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There's a narrative floating around that Johnson is ducking Dillashaw by way of pricing himself out in asking for a $2 million dollar purse, with those perpetuating this notion citing that: A) Johnson isn't worth it, and B) The UFC can't afford it.
Since we're essentially estimating the buyrate and gate for this "super fight", let's look at the last five PPVs as a reference (UFC's cut of the PPV revenue + live gate):
If a WMMA bout can generate $13 million in revenue, I don't think it's unreasonable to estimate a bout between two champions in Johnson and Dillashaw could safely generate $14 million in revenue, at the minimum. In 2017, Johnson did generate roughly $7,000,000 in revenue when he fought Ray Borg; Dillashaw hasn't been the main event since January of 2016, but he's historically been comparable to Johnson's numbers.
Now let's examine the claim that the UFC can't afford to pay Johnson that kind of money:
On a card with: Sylvia as the champion, Hughes coming off his first loss to GSP, and Franklin coming off his first loss to Silva, it was reported by LA Times later that year that Couture was paid a little over 11% of the gross revenue as the title challenger.
White was also on record that the UFC didn't start turning a profit until 2007, which was the year of this PPV.
Under the above circumstances, if the UFC can afford to pay Couture a little over 11% of the gross revenue as the title challenger, on a card with Sylvia, Hughes, and Franklin, over ten years ago, then it should hardly be an issue to pay their longest reigning champion the paltry sum of $2,000,000 (which would be a little over 14% of the minimum estimated revenue).
http://articles.latimes.com/2007/oct/31/sports/sp-ufc31
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/UFC_68
https://www.bloodyelbow.com/2015/10...odys-and-standard-poors-tell-us-about-the-ufc
Since we're essentially estimating the buyrate and gate for this "super fight", let's look at the last five PPVs as a reference (UFC's cut of the PPV revenue + live gate):
UFC 218: Holloway vs. Aldo 2
$8,900,000
UFC 219: Cyborg vs. Holm
$13,161,000
UFC 220: Miocic vs. Ngannou
$13,825,000
UFC 221: Romero vs. Rockhold
$7,025,000
UFC 222: Cyborg vs. Kunitskaya
$7,900,000
$8,900,000
UFC 219: Cyborg vs. Holm
$13,161,000
UFC 220: Miocic vs. Ngannou
$13,825,000
UFC 221: Romero vs. Rockhold
$7,025,000
UFC 222: Cyborg vs. Kunitskaya
$7,900,000
If a WMMA bout can generate $13 million in revenue, I don't think it's unreasonable to estimate a bout between two champions in Johnson and Dillashaw could safely generate $14 million in revenue, at the minimum. In 2017, Johnson did generate roughly $7,000,000 in revenue when he fought Ray Borg; Dillashaw hasn't been the main event since January of 2016, but he's historically been comparable to Johnson's numbers.
Now let's examine the claim that the UFC can't afford to pay Johnson that kind of money:
UFC 68: Sylvia vs. Couture
$12,647,360
$12,647,360
On a card with: Sylvia as the champion, Hughes coming off his first loss to GSP, and Franklin coming off his first loss to Silva, it was reported by LA Times later that year that Couture was paid a little over 11% of the gross revenue as the title challenger.
White was also on record that the UFC didn't start turning a profit until 2007, which was the year of this PPV.
Under the above circumstances, if the UFC can afford to pay Couture a little over 11% of the gross revenue as the title challenger, on a card with Sylvia, Hughes, and Franklin, over ten years ago, then it should hardly be an issue to pay their longest reigning champion the paltry sum of $2,000,000 (which would be a little over 14% of the minimum estimated revenue).
Sources/references:
http://articles.latimes.com/2007/oct/31/sports/sp-ufc31
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/UFC_68
https://www.bloodyelbow.com/2015/10...odys-and-standard-poors-tell-us-about-the-ufc