Boxing Discussion III

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Thanks for the breakdown. No other bettable fights tomorrow, so I'll go degen with you:

Wilfredo Vazquez Jr. vs Juan Manuel Lopez (-214) $214.00 for $100.00
Wilfredo Vazquez Jr./Juan Manuel Lopez Under 9½ (-265) $265.00 for $100.00
 
I like Lopez at +250. Blunt gave a good breakdown, but just on a surface level for me they are both washed up and this should be closer to even. Lopez was also the better fighter in his day.
 
Bonos said:
I like Lopez at +250. Blunt gave a good breakdown, but just on a surface level for me they are both washed up and this should be closer to even. Lopez was also the better fighter in his day.
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The line moved quite a bit, so hard to argue that there's not potentially some value at this point on the underdog with two flawed fighters coming back from KOs or retirement. Even the under 9½ is at a shocking -430 now.
 
Congrats, Bonos. JuanMa wins by 11th round KO in a fight he was losing over the first half until he turned it around as Vazquez's eye was bothering him. In JuanMa's brief fight with Vazquez's cornerman after the KO, the cornerman landed the best combo of the night, lol. Man, do I feel stupid losing nearly 5 units betting so heavy on this because I wanted action tonight.
 
Wasnt it scheduled for 10 rounds too? fight doesnt go distance bettors thankful
 
God, what a bloodbath. Took a huge loss tonight, never saw Juanma getting a late stoppage or the fight going that far in the first place. Sorry Jim and whoever followed that, my bad. i really never saw that coming.
 
burge13 said:
Wasnt it scheduled for 10 rounds too? fight doesnt go distance bettors thankful
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the only place the fight was listed as a 10-rounder was boxrec. all other media had it as 12 rounds as far back as august when the fight was first signed
 
quincy k said:
the only place the fight was listed as a 10-rounder was boxrec. all other media had it as 12 rounds as far back as august when the fight was first signed
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Fair enough. I saw Odessa and a few others on twitter saying it was 10 rounds is all
 
Opinion on Magdaleno v Donaire . I might hop on Mag here. Donaire is old and hasn't looked like himself to me since rigo
 
I'm boxrec capping but i can get mag @ +250. I looked at their records before seeing odds and thought mag was gonna be slight fav. Anyone chime in?
 
Not sure yet how motivated he is but if Chisora shows up the +200 or better on him against Whyte is a decent price. Think there are both 15th-25th in the world type guys at the moment.
 
bruthead said:
Not sure yet how motivated he is but if Chisora shows up the +200 or better on him against Whyte is a decent price. Think there are both 15th-25th in the world type guys at the moment.
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Agree Whyte has not impressed me one bit since the AJ fight.
 
Fuck been a crazy week, didn't even think about trying to catch openers. Not tail worthy right now but pissed I missed out on Magdaleno at better than 2-1, that was a hell of a price. Still stabbed at him +135, and will add more if he jumps up higher again. 1.5u for now.
 
Quite a bit of line movement there. I just hit Magdeleno for 1u over Donaire at +135. Anyone have an angle on how to play the main event? Pacman by decision?
 
JimGunn said:
Quite a bit of line movement there. I just hit Magdeleno for 1u over Donaire at +135. Anyone have an angle on how to play the main event? Pacman by decision?
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I have pac by ko...hope he goes for it.
 
Surprised Vargas is considered more likely to win by dec by KO. Can't see him outboxing Manny. But he did have the power to hurt Tim Bradley and Manny is old and got KOd by Marquez. Flyer on Vargas by KO +1600.
 
I stabbed at the draw +3000, that's all I've got for this one. Should be a fun fight with Pac ultimately taking a Dec, I do think Vargas will have his moments though. A draw here wouldn't shock me, Pac looked great against Tim last time out but he's still got a ton of miles and he's old so who knows, maybe Vargas puts up a good fight and gets it done or at least makes it close enough on the cards to get a draw here. Like the value on the draw line, but I'm thinking probably a Pac Dec. Vargas is young and tough, Pac is old and hasn't had a ko in awhile, maybe he gets it done, staying away from this one mostly.
 
i bet nonaire. jessie might have outgrown 122 as he has only fought there once in his last six fights. the two or three pounds might not seem like much but i believe those pounds felix jr had to lose against vasquez had an effect on his loss to bryan. also, arum and donaire hand-picked fellow top rank fighter jessie as an opponent and bob has come out and mentioned donaire fights with valdez or the winner of frampton/lsc so nonito might also get favorable judging here in a close fight
 
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