Boxing Discussion II

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Also parlayed the two unders from Cr0w's triple, separate from the Porter ML bet:

Chris Eubank Jr./Tom Doran Under 7½ (-250) + Anthony Joshua/Dominic Breazeale Under 3½ (-345) $125.00 for $100.72
 
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Also took a stab on the draw in this bout:

Martin Murray/Georges Groves draw (+2500) $20.00 for $500.00
 
1.5u sosa-fortuna un11.5. I think Sosa's being a bit overrated b/c of the Walters fight. Fortuna has power, speed, and that sneaky left hand. I think there's a little value here. Also Sosa has mostly finishes as well so if he somehow pulls off the upset it's probably by ko as well.
 
Also took Porter +195 and Groves itd +243. Was leaning Murray but have this feeling Groves gets the finish here. Had money on Murray in the AA fight and I thought he won but I felt like I saw something during that fight where he might've been slowing down a bit or something. Both guys hurt each other but now that Murray is up a 168 he doesn't have the size advantage that he did at mw and he might not take punches as well.

I'm taking a risk here, Groves lost a Dec but didn't look terrible against Jack (who we know is a legit fighter so that loss is nothing to scoff at) and he's still young with speed and ko power. Initially leaned towards Murray but had to take a stab at Groves itd when I saw it at the current price. That's pretty decent value imo. Won't be surprised if Murray pulls this out, though, just gotta go with my gut here.
 
Thanks for sharing your plays, BT. I put a little something on the same ITD prop. Hopefully he stops Murray or it goes to a draw for my bets.:

George Groves wins inside distance (+243) $50.00 for $121.50
 
BluntTrauma21 said:
Also took Porter +195 and Groves itd +243. Was leaning Murray but have this feeling Groves gets the finish here. Had money on Murray in the AA fight and I thought he won but I felt like I saw something during that fight where he might've been slowing down a bit or something. Both guys hurt each other but now that Murray is up a 168 he doesn't have the size advantage that he did at mw and he might not take punches as well.

I'm taking a risk here, Groves lost a Dec but didn't look terrible against Jack (who we know is a legit fighter so that loss is nothing to scoff at) and he's still young with speed and ko power. Initially leaned towards Murray but had to take a stab at Groves itd when I saw it at the current price. That's pretty decent value imo. Won't be surprised if Murray pulls this out, though, just gotta go with my gut here.
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Are you not going to stab Murray dec +450 then?
 
I took porter for 200.00

Erutti for 100.00

Mike Alvarado fighting another bum. Thing is the last bum hurt him and he looked like shit. Might be worth a sprinkle here
 
Sham5916910 said:
Are you not going to stab Murray dec +450 then?
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Nah I don't want to risk getting middled here if Groves takes a Dec or a Murray finish, which are definitely possible. Murray Dec is a nice bet but I just took my chances on Groves itd.

Btw Fortuna/Sosa under hit. Sosa stopped him! Didn't see that coming, another big boxing upset.
 
Good start to the weekend. Both my dog plays hit on the China card including Sosa at +700! Just tuned into the BoxNation tape delayed stream to see the action.

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Just doing some Boxrec capping for tomo.

Ogogo dec +275 for a six round fight looks interesting. Ogogo not a big puncher and Radnic never been stopped. Think +275 is generous.

Hibbert Scarpa is a lb one for me. Hibbert dec around +200 decent puncher. Scarpa never been stopped and went 12 last fight but questionable opposition having only fought in Italy.
 
Alright my square plays paid off tonight in mma so I'll make one more square play, mainly for action, parlay on Eubank Jr/Doran un7.5 and the Joshua fight un3.5. Juiced to the gills, don't recommend a tail on it unless you want to degen out and have some action for fun.

Also took Josh Torres over Mike Alvarado as a big dog. Basically just a fade over Alvarado at this point in his career. He's damaged goods and we've heard stories out there that maybe he's living life on the fastlane and not really committed to boxing, more of a paycheck. This Torres guy is a ? to me but Alvarado is fade material at this point in his career so maybe the kid can pull it off. He's never been stopped and he's only 26 so this could be a possible coming out party for him. Even if he's not very good he's probably more invested in this fight than Mike is and this will do way more for his career than it will for Alvarado's. I can see him pulling off the upset here, have to stab at him at these odds.

And as mentioned on groves itd, added a bit more when I saw him up at close to +300 so in it for 1.5u now and 1.5u on Porter at +195 and 200. GL boys.
 
Just read the Bad Left Hook breakdown and tailed you on Torres, BT. Have to fade a guy with jail stints and drug problems in the fairly recent past:

Josh Torres (+850) vs Mike Alvarado $25.00 for $212.50
 
Ogogo dec + Benn ITD + Hibbert ITD + Eubank ITD + Whyte ITD + Groves ITD £23 for £811.

Going against policy there with all those ITD plays! See Groves reaching cards but think all the others are likely to happen.
 
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Looks good, I'm small prebet and will lb Dec or rounds smallish later.
 
This is not going to hit I know but was worth a fiver.

Conner Ben Dec
Eubank jr Dec
Porter
Torres

£5 for £4930
 
Anyone throwing a small bet on Breazeale? I think Joshua knocks him out in the first couple of rounds but feel the odds on Breazeale got too high, it's heavyweight after all and Joshua got hurt by Whyte before.
 
I think I'll put something really small maybe a tenner or so, I think Joshua rd 2 but odds are rubbish for that prop
 
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