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Bellator 219 Awad vs Girtz

Bellator 219 Risk $1,215.00

Saad Awad (-240) vs Brand0n Girtz $240.00 for $100.00

Andrey Koreshkov/Mike Jasper Under 1½ (+145) $75.00 for $108.75

Joe Schilling/Keith Berry Over 1½ (+120) $75.00 for $90.00

Janay Harding (+300) vs Marina Mokhnatkina $100.00 for $300.00
Janay Harding (+300) vs Marina Mokhnatkina $100.00 for $300.00
Janay Harding (+290) vs Marina Mokhnatkina $100.00 for $290.00
Janay Harding (+285) vs Marina Mokhnatkina $100.00 for $285.00
Janay Harding (+285) vs Marina Mokhnatkina $100.00 for $285.00

Parlay:
Andrey Koreshkov (-895) vs Mike Jasper + Daniel Straus (-555) vs Shane Kruchten $325.00 for $101.41
 
wanted to tail you on the Harding line but 5dimes took it down before i got my bet in.
 
2.2u on Janay Harding at +280 (think I was the first person to put a substantial bet on a major site, as the first line movement happened right after I made this bet)
3.3u on Schilling/Berry under 1.5 rounds at -165 (I might hate myself later for not really unloading on this line)
 
Crazy main event, great win for Girtz.
 
PolarBearPaulVarelans said:
2.2u on Janay Harding at +280 (think I was the first person to put a substantial bet on a major site, as the first line movement happened right after I made this bet)
3.3u on Schilling/Berry under 1.5 rounds at -165 (I might hate myself later for not really unloading on this line)
Click to expand...

Can't tell whether my second bet was good or not, as Schilling nearly KO'd Berry in the first 10 seconds and then had a golden opportunity to GnP Berry (who is helpless off his back and can't defend any GnP) only to get back up, and then fight very tentatively and refuse to let his hands go. But maybe I should have valued Berry's horrid wrestling more highly? Schilling's takedown defense was as bad as ever.

Luckily, Harding came through, so we end the night +2.8u.
 
JimGunn said:
I believe I found the underdog of the weekend. I see a lot of value in Kiwi Janay Harding who fights out of Australia as a sizable underdog to Russian submission specialist Marina Mokhnatkina. Firstly there is a significant size difference with Janay being a much bigger girl at 5'10" to Marina's 5'6"- check the weigh-ins. This bout is at featherweight where Janay has competed in her last couple of bouts, while Marina's last few bouts have been at bantamweight. This includes Marina's most recent 135 pound title fight at Fight Night Global 83 where she lost a majority decision in her home country of Russia against a Georgian opponent from the Euro scene. Marina is a submission over position grappler who dives on opportunistic submissions as her main game plan. Yet she was defended against and was reversed by opponent Liana Jojua multiple times, caught with punches on the feet and even had her back taken on the feet or ended up on her back on the ground. Marina seemed to get a bit tired at some points and while she kept fighting she even had a point deducted for an illegal upkick to her opponent's head while she was on her back in guard and ultimately lost a majority decision including one 49-45 against her.

On the contrary, Janay has fought more notable competition including an early career bout with Megan Anderson, as well as Jessica Rose Clark and Amber Leibrock. Janay stopped her last opponent Sinead Kavanagh by TKO after the first round due to a doctor's stoppage as a result of a cut from a slicing elbow strike- not the only one she landed in that bout, by the way. Janay has pretty good footwork with decent boxing and hard elbow strikes on the feet and multiple fights that she won due to ground & pound on her record. She was also able to stuff Sinead's takedown attempt easily. With Marina potentially diving onto leg locks and other submissions I can see Janay hurting Marina on the feet or the ground. Janay trains at Tiger Muay Thai and has never been submitted, which would be Marina's most likely path to victory while Marina will presumably making the long trek to Temecula, California from St. Petersburg, Russia for her very first fight outside of Russia. The line is clearly skewed the way it is because of Marina's 4-1 record vs Janay's 4-4 record, but I think the line is way off. If Marina doesn't get a submission I believe she will lose a decision or maybe even get stopped. I'm five units deep so far on Janay at +285, +290 and +300.
Click to expand...
#respect
 
Fantastic main event war between Saad Awad and Brandon Girtz that I was on the wrong side of. But the postlims held the value with big underdog Janay Harding coming through as predicted over Marina Mokhnatkina to win a net total of 13.36 units.

Bellator 219 Results Risk $1,215.00

Saad Awad (-240) vs Brandon Girtz $240.00 for $100.00= -$240.00

Andrey Koreshkov/Mike Jasper Under 1½ (+145) $75.00 for $108.75= -$75.00

Joe Schilling/Keith Berry Over 1½ (+120) $75.00 for $90.00= $90.00

Janay Harding (+300) vs Marina Mokhnatkina $100.00 for $300.00= $300.00
Janay Harding (+300) vs Marina Mokhnatkina $100.00 for $300.00= $300.00
Janay Harding (+290) vs Marina Mokhnatkina $100.00 for $290.00= $290.00
Janay Harding (+285) vs Marina Mokhnatkina $100.00 for $285.00= $285.00
Janay Harding (+285) vs Marina Mokhnatkina $100.00 for $285.00= $285.00

Parlay:
Andrey Koreshkov (-895) vs Mike Jasper + Daniel Straus (-555) vs Shane Kruchten $325.00 for $101.41= $101.41
-----

Total Profit= $1,336.41
 
Fell asleep and didn't post these prefight. But fwiw there you go.

2u Harding +275

0.5u Girtz +225

= 6.625u

Cheers fellas.
 
Went 5-0 on this Bellator. Went 0-2 on LFA though....
 
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