Maia Prayer Vigil

Ishaq said:
Rounds 1-3: Stuff all takedowns. Use upper body strength in the clinch to defend takedown. Maia starts getting frustrated and making telegraphed shots from way outside shooting range. By round 4, Maia is exhausted and takedown attempts become quite timid. Woodley clocks him with an overhand right and it's game over.
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Woodley has never, in his entire career, KO'd anyone after the first round. Apart from Condit's knee exploding the only person he's ever finished at all after the first is Zach "How Do Cornering" Light.
 
Zefram Cochrane said:
Bro, the most important fight of Holy Maia is here. The Pious People of BJJ require one last effort from you. Post your pick and work your magic again, my friend.
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Look, the buck stops here. Woodley is too fast on the feet, and too good of a wrestler to give up those takedowns. He's patient to the point of complete inactivity on the feet, so he won't give many openings for an easy takedown. And Maia has had a short camp so there's a question as to how long he can apply a grinding style. Woodley takes it by T/KO and I hope I'm wrong.
 
PointyShinyBurn said:
Woodley has never, in his entire career, KO'd anyone after the first round. Apart from Condit's knee exploding the only person he's ever finished at all after the first is Zach "How Do Cornering" Light.
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Didn't he drop wonderboy in the third round or something though? It doesn't matter. When Maia is exhausted from failed take-down attempts, he will get lit up.
 
I'm not sure why so many people think Woodley is a bad matchup for Maia. The tough matchup for Maia is someone with great range control and footwork to avoid any clinching or takedown attempts. Woodley consistently backs up to the cage. That is not where he wants to be with Maia. Woodley may be the better wrestler, but I'll take Maia when it comes to wrestling against the cage or finding his way to the back from there. Watch how often Shields had Woodley against the cage. Not exactly an imposing striker or a guy with fast shots.

On top of that, the knock against Maia is his gas tank. Woodley has a similar issue, especially if he's fighting off attacks from Maia. I think this fight screams Woodley either catching Maia with a big punch early or he's in for a tough fight. I'd be shocked to see Woodley play matador here and just stuff Maia with ease.
 
Oblivian said:
I'm not sure why so many people think Woodley is a bad matchup for Maia. The tough matchup for Maia is someone with great range control and footwork to avoid any clinching or takedown attempts. Woodley consistently backs up to the cage. That is not where he wants to be with Maia. Woodley may be the better wrestler, but I'll take Maia when it comes to wrestling against the cage or finding his way to the back from there. Watch how often Shields had Woodley against the cage. Not exactly an imposing striker or a guy with fast shots.

On top of that, the knock against Maia is his gas tank. Woodley has a similar issue, especially if he's fighting off attacks from Maia. I think this fight screams Woodley either catching Maia with a big punch early or he's in for a tough fight. I'd be shocked to see Woodley play matador here and just stuff Maia with ease.
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Your post gives me hope. If he does get the takedown, why doesn't Maia employ a more vicious GnP riding style like Khabib instead of attacking the RNC and risk being reversed.

That would have been more useful especially in a fight like the Masvidal fight where the opponent is very good at defending the neck.
 
loyalyolayal said:
From halfguard? Maia would just go for a leg. Worst case scenario, he gets clobbered while going for the single. He would then go back to half guard. Repeat.
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Woodley's vicious from top half, maybe his best position, and Maia has taken damage there in the past.
 
Ishaq said:
Didn't he drop wonderboy in the third round or something though? It doesn't matter. When Maia is exhausted from failed take-down attempts, he will get lit up.
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So a guy who has never KO'd anyone after the first vs. a guy who has only been KO'd once, also in the first, and your prediction is... late KO?

Genius.
 
Ishaq said:
Your post gives me hope. If he does get the takedown, why doesn't Maia employ a more vicious GnP riding style like Khabib instead of attacking the RNC and risk being reversed.

That would have been more useful especially in a fight like the Masvidal fight where the opponent is very good at defending the neck.
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cause hes not khabib and truthfully, bodylock backpacking its quite a good strategy and seems to be much more efficient in order to get the W than what kahbib does. Khabib is a td monster, so is maia, but khabib is way younger and way more explosive than demina, hes been proven to have aboslutely no problem taking people down, while maia is a very good td artist, he can be stopped, not through the whole fight, eventually he will find the way to take his opponent down, but that drains him a lot, khabib has good control, but he he loses position a lot, but hes so confident on his tds, that he has no problem letting hs opponet get back up just to take him down again.
 
The Holy One in his infinite wisdom managed to take down the Defiler chael Sonnen- surely in all his power and Grace he can do the same to woodly.
 
Ishaq said:
Your post gives me hope. If he does get the takedown, why doesn't Maia employ a more vicious GnP riding style like Khabib instead of attacking the RNC and risk being reversed.

That would have been more useful especially in a fight like the Masvidal fight where the opponent is very good at defending the neck.
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Not his style. Make no mistake, Maia will live or die with the back take. Perhaps a better speculation might be whether Maia should risk a non-RNC sub attempt, especially if he feels like he won't have many opportunities to engage Woodley on the ground.
 
Ishaq said:
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Twood is vicious from HG? well that is what maia is counting on.

His askren bias in clouding his thoughts.

If TWood goes from GnP from hg. hes getting sweept. Wonderboy is no maia, that is a horrible example of how vicious woodley is from HG.
 
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BJJ_Rage said:
scout once again severly underrating maia.

Twood is vicious from HG? well that is what maia is counting on.

His askren bias in clouding his thoughts.

If TWood goes from GnP from hg. hes getting sweept. Wonderboy is no maia, that is a horrible example of how vicious woodley is from HG.
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I love Maia as much as you but he's not immune from taking punishment on the ground. He took quite a few heavy shots from Masvidal.

Also, Twood has the second best takedown defence record in the history of the UFC. Jake Shields had 18 attempts on him and failed. This is not an easy guy for Maia to takedown. Not an easy fight for Maia.
 
Ishaq said:
I love Maia as much as you but he's not immune from taking punishment on the ground. He took quite a few heavy shots from Masvidal.

Also, Twood has the second best takedown defence record in the history of the UFC. Jake Shields had 18 attempts on him and failed. This is not an easy guy for Maia to takedown. Not an easy fight for Maia.
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the last 10 secs and he did not take any significan punishment. Swinging your hands fast doesnt mean you are conecting, 10 more secs and masvidal woudlve been sweept. Maia lives out of people trying to GnP him from HG, masvidal was not the first nor guy trying to do it, all of them got swept, he knows hes going to eat a few on his way to the sweep, but he keeps his head safe.

I agree that wont be easy for maia to get the td, but getting GnP from hg is a disaster recipe from TW, you can be sure as hell he isnt going to try that. dude is smart, I bet my life hes not going to try to outgrapple maia, hell just try to stand back up and pull out of the situation, he doesnt need to fight on the ground, maia does.
 
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