ADCC 2015 preview: -99kg (Part 2)

Discussion in 'Grappling Technique' started by mattandbenny, Aug 23, 2015.

  1. mattandbenny

    mattandbenny Purple Belt Platinum Member

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    Part 1, 99+kg: http://forums.sherdog.com/forums/f12/adcc-2015-preview-99kg-3054069/

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    -99kg

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    (click this link to see full size: http://s12.postimg.org/dhd9537dp/ADCC_2015_99kg.jpg)


    Rodolfo Vieira (Brazil)
    Age: 25 Record at Black Belt: 82-8-1 (54 Sub) Record in 14/15: 20-2-1 (19 Sub)
    Achievements: 4x World Champion (2014, 2013, 2012, 2011), 1x Pan American Champion (2011)
    ADCC History: 4th (2011)
    Key wins: Bernardo Faria, Leo Nogueira, Andre Galvao, Braulio Estima, Keenan Cornelius, Alexander Trans, AJ Agazarm, Leandro Lo, Ricardo Abreu, Leonardo Leite, Claudio Calasans, Roberto Alencar, Rafael Lovato Jr, Antonio Braga Neto

    Felipe Pena (Brazil)
    Age: 23 Record at Black Belt: 39-8 (18 Sub) Record in 14/15: 34-4 (16 Sub)
    Achievements: 1x World Champion (2014), 1x Pan American Champion Brown Belt (2012)
    ADCC History: Debut
    Key wins: Andre Galvao, Tim Spriggs, Claudio Calasans, Lucas Lepri, Luiz Panza, Jackson Sousa, Victor Estima

    Alexandre Ribeiro (Brazil)
    Age: 34 Record at Black Belt: 112-29 (47 Sub) Record in 14/15: 9-0-1 (3 Sub)
    Achievements: 2x ADCC Champion (2009, 2007), 5x World Champion (2015, 2008, 2007, 2006, 2004), 3x Pan American Chamoion (2006, 2005, 2002)
    ADCC History: 3rd (2011), Winner (2009), Winner (2007)
    Key wins: Braulio Estima, Keenan Cornelius, Bernardo Faria, Leandro Lo, Roberto Alencar, Yuri Simoes, Romulo Barral, Andre Galvao, Joao Assis, Leo Nogueira, Roger Gracie, Antonio Braga Neto, Roberto Abreu, Robert Drysdale, Ronaldo Souza

    Joao Assis (Brazil)
    Age: 31 Record at Black Belt: 34-13 (16 Sub) Record in 14/15: 6-1-1 (1 Sub)
    Achievements: 1x ADCC Champion (2013), 1x No-Gi World Champion (2010), 1x Pan American Champion Brown Belt (2009)
    ADCC History: Winner (2013), Runner Up (2011)
    Key wins: Alexandre Ribeiro, Dean Lister, Leo Nogueira, Antonio Braga Neto, Jeff Monson

    Roberto Alencar (Brazil)
    Age: 34 Record at Black Belt: 41-27 (13 Sub) Record in 14/15: 7-5 (1 Sub)
    Achievements: 4x No-Gi World Champion (2012, 2009, 2008, 2007), 1x Pan American Champion (2009)
    ADCC History: Debut
    Key wins: Rafael Lovato Jr, Antonio Braga Neto, Joao Assis, Bruno Bastos

    Tom DeBlass (USA)
    Age: 33 Record at Black Belt: ?-? (? Sub) Record in 14/15: ?-? (? Sub)
    Achievements: 1x No-Gi World Champion Brown Belt (2007), 2x Pan American Champion Brown Belt (2008)
    ADCC History: 1st round (2009)
    Key wins: Renato Sobral

    Hector Lombard (Cuba)
    Age: 37 Record at Black Belt: ?-? (? Sub) Record in 14/15: ?-? (? Sub)
    Achievements: N/A
    ADCC History: 4th (2013)
    Key wins: Vinny Magalhaes

    The Rest: Tom Narkun (Poland), Adam Sachnoff (USA), Jimmy Friedrich (USA), Cassio Da Silva (Brazil), Jason Bukich (USA), Tobias Green (Australia), Kamil Uminski (Poland), Lukasz Michalek (Poland), Yukiyasu Ozawa (Japan)



    In what looks to be a 4 horse race (5 if you include the ageing Tussa), then arguably the most decorated 99kg fighter on the list is Rodolfo Vieira. He has beaten all the top fighters in his weight class during his career and is a 4x world champion. However, the worrying thing for Vieira fans is that he is a much better Gi practitioner than No-Gi. Last time he competed at ADCC he picked up a disappointing 4th, although there were rumours he was carrying an injury that year. Back at 100% this year he has to be favorutie for the title.

    Felipe Pena is the young buck that many fancy to win this year’s 99kg title. He is the 2014 World Champion but was stripped of this title for testing positive for banned substances. In his last 28 grappling fights, he has just 2 losses, both due to advantage. However, one negative is that he normally competes at 88kg, so he will be one of the smallest men in the bracket.

    In 2014 Alexandre Ribeiro was retired. Earlier this year he came of retirement to win his 5th World Championship. There is no questioning his best days are behind him, but Xande proved with his World Championship win this year that he is still one of the best in the weight class.

    Joao Assis is the defending champion of this weight division, winning the ADCC 99kg division in 2013. This year however winning is a much tougher prospect, as neither Vieira, Pena nor Ribeiro were in the bracket in 2013. The 31 year old is easily capable of winning this, though at times has struggled with the top competition and will need to bring his A game.

    Roberto Alencar is one of the greatest No-Gi competitors in the history of this weight class, becoming No-Gi World Champion 4 times between 2007 and 2012. However, at 34 years old it appears he is past his prime. Having lost 7 of his last 14 contests, he needs to be at the top of his game to compete with the main 4 contenders.

    Tom DeBlass is a name many may know due to his experience in MMA – he competed for the UFC a few years ago. He has been a much more successful on the grappling circuit in USA, winning many major regional tournaments. He is facing a big step up in competition here however and will be interesting to see if he can compete with the big boys.

    Probable the most recognisable name in the bracket this year is UFC fighter Hector Lombard. A former Olympian in the sport of Judo, he looks to get his feet wet on the BJJ scene. He is a big of an unknown in this bracket, and in regional contests leading up to this he has favoured leglock submissions. He should make it past round 1 depending on the draw, but that will be his ceiling.

    Final Prediction: Felipe Pena defeats Rodolfo Vieira
    Dark Horse: Adam Sachnoff
    MMA Fighters: Hector Lombard (34-4), Tom DeBlass (9-2), Tom Narkun (9-2), Alexandre Ribeiro (2-0), Joao Assis (5-6), Yukiyasu Ozawa (2-2)
     
    Last edited: Aug 23, 2015
  2. Gambledub

    Gambledub Brown Belt

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  3. BJJArsenal

    BJJArsenal Brown Belt

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    Surprised not a bigger mention of Big Red. He looked very dominant in the trials before 2013 and was considered a big threat until his injury.
     
  4. Qtip inspector

    Qtip inspector Blue Belt

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    Pulling for big red
     
  5. Daveb

    Daveb Green Belt

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    I've been training with Tussa everyday for this training camp and he has worked really hard for this tournament. I think he is a different beast in Nogi and his wrestling has improved a ton since he started training at Jackson's as well. Roldolfo and Felipe are monsters but I think Tussa is going to surprise people
     
  6. fanboysareevil

    fanboysareevil Green Belt

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    Everybody sleeping on Xande. I'll pick him to win this and then ride off into the sunset in terms of ADCC.
     
  7. Spazzmaster

    Spazzmaster Purple Belt

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    ^ Yeah I want Xande to win the gold too. It would really seal the deal on his status as one of the all-time greats. IMO, he's the best example of superior fundamentals remaining competitive in the modern game. He straddles the generations.

    It's interesting that the write-up describes Tussa as "aging" when Xande is the same age and Lombard is even older.
     

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