Have a unit on Ward Dec -120. Admittedly don't know much about his opponent (haven't seen him live before and haven't watched much tape) but from what I gather Barrera is a pretty tough and fairly skilled opponent. Ward coming off a stoppage win but against Paul Smith who isn't very good and was very out of shape. He basically cut Smith and was beating on him but it was more the cut that did Smith in than Ward really stopping him.
Ward can punch more than he's given credit for but at the end of the day he's a pure boxer with a pure boxer's mindset. Had to bet him by Dec at that low of a price against anybody who isn't a cakewalk for him on paper, especially with a long layoff with only the Smith fight in between, you have to think there's a bit of rust there still. Like I said this is basically wiki capping a guy who I don't know much about but still think the price is worth it. Havent' checked the number now but -120 or around that seems like it's got value.