- Joined
- Sep 4, 2004
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My best guess is that Conquest Mo Money will profile something like this with the above categories;
82, 93, 94 (90-ish) * 10, 5, 2 (P, T, T) * 2nd last race * 23.4 ft * 3/3
Classic Empire beat him by a half length and got a 95 combined BSF/BRIS figure, so Conquest Mo Money will only be a point behind him. He'll have the maintain or improve BSF/BRIS numbers, though, and my guess is that this last race is the highest of those. He got a 99 BRIS for the Sunland Derby, but since Hence only got a 93 BSF, that likely puts Conquest Mo Money in the 87 BSF range or thereabouts considering margin of victory by Hence. My late pace number for him is a complete guess. He should get a new top from Saturday's race considering how much ground he lost in the 1st turn, and going into the race I seem to remember him having a 10 and 5 over his last two races. Finished 2nd last race and has had 3 races over a mile and 3 races with 10+field sizes. Yeah, he should check in at least 5 categories, and probably 6. Shit, it may even be 7 since he's only just a touch short on my estimated stride length, which I could certainly be off by a point or two on. My big concern with him is the amount of racing he's already done this year (5 races since Jan 6th) and the fact that he's going to be asked to enter a demanding race like the Derby off only 3 weeks of rest after already running a lot so far this year (the Derby would be his 6th race this year already). Some horses can handle a schedule like that, but not too many. If I owned him I'd think about giving him a little rest and then maybe looking at the Preakness instead which he'd be better suited for regardless. If he does enter the Derby and we are thinking about playing him, he'd be one to watch really close in his workout(s) leading up to the race to see if he's displaying good energy.
82, 93, 94 (90-ish) * 10, 5, 2 (P, T, T) * 2nd last race * 23.4 ft * 3/3
Classic Empire beat him by a half length and got a 95 combined BSF/BRIS figure, so Conquest Mo Money will only be a point behind him. He'll have the maintain or improve BSF/BRIS numbers, though, and my guess is that this last race is the highest of those. He got a 99 BRIS for the Sunland Derby, but since Hence only got a 93 BSF, that likely puts Conquest Mo Money in the 87 BSF range or thereabouts considering margin of victory by Hence. My late pace number for him is a complete guess. He should get a new top from Saturday's race considering how much ground he lost in the 1st turn, and going into the race I seem to remember him having a 10 and 5 over his last two races. Finished 2nd last race and has had 3 races over a mile and 3 races with 10+field sizes. Yeah, he should check in at least 5 categories, and probably 6. Shit, it may even be 7 since he's only just a touch short on my estimated stride length, which I could certainly be off by a point or two on. My big concern with him is the amount of racing he's already done this year (5 races since Jan 6th) and the fact that he's going to be asked to enter a demanding race like the Derby off only 3 weeks of rest after already running a lot so far this year (the Derby would be his 6th race this year already). Some horses can handle a schedule like that, but not too many. If I owned him I'd think about giving him a little rest and then maybe looking at the Preakness instead which he'd be better suited for regardless. If he does enter the Derby and we are thinking about playing him, he'd be one to watch really close in his workout(s) leading up to the race to see if he's displaying good energy.