Boxing Discussion IV

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CR0W said:
I'm confident Alvarez wins but I do believe Chavez Jr is tough enough to give him some problems and I'll very likely play the over in the fight. Chavez looks drained as hell already which puts me off playing him, could play like the Angulo fight where he was just not the same fighter draining himself so much but Chavez Jr 100% has the tools and toughness to cause some problems, agreed there.
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thank you for the feedback my friend. Yeah, the ironic thing is I was worried about Jr being too fat at this point not too drained, lol. He's like GGG level on weight which feels a bit off to me. I think it's better than him being too heavy but also he should be a bit higher this far out right? Like GGG doesn't cut much for him only to be 5lbs off a week or so off is normal but Jr should probably still be at least 8 or 10 from his target at this point right? Definitely worrisome if he's super drained but I do like the fact that it's not the other way around. That would mean he's still fucking off for sure.
 
Taylor dec + Quigg ITD + Campbell ITD + Okalie ITD +Kelly ITD pays +1200. Let's go! They are all gonna win that's pretty much guaranteed let's see if i can predict how correctly tho!
 
Is it really worth paying that juice on Okalie and Kelly ? :D Surely, they will probably win ITD, but man, those 1.05 and 1.083 odds seem so not worth .
Okalie R1 seems more appealing @ 1.61
 
pytycrys said:
Is it really worth paying that juice on Okalie and Kelly ? :D Surely, they will probably win ITD, but man, those 1.05 and 1.083 odds seem so not worth .
Okalie R1 seems more appealing @ 1.61
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It's less than 0.1 unit bet dude!
 
I feel you man, but even for low stakes you're paying the juice.
My crazy parlay for the weekend is 0.2u Okolie R1, Cordina DEC + Kelly DEC @ 49
My serious plays are 3u Quigg KO @3 and 2u Taylor DEC @ 2.50.
Looking forward to livebet Wlad if he looks good after 2-3 rounds.
 
My units are pretty much doubled since the beggining of the year, but I tried to keep the same unit size in order to have easier statistics to do at the end of the year. Thus, those 3u would represent 1.5units from my BR today.

However, I have pretty big confidence in Quigg as he has very good power for his division. He comes in with reach advantage as is arguably the best fighter Simion has faced. He has KOed way better opponents than Simion and is in his prime. On the other hand, Simion is close to the end of his career and he won't be able to keep up with Quigg's pace. Although he survived 12 rounds with Selby, that was 4 years ago and Selby clearly does not have Quigg's KO power.
Quigg also probably will try to KO him, as Selby was not able to. It is to be said the winner of this match will face Selby.

I find good value in Quigg KO @3.00 , if I were on these days' trend, "I would cap" Quigg KO @1.60 - 1.70..
 
Sham5916910 said:
Taylor dec + Quigg ITD + Campbell ITD + Okalie ITD +Kelly ITD pays +1200. Let's go! They are all gonna win that's pretty much guaranteed let's see if i can predict how correctly tho!
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I'm doing a small RR on those for the action. Thanks and good luck!
 
Really want to play AJ here but just can't find an angle I'm comfortable with. It is the biggest fight of his life so I guess there's always a chance he underperforms and struggles to find the Klit. Maybe it's one to just watch and see how it pans out.
 
Quigg has kod 18 of his last 20 wins including some fighters that have never been stopped before. I feel this line should be reversed. One unit quigg itd.
 
damn went to hit quigg itd and it dropped to +150 @ 365 i will wait and see if i can get +200 @ betfair exchange closer to the fight
 
I was lucky enough to get Quigg ITD at +216 at 5D yesterday.
 
Kilt did look damn good at weigh ins.

I'm with NinjaCat. Wish I could hit AJ big in some way but these lines just are not tempting.

Do have a bit on the under. And have AJ in a few parlays when he was at -200/-210
 
wack3d said:
damn went to hit quigg itd and it dropped to +150 @ 365 i will wait and see if i can get +200 @ betfair exchange closer to the fight
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+175 (2.75) at several books like unibet or william hill
 
hit +175 at williamhill, i barely follow boxing but tailing like a degen.
 
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