Robbie is a much better striker than Tyron. He'll even have a reach advantage in this fight, which he didn't have against Rory and Condit and Brown. Do you think Woodley has what it takes to outwrestle Lawler for 5 rounds and not gas? Lawler has great TDD. All Woodley has is a puncher's chance, albeit a big one with his power, and the wars Robbie's been in.
There's been lots of titles changing hands recently, and lots of upsets, but I don't think this will be one added to that list.