Can GOP get 270 in the general?

uncommon

uncommon

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http://www.270towin.com/maps/bMcf

So i took most of the regular states from 2008 & 2012 but added new mexico florida and nevada to red but still coming up short

252 red 286 blue. i think its safe to say florida is a must have for gop, but there still seems to be another big one missing. Could flipping illinois be the game changer?
 
If Trump wins the nomination like he should, the GOP doesn't even really have a dog in the race
 
Trump would dominate the general. Can you imagine what Trump would do to Hillary?
 
VulcanNervPinch said:
Flipping IL isn't happening
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its a long shot. ohio probably more likely, but gop is really going to have to pull some strings to get 270. i think ohio could put them right at 270 if you give them nevada as well.
 
TheComebackKid said:
Trump would dominate the general. Can you imagine what Trump would do to Hillary?
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You keep saying this and fail to explain why or back it up in any way , he has alienated women and minorities, i don't see how he can undo that damage , how does he win ?
 
AnGrYcRoW said:
You keep saying this and fail to explain why or back it up in any way , he has alienated women and minorities, i don't see how he can undo that damage , how does he win ?
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maybe opens up the debates with a lawsuit on how she misappropriated his donations to the clinton foundation or something. she donates less than 10% to charity.

he could be a real pain in the ass in the debates.

i think kasich will just draw it out on how he "balanced the budget" takes ohio and not much else.

i see cruz being a flop on the electoral map.
 
44nutman said:
http://www.realclearpolitics.com/ep...s/general_election_trump_vs_clinton-5491.html
Trump gets crushed by Shillary.
The GOP had one job and blew it.
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New polls have trump leading ohio, looking like this could be a close one.
  • FLORIDA: Clinton 43 - Trump 42; Sanders 44 - Trump 42
  • OHIO: Clinton 39 - Trump 43; Sanders 43 - Trump 41
  • PENNSYLVANIA: Clinton 43 - Trump 42; Sanders 47 - Trump 41
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He has to win florida though, down 1 point there.
https://www.qu.edu/news-and-events/...ing-state-polls/release-detail?ReleaseID=2345

Sanders dominating pretty much every poll against trump ironically.
 
It's a really tough electoral map to begin with, and Trump's only potential advantage demographically speaking is with Independents (but we can't even be sure of that yet). He has to win women against a woman, while having serious problems with female voters. He's completely screwed with blacks, and he's doing poorly with Hispanics. This is starting out of the gates looking like a 53-46 at best. We'll see but I would take Hillary laying more than 2-1 and be thrilled about it.
 
So, two weeks ago, it was said Hillary would beat Trump by a double-digit landslide.

And now, two weeks later, in May, it's very close in the battleground states.

Anyone care to predict what it's going to look like in two months? How about before the debates? After the debates?

Fuck this shit is unpredictable.
 
http://www.aol.com/article/2016/05/10/donald-trump-hillary-clinton-tied-poll/21374494/

the presidential races between Hillary Clinton and Donald Trump in the three most crucial states, Florida, Ohio and Pennsylvania, are too close to call," Peter A. Brown, assistant director of the Quinnipiac Poll, said in a statement.

Some experts and observers, however, cautioned against reading too much into the polls. Most other recent state polls of the three states have found Clinton with a healthy lead over Trump in head-to-head matchups.

"Outlier," Princeton University professor and polling expert Sam Wang told Business Insider in an email of the Quinnipiac surveys.
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Work Play said:
It's a really tough electoral map to begin with, and Trump's only potential advantage demographically speaking is with Independents (but we can't even be sure of that yet). He has to win women against a woman, while having serious problems with female voters. He's completely screwed with blacks, and he's doing poorly with Hispanics. This is starting out of the gates looking like a 53-46 at best. We'll see but I would take Hillary laying more than 2-1 and be thrilled about it.
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There are just way too many variables to consider right now to make accurate polling predictions.

Trump is going to be a stronger candidate than McCain or Romney were. If he goes with a black or female VP he could peel off 1%-2% more if that decision is well received.

Clinton PBUH may poll stronger with women and less with minorities than Obama did. The big factor for her is the smooth transition of Bernie's supporters which is a bit in question now.

Mark my words, this will be an extremely close race. I personally predict that we see another election where one person wins the votes but loses the electoral college.
It is going to be an entertaining race.
 
Clinton has lost alot of Ground in the last month and she hadn't even won the nomination yet. Battleground states are the key. Trump needs to win the majority of them to win. Pennsylvania and Florida will be the toughest states to win.
 
I have no idea what will happen. Nothing would shock me though, because anything can happen.
 
It doesnt exactly please me but I think the general election is going to end up a pretty one sided beat down. We keep having to speculate every day cuz the media drives us into a frenzy but come election day I think the gop is probably going to take a real ass kicking. Its too bad the republican party has spent the last decades preaching jesus and advocating for nothing but the super wealthy as I would really like to vote for someone besides Clinton .
 
If Trump didnt have me worried that his ideas of walls and rounding em up wouldnt create a police state if he was able to do it I would vote for the guy. Im really not feeling Hillary at all
 
Once the debates get going, Trump's numbers will drop.
 
If the economy falls out or another 9/11 yes

Or if trump gets let's say Rubio and Hillary goes with some left field vp non Latino, it's very possible. Trump could get Florida, New Mexico Arizona, Colorado because of the Hispanic vote.
Don't know if that would be enough
 
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