Boxing Discussion III

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FYI- Showtime will be streaming the undercard for their evening fight card headlined by Charlo/Williams and Cuellar/Mares on Facebook Live at 8 PM EST. (U.S. only apparently)

The two Facebook Live bouts are Sergey Lipinets vs Lenny Zappavigna and Erickson Lubin vs Juan Ubaldo Cabrera.
 
Don't have a Parker UD line available at this point but was able to find +241 for decision at least.

Joseph Parker Decision Or Technical Decision (+241) vs Andy Ruiz Jr. ~$57.71 for ~$139.08

Parlay:
Anthony Joshua/Eric Molina Over 4½ (+110)
Luis Concepcion Points Victory Or Technical Decision (+750) vs Khalid Yafai
Dillian Whyte Points Victory Or Technical Decision (+175) vs Dereck Chisora
Hosea Burton (-323) vs Frank Buglioni ~$19.10 for ~$1209.22

Jesus Andres Cuellar (-170) Abner Mares $170.00 for $100.00
 
This guy Dwyer often has interesting takes on boxing handicapping on his YouTube page, although I can't vouch for his long term success. Seems hit and miss to be fair. Anyway he likes an underdog named Ali Funeka on one of the New Zealand undercard bouts of the Parker vs Ruiz event, although he also suggested a hedge on his opponent Jeff Horn by KO which might be a very hard prop to find. I'm going to throw a little on this just as an odds play.


Ali Funeka (+640) vs Jeff Horn ~$77.40 for ~$495.36



 
richard dwyer is a stanford law graduate. people may not like his character but he is a brilliant individual
 
Haven't watched any Dwyer vids for a couple years now but my brother does a great impression of that dude. "It's radiclkaluss!" Lol

Iirc Dwyer almost always hedges his main plays with smaller props on the other side to minimize his losses if his main bet loses. Obviously could backfire pretty bad if both end up losing then you're fucked obviously. Don't like that strategy much myself but yeah he's definitely a smart guy and a good boxing fan. Need to start watching his vids again.

Btw I saw Funeka was fighting the other day and was surprised the guy was still fighting. Dude seemed to drop off the grid completely for awhile there. Was a good fighter in his prime though.
 
For me any legit Dwyer impression would have to include a prominent "right?" as a filler word and to end a sentence.
 
Molina struggled to make weight badly, missed weight by a few pounds even on the second try for this 140 lb. title fight and looked pretty bad on the scale. Think Crawford will stop him, hopefully before the middle of the 9th.

Terence Crawford/John Molina Jr. Under 8½ (+100) $100.00 for $100.00
 
good call on Parker DEC guys

forgot it was on but doubt there would have been livebet anyway
 
Parker unan +333 parker dec +250 took both

Parker unan missed but parker dec hit and i lb parker dec @ +187 and -120 for just under a unit profit. Could have made a lot more but couldnt watch properly so didnt want to risk going too heavy
 
Nice to wake up to see Parker decision hit. I liked +241 a lot. According to BoxRec, both boxers were cut and Funeka knocked Horn down in the 3rd but then himself got knocked down in the 5th & 6th and stopped, so I have to think there was some value on Funeka at +640 despite ultimately losing.
 
After round 4: Live In-Play Luis Ortiz Points Victory Or Technical Decision (+124) vs David Allen ~$38.80 for ~$48.11
 
Im big on ortiz dec pre bet it and been adding more since r1!

I remember allens last fight and they kept banging on about how tough he is. Come on two more rounds pls!
 
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