I bet if I took the time to look at more (but I probably won't because I have better things to do), I'd find more of this. No offense but a democrat claiming the polls were good isn't exactly reliable.

Yeah you won't look further into it before making a pronouncement so you will post about one race and say how it represents how the pollsters in general have learned nothing.

You hack.

 

[EGarrett]

Yeah you won't look further into it before making a pronouncement so you will post about one race and say how it represents how the pollsters in general have learned nothing.

You hack.

I looked at one race and found apparent fraud. Just like your group tried on a national scale in 2016. I'm glad it touched a nerve though, because if you're angry about it and still can't offer a defense, it just underlines the point.

 

[ocean size]

I looked at one race and found apparent fraud. Just like your group tried on a national scale in 2016. I'm glad it touched a nerve though, because if you're angry about it and still can't offer a defense, it just underlines the point.

the election didn't go as polled previously and that is 'apparent fraud'?



Well shit lucky for the people of Florida we have Sherdog's own Mueller Jr. on the case.

 

[EGarrett]

the election didn't go as polled previously and that is 'apparent fraud'?

Nice try. The election didn't go as polled according to ALL 7 of the sources chosen by FiveThirtyEight in their sample, to a degree that was OUTSIDE their margin of error, and in the EXACT reverse of their confidence rating. Given that there's a history of this, yes, there's DEFINITELY something fishy.

This cognitive dissonance must be frustrating for you. You obviously can't defend these bizarre and embarrassing results, but still want to lash out at me.

 

[RockstarChris]

Yesterday, the media's polling predictions in Florida, as reported by FiveThirtyEight, had Andrew Gillum dominating the Governor race by as much as 7 points.

The Republican Ron DeSantis won.

What the **** is wrong with these people?

They dont live in reality

 

[EGarrett]

They dont live in reality

This article from last year might shed some light on matters:

'Fraud': Mainstream polls use 29% more Democrats than Republicans

Most of the top political polls that got the 2016 presidential race dead wrong are continuing to use a flawed methodology in rating President Trump's approval ratings that favors Democrats, women and younger voters, according to a new analysis.

The report shows that the mainstream polls oversample an average of 29 percent more Democrats than Republicans and the results skew anti-Trump.

 

[Gambit MMA]

media pollsters are just propagandists. its just to discourage voter turnout. 2016 was the biggest example of this.

 

[KONG-D'SNT-TAP]

Nothing like voting in a climate change denier in a state like Florida.

Florida stay dumb per ususal

 

[franklinstower]

The polls are inaccurate. Everyone is afraid of retribution if they say they support a pathological liar for racist or monetary reasons (publicly or privately)

When the youth rebels, like they always do, it will be against this fascism. Which is why people are saying these up and coming millennials are the most conservative generation ever

Fixed it for you.

 

[franklinstower]

Liberals are racist swine. There is no level of propaganda they won’t use

Member birtherism? I member......