I think it'd have to favor the one that combated the other's strengths last time and won. Jones gameplan actually want's optimal. He willingly engaged in the clinch and was landing elbows and knees to the body even when he was fending off uppercuts early. He also wasn't as tight as he could be with his kicks which lead to a couple of TD attempts by DC.
Jones coming in knowing he and his camp can shut down the chain wrestling of DC and already have a few ways to not just neutralize but take advantage in the clinch against him is a huge boon.
AKA seems aware of how much damage Cormier absorbed when he was wading his away inside which is a start. Unfortunately for them, making it that kind of ugly fight is probably the best option. He isn't going to outpoint Jones from the outside and he has to economize his energy when attempting to chain wrestle. Neither Jones or DC could really hold the other down but the difference in energy expended was massive. One hit all but one of their TDs(officially 3 of 5 as the trip at the 4th round buzzer wasn't counted for w/e reason) effortlessly and the other took 23 minutes and 8 attempts to realize a short lived TD that got him spinning elbowed for his troubles moments later.
I think it favors JBJ having a winning gameplan that has room to grow while DC has no real new wrinkles in his game, thus far, and is facing a fighter that already often comes out with something else to watch out for each time out.