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So the popular consensus here and amongst analyst is that it's going to be a one sided fight whoever wins. Either Khabib mauls himself mercilessly to a GNP/submission finish, or conor catches him on his way in and puts his lights out. Almost nobody disagrees with that.
But I disagree, and for a number of reasons:
1- McGregor reluctance to do media doesn't show weakness IMO but the fact that he acknowledges it's the biggest fight of his career, it could ruin his reputation if he gets mauled and thus wants to train at 110% of his capability for this fight. The last time he did that was for Diaz 2 and we see that he came with a good gameplan. If because of this he can get up one more time, or survive one more submission attempt, then he could do something with it.
2- McGregor showed in the Diaz fight that he's not ashamed to "just survive" to win on points if he can't knock out the adversary. We saw him running from Diaz to reset, a controversial tactic that had him heavily criticized. But the point I want to make is that he won't shy to do something of this kind against Khabib if he thinks it can win him good rounds or help him survive bad ones.
3- With all the training that he does he won't be able to catch up to a lifetime of wrestling & sambo in just a few months. Khabib will still heavily outclass him in this department. McGregor is not stupid he knows that, so I'm inclined to think his objective is to survive those ground phases to stand up and do accumulative striking damage/score points. My point is his training is fully inclined towards scrambling, protecting and submission defense, which could prevent him getting finished.
4- McGregor never knocked someone cold except mad Aldo who came rushing like a bull. Props for his skills and sweet counter but except that he got only tko's in the ufc. And he couldn't finish Diaz after 50 punches, a perennial lightweight. Eddie also took like 15 shots before going down. So we won't see any flash ko here, given that Khabib's chin is very good (MJ punch and Barboza's kick didn't faze him).
So in lights of all these elements, I still think that Khabib wins, but that it will be a decision in a competitive fight. I see Conor stuffing Khabib's first td attempts and landing some body shots, then getting taken down late round 1. Khabib dominates rd 2 & 3 but conor keeps getting back up and lands a nice punch at the end of the third round/beggining of the fourth. Then it's back and forth for a moment until Khabib gets back to wrestling and finishes the fight strong. Khabib by decision 49-46; 48-47; 49-46.
What do you think of that prediction ? Totally false, right on point or may have some truth ?
But I disagree, and for a number of reasons:
1- McGregor reluctance to do media doesn't show weakness IMO but the fact that he acknowledges it's the biggest fight of his career, it could ruin his reputation if he gets mauled and thus wants to train at 110% of his capability for this fight. The last time he did that was for Diaz 2 and we see that he came with a good gameplan. If because of this he can get up one more time, or survive one more submission attempt, then he could do something with it.
2- McGregor showed in the Diaz fight that he's not ashamed to "just survive" to win on points if he can't knock out the adversary. We saw him running from Diaz to reset, a controversial tactic that had him heavily criticized. But the point I want to make is that he won't shy to do something of this kind against Khabib if he thinks it can win him good rounds or help him survive bad ones.
3- With all the training that he does he won't be able to catch up to a lifetime of wrestling & sambo in just a few months. Khabib will still heavily outclass him in this department. McGregor is not stupid he knows that, so I'm inclined to think his objective is to survive those ground phases to stand up and do accumulative striking damage/score points. My point is his training is fully inclined towards scrambling, protecting and submission defense, which could prevent him getting finished.
4- McGregor never knocked someone cold except mad Aldo who came rushing like a bull. Props for his skills and sweet counter but except that he got only tko's in the ufc. And he couldn't finish Diaz after 50 punches, a perennial lightweight. Eddie also took like 15 shots before going down. So we won't see any flash ko here, given that Khabib's chin is very good (MJ punch and Barboza's kick didn't faze him).
So in lights of all these elements, I still think that Khabib wins, but that it will be a decision in a competitive fight. I see Conor stuffing Khabib's first td attempts and landing some body shots, then getting taken down late round 1. Khabib dominates rd 2 & 3 but conor keeps getting back up and lands a nice punch at the end of the third round/beggining of the fourth. Then it's back and forth for a moment until Khabib gets back to wrestling and finishes the fight strong. Khabib by decision 49-46; 48-47; 49-46.
What do you think of that prediction ? Totally false, right on point or may have some truth ?
