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Kyle is an excellent player, but not HOF caliber.
IMO, only players that are clearly special at their given position deserve to be in there. Players that dominate throughout their career.
At PG, guys that come to mind are Stockton, Nash, Magic, Kidd, Isaiah. I think Lowry is a level below those guys.
I certainly agree with you that's what the HOF should consist of, but clearly it is not. Let's just stick with the PG position, everyone you mentioned def belongs in the HOF, but then you have guys that I would consider a tier below that are currently in the HOF such as Calvin Murphy, Charlie Scott, and Mo Cheeks. Lowry's resume is clearly better than Murphy's, on par with Scott's, and a bit below Cheeks'.
I think the other thing that is worth mentioning that will clearly help Lowry's HOF chances is the fact that he played in Toronto and won there. The Naismith HOF is in love with international impact and it can't be understated that he was essentially the most consistent face of Canadian professional basketball during their playoff runs.
So long as he doesn't pull a Tim Hardaway or Kevin Johnson, then Lowry should be a shoe in (probably not his first year eligible, but definitely somewhere down the road).