If he is even then he won't. I like this fight; both have good chins, don't back down, this is gonna be a slugfest and neither guy has got anything to lose (except a couple of braincells). If Diaz wins, Conor will still get the TS at LW because "he fought 2 weight classes above his own" and "say what you will but it takes balls to take on a long time veteran, one of the most dangerous fighters in the sport, at such short notice at welterweight." Not a big chance that Diaz is gonna knock Conor out cold too. So should Conor win the LW title, it immediately sets up a "highly anticipated rematch, but now with the weight cut". If Conor wins, Dana will squirt and call Conor "the p4p best fighter in the world." It'l set up a TS at LW and will let talk of a WW TS start rolling as well. If it is competitive, the rematch talks rolls again, if Conor KO's him, they'll just say "fuck Diaz, he's unmarketable anyway and he got his paycheck so."