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Bold prediction : Khabib/Conor goes the distance and is a very close fight

Discussion in 'UFC Discussion' started by Iron Monger, Sep 10, 2018.

  1. Iron Monger Brown Belt

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    So the popular consensus here and amongst analyst is that it's going to be a one sided fight whoever wins. Either Khabib mauls himself mercilessly to a GNP/submission finish, or conor catches him on his way in and puts his lights out. Almost nobody disagrees with that.

    But I disagree, and for a number of reasons:

    1- McGregor reluctance to do media doesn't show weakness IMO but the fact that he acknowledges it's the biggest fight of his career, it could ruin his reputation if he gets mauled and thus wants to train at 110% of his capability for this fight. The last time he did that was for Diaz 2 and we see that he came with a good gameplan. If because of this he can get up one more time, or survive one more submission attempt, then he could do something with it.

    2- McGregor showed in the Diaz fight that he's not ashamed to "just survive" to win on points if he can't knock out the adversary. We saw him running from Diaz to reset, a controversial tactic that had him heavily criticized. But the point I want to make is that he won't shy to do something of this kind against Khabib if he thinks it can win him good rounds or help him survive bad ones.

    3- With all the training that he does he won't be able to catch up to a lifetime of wrestling & sambo in just a few months. Khabib will still heavily outclass him in this department. McGregor is not stupid he knows that, so I'm inclined to think his objective is to survive those ground phases to stand up and do accumulative striking damage/score points. My point is his training is fully inclined towards scrambling, protecting and submission defense, which could prevent him getting finished.

    4- McGregor never knocked someone cold except mad Aldo who came rushing like a bull. Props for his skills and sweet counter but except that he got only tko's in the ufc. And he couldn't finish Diaz after 50 punches, a perennial lightweight. Eddie also took like 15 shots before going down. So we won't see any flash ko here, given that Khabib's chin is very good (MJ punch and Barboza's kick didn't faze him).

    So in lights of all these elements, I still think that Khabib wins, but that it will be a decision in a competitive fight. I see Conor stuffing Khabib's first td attempts and landing some body shots, then getting taken down late round 1. Khabib dominates rd 2 & 3 but conor keeps getting back up and lands a nice punch at the end of the third round/beggining of the fourth. Then it's back and forth for a moment until Khabib gets back to wrestling and finishes the fight strong. Khabib by decision 49-46; 48-47; 49-46.

    What do you think of that prediction ? Totally false, right on point or may have some truth ?
     
  2. AyDeeDee Banned Banned

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    My prediction is that Tony beats both Tiramisu and McNuggets on the same night.
     
  3. The Witcher відродитися

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    Tony Fergusons jaw sticks out more than jay lenos.
     
  4. The Witcher відродитися

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    To respond to your OP, yes a close decison is definitely possible. We see weird outcomes all the time, going into the second diaz fight literally nobody expected a decison victory.
     
  5. MrCoffee Brotherhood of Shitty Arguments.

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    This post is weirder than Tony Ferguson’s social life.
     
  6. LouisBolanos Popcorn tastes good

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    Tony Ferguson got destroyed by a braided cable.
     
  7. Yangpetrus Blue Belt

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    If we learned anything from the Mayweather fiasco is that a 3 month training camp isn't going to level the playing field if you're up against a specialist.

    It's even likely that McGregor's TDD and BJJ are worse now, given the 2 years of inactivity, which only included a boxing camp.

    The fight isn't going to the final rounds imo.
     
  8. The Witcher відродитися

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    A braided cable, when used correctly, would be devastating irl.
     
  9. Ananth Purple Belt

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    Conor has a good sprawl, so he could hold him out for the first couple of rounds. Conor's only hope is that his gas tank is better than we have seen or Khabib gas tank tanks. I'm predicting a mauling and finish in the 4th or 5th.
     
  10. Thomas Anders Banned Banned

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    I had a dream that Khabib dominated until the fifth and then he came out with his hands down taunting Conor to strike with him then Conor finished him with a side kick. Maybe that will happen too.
     
  11. Dark Individual GOAT of all GOATS Banned

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    It isn't out of the realm of possibility. However, if this fight is competitive I would think Conor will dominate the first 2 rounds with Khabib's chin holding up and then Conor gassing out and Khabib dominating the rest ending in a competitive fight that Khabib wins.
     
  12. emax Black Belt

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    It depends an awful lot on Khabib's ability to strike and look for takedowns while getting hit. If he's as durable as the Diaz brothers, that's a severe issue. Conor can pick him apart from the outside or in the pocket while he's looking to close the distance. But Khabib's wrestling and Sambo backgrounds mean he's got more ways to get a fight to the ground than just a blast double. He's got single leg variations, trips and throws from the clinch, short doubles, lateral drops, essentially a takedown for any kind of striking.movement style the other guy has.
     
  13. LockardTheGOAT Banned Banned

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    I see almost zero chance this goes the distance. Conor either via 1st or 2nd round KO (like with all his other finishes) or Khabib via 3rd or 4th round submission.
     
  14. Large Hound 77 Brown Belt

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    This fight ends before the weigh in
     
  15. Juan Bombadil Brown Belt

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    Why are people saying Conor is reluctant to do media? Has Khabib done any? Has Khabib been at a press conference for 229? Stop talking shit, it will start to build up soon
     
  16. Rebli19 Yellow Belt

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    If it’s going to the distance Khabib wins
     
  17. Iron Monger Brown Belt

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    Where have I been talking shit seriously... Stop being triggered everytime someone is not straight worshipping conor. I'm just giving my analysis and yes he refusing to do media and it has been well documented :

    https://www.express.co.uk/sport/ufc...ib-Nurmagomedov-UFC-229-Media-Demand-UFC-News

    https://www.mmamania.com/2018/8/30/...onor-mcgregor-media-blackout-selfish-attitude

    https://uproxx.com/sports/conor-mcgregor-refusing-press-ufc-229-khabib-nurmagomedov/

    Be an adult and learn to have a non biased discussion about mcgregor without having you're emotions all shaked up. For real.
     
  18. Author Brown Belt

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    Very close?

    Anything is possible, but I think the majority believe in the first scenarios you mentioned because they're the most probable given both fighters' track records. I guess technically a Ngannou vs. Lewis outcome could happen too, but these two are actually aggressive and apt to move forward, so I don't see that happening.
     

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