DWCS Week 5

EndlessCritic

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Haven't placed any bets yet.

Tons of late action on Ottoni.

Iwasaki is +700. Does he really have no chance?
 
Went Steele ML (-175) + U2.5 in the other Male fights. Skipped the Female one. Think we get a bunch of finishes tonight due to how many strikers there's on.

Yousri has yet to be finished in MMA, went 5 rounds in his last fight, has better training partners and has faced and beaten better competition by a mile. Taiga has only fought one good fighter and that was a 39yo Lovato who ran through him in a matter of minutes. He's also coming in on short-notice. Imo they're throwing Yousri a freebie to finally get him a contract.
 
Went Steele ML (-175) + U2.5 in the other Male fights. Skipped the Female one. Think we get a bunch of finishes tonight due to how many strikers there's on.

Yousri has yet to be finished in MMA, went 5 rounds in his last fight, has better training partners and has faced and beaten better competition by a mile. Taiga has only fought one good fighter and that was a 39yo Lovato who ran through him in a matter of minutes. He's also coming in on short-notice. Imo they're throwing Yousri a freebie to finally get him a contract.
Iwasaki is apparently a kudo champ.

I'm getting Kato vs Schilling vibes here. Dog alert!

edit: dude literally headbutts his competition in Kudo. What a badass:

 
What's the deal with Quemuel Ottoni having so many canceled bouts?
Is he a pullout merchant or are his opponents afraid of him?

 
Sprinkled on all dogs. Went moderate on Iwasaki. Big dogs overperform in MMA.
 
I think the lines are generally on-point. Belgaroui's line is way too wide though... he should win, but it's not -1000 level lol.

Steele-Ottoni is definitely the interesting one. Ottoni is good, probably UFC level good. But Steele's potentially one of the next UFC grappling stars. His striking looks really solid too, I like it more than someone like Bo Nickal's. He hasn't really shown much weakness yet and he hasn't just fought cans. Maybe Ottoni's deeper MMA experience can expose him, but I think this is a good line to bet Steele.

Tanzilov is a no-brainer imo. I'm surprised the line isn't wider. Incredible striker. Musasa has power, but otherwise pretty unimpressive on the technical side.

Feel similarly about Stirling. Don't think he's quite a worldbeater, but he's legit. Latu looks really rough on tape in comparison.
 
Commentators were slobbing all over mosasa like he was doing tons of stuff.
 
Nice performance from Musasa. Since he won by split-decision, we'll likely get great odds on him in his UFC debut. One of those sneaky plays, but iykyk.
 
What's the deal with Quemuel Ottoni having so many canceled bouts?
Is he a pullout merchant or are his opponents afraid of him?

boy you called this one
 
What's the deal with Quemuel Ottoni having so many canceled bouts?
Is he a pullout merchant or are his opponents afraid of him?

He did it again! Fraidy cat just committed career suicide.
 
Belgaroui has good striking fundamentals, but he'll get his shit pushed in against most UFC middleweights.

He doesn't throw a lot of strikes, he lacks 1-punch KO power, he has no wrestling, and probably no BJJ as well. He's like an early striking version of Poatan without the power.
 
Belgaroui not coming within a mile of a finish in these first 2 rounds. Disappointing from the biggest fav on the card.
 
Belgaroui not coming within a mile of a finish in these first 2 rounds. Disappointing from the biggest fav on the card.
I've noticed that the level of DWCS fighters gets worse as we get deeper into each season. Meaning, we'll see killers and more finishes early in the season, and then we basically get the leftover fighters toward the end of the season, which sometimes means more decisions.
 
Laframboise/Caliari ITDW1.910.9
Musasa/Tanzilov R1l2.40.5-0.5
Iwasaki/Belgaroui KOW1.5210.52
Sterling/Latu KOW1.6510.65
Laframboise/Caliari ITDW1.8510.85
Musasa/Tanzilov GTDW3.512.5
Iwasaki/Belgaroui GTDl2.90.5-0.5
Sterling/Latu GTDl3.150.5-0.5

+3.92

Little upset that Belgaroui got it done late, but at least it let me hit the KO prop. Thought that GTD was in the bag. That Musasa/Tanz R1 finish was pure stupidity considering they were BWs lol. The same reasoning that I bet on the GTD there should have meant that R1 nonsense for only 2.40 never happened.
 
He did it again! Fraidy cat just committed career suicide.
I think he's scamming the system.
Can't believe the UFC matchmakers didn't pay attention to details.
I'm convinced this guy only wants to get paid show money.
 
Musasa was very impressive. Looked like raw talent with so much potential.

Belgaroui was a disaster. I usually feel like Dana is a dick when he doesn't sign guys. But that was a horrible performance. Credit to Iwasaki for at least trying to win the fight by blitzing forward.

Stirling seems like a legit blue chip prospect. But he was also getting hit a lot. Will be very interesting to see how far he can go.
 
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