Khabib x Tony most likely methods of victory

[The Legendary Scarface]

So Vegas has it in this order: 1, 3, 4, 6, 2, 5.

Khabib by KO/TKO = +600
Tony by KO/TKO = +800
Khabib by sub = +250
Tony by sub = +550
Khabib by decision = +225
Tony by decision = +450

Source. Find the fight about halfway down the page and then click the "Props" icon on the far right. It looks like a chart.

Interesting. So a finish is far more likely than a decision according to Vegas.

 

[mkess101]

Interesting. So a finish is far more likely than a decision according to Vegas.

Yeah, and I think Tony KO/TKO is more likely than Khabib KO/TKO. That +800 might have value. My order would be:

Khabib dec 35%
Tony KO/TKO 20%
Tony dec 15%
Tony sub 15%
Khabib sub 10%
Khabib KO/TKO 5%

I really, REALLY don't see Khabib finishing Tony via strikes.

 

[SeattleFightFan]

Interesting. So a finish is far more likely than a decision according to Vegas.

Actually, no. Fight goes to decision and doesn’t go to decision are both -120. Even odds.

I imagine there are some intelligent combination of bets that a good gambler could take advantage of here

@mkess101 ? Any suggestions?