International Immigration explained ~62% of Denmark's 51% house price surge (1999–2016)

Unproductive land speculators also equals people who buy lots with the intention of building but don’t have the monetary capability in the moment. This discourages normal people from building and limits construction to corporations.
Plus mortgage speculators too and these are also private pensions funds and insurance funds and private investment funds.

Therefore after BREXIT mortgage prices in areas where is demand had rised almost each 6 months cycles in row ....and demands to pay more % as first payment increased steadily even during covid era.
More £ and more % first payments for locals etc too ofc.
 
I see a lot of words, but not much in terms of valid critique against the findings of Anna Piil Damm, Ahmad Hassani, Anil Kumar, and Juan Carlos Parra-Alvarez.

So you don't think increased demand leads to increased costs?
Where I live the price increase is due to a lack of supply.

Boomers are fighting against any form of construction under the guise of environmentalism.

Therefore, no new construction leads to a jump in housing costs.

When they finally do retire, they sell at an artificially high price, then move away to a warmer climate

Families can't afford to live in my town anymore. School population has plummeted. Many have lost their job. A school just closed.

The median age and house price have skyrocketed in the past decade
 
No in theory all lands is taxed at the same rate. In practice sometimes you might have to accept exemptions to make tax reform in this direction politically viable but if it was solely up to me I'd tax all land ownership. Remember in theory I'd also use revenue from LVT to pay for rate cuts on income, corporate, and capital gains taxes.

The idea is to shift the tax burden from workers and businesses to land owners. Many of us are some combination or all three of those things, like the sole proprietor of a non-employee firm who owns the land their business is on, so the point is to incentive wealth creation through labor and capital than rent seeking by cutting taxes on the former. Like you said earlier LVT encourages productive land use and that's because it discourages rent seeking and land speculation which extract value without creating it.

As to your point about developing farms and nature reserves, in theory that's where zoning reform comes in. I think it's better for cities to build upwards on already developed land near the city center than to constantly sprawl outwards with low density residential developments which eat up those farms and nature preserves. It also makes city services more expensive per acre and contributes significantly to municipal debt. For a visual representation:

images
LOL, I love you man but this is literally an ad for communist dormitories....

There's a better and more sensible answer, somewhere in the middle.....as usual.
 
I hate people. I don't want my neighbor's noise or cockroaches. I want a yard and a garden and chickens. The world is huge. Stop trying to smash me together with others. Having acreage is literally the best.
Okay you can have that, I'm just saying you should pay taxes on the land value so that if you invest in it you're not increasing your tax bill because this encourages land speculation and hoarding of vacant lots. Under an LVT you wouldn't pay any tax on any improvements on the land and in a perfect world you also wouldn't pay much income or capital gains tax so even if the LVT is steep you'd presumably be able to make up for it with increased take home income and capital gains. The more productive your labor and capital the more land you can afford to own while still absorbing the LVT.
Unproductive land speculators also equals people who buy lots with the intention of building but don’t have the monetary capability in the moment. This discourages normal people from building and limits construction to corporations.
No it doesn't discourage building, quite the opposite it encourages it. In your example that person would just sell the land to someone who is willing and able to develop it in the short term. Better it gets sold off and developed then left as a vacant lot.
LOL, I love you man but this is literally an ad for communist dormitories....

There's a better and more sensible answer, somewhere in the middle.....as usual.
With all due respect but a little offense intended, this is silly. Georgism and the LVT are the exact opposite of communism.

Marx and Lenin disagreed with the ideas of Henry George's LVT, seeing it as a way to merely reform capitalism than abolish it, while the likes Winston Churchill and Milton Friedman were big fans.
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Yes it would encourage dense developments in the most valuable land but the point of an LVT is to discourage land speculation and rent seeking which as a byproduct means more productive land use. What that looks like in practice will vary across space and time. What I think would happen with an LVT and zoning reform is that cities would become gradients of density. The closer to the downtown core the more likely you are to see dense high rises and the further out in the outskirts of the city you are the more likely you are to see larger properties or semi-rural suburbs but there would be lots of variations in between like medium density suburbs or even agricultural communities based on smaller plots and more labor intensive agriculture like market gardening.

So if you're dead set on living on a larger plot it'll actually be easier to find one under a system of LVT as it discourages sprawl which tends to eat up agricultural land and nature preserves.
 
Okay you can have that, I'm just saying you should pay taxes on the land value so that if you invest in it you're not increasing your tax bill because this encourages land speculation and hoarding of vacant lots. Under an LVT you wouldn't pay any tax on any improvements on the land and in a perfect world you also wouldn't pay much income or capital gains tax so even if the LVT is steep you'd presumably be able to make up for it with increased take home income and capital gains. The more productive your labor and capital the more land you can afford to own while still absorbing the LVT.

No it doesn't discourage building, quite the opposite it encourages it. In your example that person would just sell the land to someone who is willing and able to develop it in the short term. Better it gets sold off and developed then left as a vacant lot.

With all due respect but a little offense intended, this is silly. Georgism and the LVT are the exact opposite of communism.

Marx and Lenin disagreed with the ideas of Henry George's LVT, seeing it as a way to merely reform capitalism than abolish it, while the likes Winston Churchill and Milton Friedman were big fans.
rvjj9qdbtmzc1.jpeg

EjNli5EUcAAP5I9.png
winston-churchills-views-on-profiting-from-landownership-v0-amirxwwoax9e1.png
ueaa96wmxrkc1.png
bihfvxtthese1.jpeg

Yes it would encourage dense developments in the most valuable land but the point of an LVT is to discourage land speculation and rent seeking which as a byproduct means more productive land use. What that looks like in practice will vary across space and time. What I think would happen with an LVT and zoning reform is that cities would become gradients of density. The closer to the downtown core the more likely you are to see dense high rises and the further out in the outskirts of the city you are the more likely you are to see larger properties or semi-rural suburbs but there would be lots of variations in between like medium density suburbs or even agricultural communities based on smaller plots and more labor intensive agriculture like market gardening.

So if you're dead set on living on a larger plot it'll actually be easier to find one under a system of LVT as it discourages sprawl which tends to eat up agricultural land and nature preserves.
Once again, you’re simply encouraging large corporations at the detriment of individuals.
 
How? Are you not going to engage with what I wrote there?
Everyone knows there are just a horde of regular folks with a couple million bucks to burn building a couple apartment units or a small condo complex. They just need some time to pull the funds and financing together.
 
Okay you can have that, I'm just saying you should pay taxes on the land value so that if you invest in it you're not increasing your tax bill because this encourages land speculation and hoarding of vacant lots. Under an LVT you wouldn't pay any tax on any improvements on the land and in a perfect world you also wouldn't pay much income or capital gains tax so even if the LVT is steep you'd presumably be able to make up for it with increased take home income and capital gains. The more productive your labor and capital the more land you can afford to own while still absorbing the LVT.

No it doesn't discourage building, quite the opposite it encourages it. In your example that person would just sell the land to someone who is willing and able to develop it in the short term. Better it gets sold off and developed then left as a vacant lot.

With all due respect but a little offense intended, this is silly. Georgism and the LVT are the exact opposite of communism.

Marx and Lenin disagreed with the ideas of Henry George's LVT, seeing it as a way to merely reform capitalism than abolish it, while the likes Winston Churchill and Milton Friedman were big fans.
rvjj9qdbtmzc1.jpeg

EjNli5EUcAAP5I9.png
winston-churchills-views-on-profiting-from-landownership-v0-amirxwwoax9e1.png
ueaa96wmxrkc1.png
bihfvxtthese1.jpeg

Yes it would encourage dense developments in the most valuable land but the point of an LVT is to discourage land speculation and rent seeking which as a byproduct means more productive land use. What that looks like in practice will vary across space and time. What I think would happen with an LVT and zoning reform is that cities would become gradients of density. The closer to the downtown core the more likely you are to see dense high rises and the further out in the outskirts of the city you are the more likely you are to see larger properties or semi-rural suburbs but there would be lots of variations in between like medium density suburbs or even agricultural communities based on smaller plots and more labor intensive agriculture like market gardening.

So if you're dead set on living on a larger plot it'll actually be easier to find one under a system of LVT as it discourages sprawl which tends to eat up agricultural land and nature preserves.
There are things that historically areas in cities had different pros and cons..also prices.

A. For example busy areas in city where mortgage is expensive because good for offices, night club, pubs, tourism agencies and also ofc retail sales businesses and gambling industry etc.

So therefore mortgage is expensive and land too.

If area is prestigious then also flats and apartments are very expensive while you have cons : busy street 24/7 mode and it isn't cool if in building where you have flat is 24/7 club, pawnshop, gambling stuff and so on.

So you get to pay damn a lot and will have property in building with good upkeep investments while.... yeah, environment.


Then there are industrial areas, where these power plants, factories etc ....and again noise 24/7 etc cons.


Then heaven type variant, enough close to important areas, without busy night life and still very good communications etc, still you usually will see no one if will walk early morning etc and noise will be low.
These are in high demand by ppl who does knows area in city in depth.

Lowest rent and mortgage prices are in city areas called criminal holes. However not always it will be easy to see from first visit.
Some ppl are living and doing even businesses in these and are relatively safe.
Interestingly I had shocking experience with criminal hole area : best safety in real life.
However it depends.
 
I know one gentleman who had invested approx 400 000 € to purchase large flat in one building and now it's market price is approx 900 000 €. However he since 2010 th doesn't use this flat .... because in this building is located 24/7/365 club. With all outcomes and very rich owners....and these aren't idiots or rude plebs.
One solution is to rent it as office.
Comfort level is enough for daytime usage it might be cool.
 
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"Medium-Run Impacts of Immigration on the Housing Market: Evidence from a Quasi-Experimental Shift-Share Instrument" by Anna Piil Damm, Ahmad Hassani, Anil Kumar, and Juan Carlos Parra-Alvarez

Link to the study:


Key findings:


- A 1 percentage point rise in local immigration (over 5 years) boosts municipal private rents by 6% and house prices by 11%

- Immigration explained ~62% of Denmark's 51% house price surge (1999–2016), from index 1.49 to 2.25 (1992=100 base).

- At neighborhood level: 1pp immigration rise → 1.4% higher private rents, 2.2% higher house prices.

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If you massively increase the demand, it is no surprise that prices are going up.

Great, now look at what happens to a population with 1.55 fertility rate and no immigration.
Sure, housing will get cheaper which is great when you are forced to flip burger at 80 years old because your pension system is fucked.
 
Great, now look at what happens to a population with 1.55 fertility rate and no immigration.
Sure, housing will get cheaper which is great when you are forced to flip burger at 80 years old because your pension system is fucked.
That's what they don't get.

To be fair immigrants to Europe are less likely to assimilate and more likely to be on welfare and commit crimes than immigrants to the US so I concede there's more trade offs over there than here in America where it's an obvious net good by a decent margin. Still, you rarely see right wingers acknowledge the trade off much less address it seriously
 
Great, now look at what happens to a population with 1.55 fertility rate and no immigration.
Sure, housing will get cheaper which is great when you are forced to flip burger at 80 years old because your pension system is fucked.
If that is the option, why make it tough for skilled labor to migrate, but easy for people that lacks skills and values that are compatible with liberal societies…
 
If that is the option, why make it tough for skilled labor to migrate, but easy for people that lacks skills and values that are compatible with liberal societies…
I am a skilled immigrant and I can tell you that's not true, although some morons like Trump are starting to do that.
Illegal migrants and refugees have it way harder than me anywhere, pretending otherwise is just being brainwashed and disconnected from the real world.
 
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