Contender Series - Week 8

[Thesnake101]

Odds got released way earlier this time around, still some big favorites as per usual but this seems like one of the more evenly matched cards for this season.

Off the top I think Jacobe and Finney have the wrestling chops to run over their opponents, rest I'm not very confident about but I do know there's some hype on Martinez and he's a finisher, so his line could have value. Main Event the Kazakhstani opened around -200 I believe, at least I recall seeing him at that price, but money seems to have come in on his opponent. Might take him now that he's -140, though Contender Series favorites have been cursed so far.

 

[rev0lver]

Finney was really disappointing last time around despite the win. But I think this is set up for him to get it. Er-Ramy is not very good, and his last opponent was able to power him down just by walking him backwards.

Savoie-Smith, Savoie seems just okay, solid but has a questionable tank and gets into trouble against guys he shouldn't. Smith tends to just throw bombs, but he's the credentialed wrestler here and has that to back it up. Think the line's pretty wide but Smith is a rightful favorite.

Franklin-Martinez is interesting. Franklin has REALLY strong boxing. Doesn't throw a lot of kicks though and seems really susceptible to leg kicks. Questionable ground game too. Martinez seems solid all-around, good movement and defensively sound. Both have good gas tanks even in a high pace so should be a fun fight. Would not be surprised to see Franklin find the chin but Martinez seems like the right pick.

Montes-Calderon seems like an easy bet on Montes. Short notice for Calderon, he still fights kinda green, seems like he has solid jits but not on Montes' level.

Surprised to see Diyar as such a small favorite. He's fought some questionable comp, but I think he has little weakness and incredible potential. I think Bartosz is actually pretty solid, just not on the same level.

 

[Thesnake101]

If Diyar wins I cash a 4-leg parlay, only fight I didn't touch was Montes.

 

[MidgardSerpent]

Damn, this is a fight. Calderon is a dog.

 

[svmr_db]

Got Montes in between rounds 1 & 2 @ -132, saw him at -110 briefly. Hope somebody else jumped on, I don't think the line should've moved like that from pre-fight at all. Montes looked firmly in the driver's seat to me at the end of round 1.

 

[MidgardSerpent]

Nurgo's eye is bothering him or is he one of those fighters with a tic? He's constantly wiping at it.

 

[TeamVamos]

Nurgo's eye is bothering him or is he one of those fighters with a tic? He's constantly wiping at it.

Like ismagulov. I was thinking same thing

 

[MidgardSerpent]

Like ismagulov. I was thinking same thing

Yeah, looks very similar. That's some kind of nervous system issue, I think then? Otherwise it seems like a terrible idea to constantly point your thumb at your eye when you've got an opponent throwing punches at you.

 

[Thesnake101]

If Diyar wins I cash a 4-leg parlay, only fight I didn't touch was Montes.

Cash it. First contender series card this season where all the favorites dominated?

 

[guesswhoseback]

Cash it. First contender series card this season where all the favorites dominated?

Martinez didn't dominate

 

[Thesnake101]

Martinez didn't dominate

landed almost twice as many significant strikes as his opponent and got 30-27s across the board. Xavier was game but it was clear who was the better fighter.

 

[rev0lver]

Finney was really disappointing last time around despite the win. But I think this is set up for him to get it. Er-Ramy is not very good, and his last opponent was able to power him down just by walking him backwards.

Savoie-Smith, Savoie seems just okay, solid but has a questionable tank and gets into trouble against guys he shouldn't. Smith tends to just throw bombs, but he's the credentialed wrestler here and has that to back it up. Think the line's pretty wide but Smith is a rightful favorite.

Franklin-Martinez is interesting. Franklin has REALLY strong boxing. Doesn't throw a lot of kicks though and seems really susceptible to leg kicks. Questionable ground game too. Martinez seems solid all-around, good movement and defensively sound. Both have good gas tanks even in a high pace so should be a fun fight. Would not be surprised to see Franklin find the chin but Martinez seems like the right pick.

Montes-Calderon seems like an easy bet on Montes. Short notice for Calderon, he still fights kinda green, seems like he has solid jits but not on Montes' level.

Surprised to see Diyar as such a small favorite. He's fought some questionable comp, but I think he has little weakness and incredible potential. I think Bartosz is actually pretty solid, just not on the same level.

Ayyy pretty happy I was spot on. The favorites were rightful, a couple dogs were game but didn't quite get there. Unit on each (except Smith, didn't bother bc of line) and a parlay cashed.