Curtis Blaydes has successfully taken his opponents down 62 times during his UFC career and been credited with a grand total of 0 submission attempts.
What has he been working on in the five plus years he has been on the UFC roster? This is not a fighter who is constantly improving or doing anything other than the bare minimum if even that.
Daukaus has knocked his opponents down six times over the course of his five UFC fights. Thats how he wins and while I by no means favor Daukaus to win he has a very realistic path to victory.
Big Blaydes fan here. This is actually one of my biggest pet peeves with him. He's one of those fighters who has inexplicably shows zero interest in an offensive submission game -- the sole exception being when he tried to put the hooks in and crank a half-assed RNC against Hunt at the end of Round 1 in their fight. This is much like Stipe, who despite being a good wrestler has only one thing that could even come close to being an attempt at a submission (an equally half-assed RNC attempt against Francis in their first fight near the end of a round from back mount IIRC). Same with Cain Velasquez, who was actually a BJJ Black Belt in addition to his excellent offensive wrestling game but never showed any interest in submitting dudes even when he probably could have. Instead he liked beating them into a fucking pulp. Prospect Blaydes followed this meta and in one of his post-fight interviews (don't remember which one) he actually talks about all the time he spends with his BJJ coach training how to seamlessly blend his Jiu-Jitsu with his wrestling in order to improve his mastery of top control, advancing position, guard-passing, and getting into position in order to rain down his punches & elbows.
Now this was excusable to me a couple of years ago back when Curtis was active on top: improving position and unleashing GnP once he secured takedowns. With performances like the ones he had against Shamil, Reem, Justin Willis, Cody East, it was hard to argue that he had huge holes in his game because the strikes were typically there when he needed them despite a few fights where he was a bit less active on top, though not to the same degree he is today (which brings me to my next point). After the Shamil fight, the Curtis who took dudes down and brutalized them pretty much disappeared.
He couldn't get shopworn JDS down and had to box his ears off instead for a standing TKO... which, okay, sure? Then the Volkov fight, which even as a Curtis homer I say should always live on in infamy. He did good in scoring so many takedowns I guess, but his normally solid top control looked porous, his gas tank drained rapidly, and he was incredibly inactive after securing said TDs. Couldn't make anything happen with the wrestling against Lewis, who is not exactly a paragon of defensive grappling until it comes to literally bench-pressing dudes off him
after they get him down. I was surprised he was able to take down Rozenstruik as easily as he did, but I'd argue he actually looked worse than Reem did against the guy (though you could maybe chalk that up to improvements in Jairzinho's defensive grappling)... but again, little GnP.
I keep hoping the Blaydes of old will reappear: the guy who could reliably secure takedowns and advance position before raining down hellbows, punches, and hammerfists... or maybe that he'll add in a wrinkle of offensive submissions to his game. But it doesn't seem likely at this point. Instead he's fallen into a bit of a rut where he's actually the best he's ever been on the feet, albeit not elite and/or confident enough to stand with the killers he's often matched with for a full three rounds and so he mixes in his takedowns haphazardly to achieve the necessary top control to ride out conservative wins while playing it very safe.
I still got Blaydes holding the belt at some point.
His window is closing though and I'm not sure if there really are adjustments to his defense to make to avoid heavy-handed strikers. Sometimes those shots land. He probably needs to get a little luck avoiding power, favorable matchups, or develop a high level ranged kicking game/jab to chain his wrestling behind. Nothing to crazy or fancy, not even a ton of combos because that would leave him too open for the counter. Just enough to keep the fight boring and at distance until he can get it to his strength.
I think he needs a new camp. I love Elevation as much as the next guy, but I feel like they are an MMA striking gym first and foremost. It's almost like they have a grappling blind spot -- both offensively and defensively.
They've done an excellent job of leveling up Curtis's confidence and technique when it comes to his boxing & Muay Thai skills compared to his debut. But it's become clear that his base skills, his
roots, the thing that got him to the dance -- his dominant wrestling accompanied by fight-ending GnP -- have atrophied (or quite possibly were never sufficient for higher-level competition). It's also become clear to me that EFT can't or won't be able to remedy this. I think Sanford MMA would be a perfect fit for him. Failing that, ATT or AKA.