General MMA discussion and future lines - June 2016

[Oblivian]

RFA 38: Moises vs. Emmers
JUNE 3, 2016
The Hangar at the OC Fair & Event Center | Costa Mesa, California

Main Card
AXS TV, 10 p.m. ET

Lightweight Title:

Jamall Emmers +220
Thiago Moises -300
–

Vinicius Zani +130
Joe Murphy -170

Karen Darabedyan +185
Christos Giagos -265

--------

couple zuffa vets in giagos & darabedyan there.. no clue what darebedyan's been up to, tho.

zani made it into the 4th round vs almeida... murphy lost his last two.. go go wiki cap..

moises' ground game is unreal.. he was losing to castillo last fight but as soon as he had his chance, sliiiiiick armbar. not familiar with emmers, tho.

leaning no plays, here. thoughts?

Do not tail - played Emmers, Darabedyan, and Murphy.

 

[piglord]

I want to place a bet for below dogs, need your opinions who will most likely to pull an upset at UFC 200:

Will it be Travis Browne, Amanda Nunes or Derek Brunson ??

Thanks

for me i would definitely say browne, and i'll be playing him. cain has had a bunch of injuries recently and his wars (both in and outside the gym) look like they're taking their toll. browne has a horrendous gas tank though so if it goes into deep waters he's gonna die.

 

[EzFlyer]

Do not tail - played Emmers, Darabedyan, and Murphy.

saw this too late, i was gonna do zani only, wish i did -- sorry you lost on the first two

 

[Agent Mulder]

I want to place a bet for below dogs, need your opinions who will most likely to pull an upset at UFC 200:

Will it be Travis Browne, Amanda Nunes or Derek Brunson ??

Thanks

I think Brunson is most likely to win but im on Browne DEC +800 and Nunes r1-2 +550.

 

[Oblivian]

saw this too late, i was gonna do zani only, wish i did -- sorry you lost on the first two

Lost them all! I literally only bet $3.75 though. AXS is almost always just action plays for something to do Friday night.

 

[rille31]

tj,roy, zingano lines up on 5d

 

[Roads55]

zingano pena lines been up for a while, tempted by lewis at 2.35

 

[rille31]

zingano pena lines been up for a while, tempted by lewis at 2.35

also mm,aj,lineker etc

chiesa,werdum, bader

 

[Joseph Budden]

Glad they put these lines up before tonight's event so I can make a couple long form hail mary parlays

 

[Agent Mulder]

Are the lines on 5d similar to unibet? Cant check without account.

 

[Joseph Budden]

Are the lines on 5d similar to unibet? Cant check without account.

Basically the same, yeah

 

[Jae Gibbz]

Are the lines on 5d similar to unibet? Cant check without account.

bestfightodds.com

 

[Jae Gibbz]

Conor -130
Nate +100

WW fight

 

[EzFlyer]

prior thread: http://forums.sherdog.com/threads/general-mma-discussion-and-future-lines-may-2016.3238547/

 

[mkess101]

Hit Glover +190. If line improves might add more, will also be looking for Glover itd. I like his chances here. Probably won't be worth hedging with Rumble rd 1, will be too juiced. We'll see.

So who watched Nate/Conor and thinks Conor should be favored LOL? This wasn't a fluke where a guy got caught or slipped up and gave up an unlikely sub. Conor fought EXACTLY how he fights, landed the same shots he lands on other guys, and Nate just ate them and smiled. The fight is once again at WW, I just don't know what else changes? Conor will be more "economical"? Okay...I mean I also hit the o2.5 at + odds because I do think Conor maybe tries to save a bit and not punch himself out early, but I don't see that being the difference in him winning or losing.

Adding to Nate at +100. I have him already at +115 and I think once they start rehashing how the last fight went that $ comes in on Nate and he's the favorite by fight time. Not even sure I'll hedge any off though unless Nate becomes a bigger favorite than I think he will.

 

[Joseph Budden]

I guess 5d is keeping Conor vs Nate bets from 200? They never refunded my Conor by dec play.

Will be interesting to see where these lines end up as that fight draws closer

 

[mkess101]

I guess 5d is keeping Conor vs Nate bets from 200? They never refunded my Conor by dec play.

Will be interesting to see where these lines end up as that fight draws closer

Yep so happy my Nate +115 bet stands. It showed a date of 12/31 so basically if the fight happens this year it's valid. I also like my o2.5 bet.

 

[waiguoren]

I guess 5d is keeping Conor vs Nate bets from 200? They never refunded my Conor by dec play.

Will be interesting to see where these lines end up as that fight draws closer

imo that's pretty shitty of them. Different date/venue/other variables could change your desired plays. Then again I guess their T&C specifies the bet stands as long as the fight occurs before X date.

 

[Joseph Budden]

imo that's pretty shitty of them. Different date/venue/other variables could change your desired plays. Then again I guess their T&C specifies the bet stands as long as the fight occurs before X date.

Yeah I didn't see a 12/31 date on my bet like mkess does, so personally I think it should be refunded, but considering I got that line at +600 I cant complain

 

[mkess101]

I suppose I'm all good with 5d keeping my bets live since I got better lines than they are now (and I think there's even plenty of value at current lines). Maybe I'd think differently if my lines were worse LOL.