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Im a huge nate fan and I was one of the few who gave Nate a small hope of beating Chimaev but lets be real, 9 times out of 10, Chimaev would have ragdolled Diaz badly and could have potentially finished him. All because Chimaev basically fucked up his weight cut (which was documented by various sources), he pretty much missed out on his title shot at 170. To illustrate this point:
1. Leon Edwards beat Nate Diaz at UFC 263 in June 2021:
Leon Edward's next fight was for the WW title at UFC 278 in August 2022:
2. Jorge Masvidal beat Nate Diaz at UFC 244 in November 2019:
Jorge Masvidals next fight was for the WW title at UFC 251 in July 2020:
3. Conor McGregor beat Nate Diaz at UFC 202 in August 2016:
Conor McGregors next fight was for the LW title at UFC 205 in November 2016:
4. RDA beat Nate Diaz at UFC on FOX 13 in December 2014:
RDA then fought for the LW title at UFC 185 in March 2015:
Pretty much anyone who has fought and beaten Nate since 2014 has fought for a UFC title in their next fight, and 3 out of 4 times, has actually been successful in that title fight. Therefore, statistically, we can say that not only if Chimaev had fought and beaten Diaz would his name obviously be more popular amongst casuals: but also there's a high chance statistically that he would have fought for the WW title next, and probably would have replaced Colby in facing Leon after the Usman trilogy. So missing weight against Diaz pretty much cost him his title shot.
What are your thoughts Sherbros? How badly do you think Chimaev fucked up in retrospect by not making weight against Nate and thus earning that title shot by potentially beating him?
1. Leon Edwards beat Nate Diaz at UFC 263 in June 2021:

Leon Edward's next fight was for the WW title at UFC 278 in August 2022:
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2. Jorge Masvidal beat Nate Diaz at UFC 244 in November 2019:
Jorge Masvidals next fight was for the WW title at UFC 251 in July 2020:

3. Conor McGregor beat Nate Diaz at UFC 202 in August 2016:

Conor McGregors next fight was for the LW title at UFC 205 in November 2016:
:format(jpeg)/cdn.vox-cdn.com/uploads/chorus_image/image/51808773/134_Conor_McGregor_vs_Eddie_Alvarez.0.0.jpg)
4. RDA beat Nate Diaz at UFC on FOX 13 in December 2014:

RDA then fought for the LW title at UFC 185 in March 2015:
:no_upscale()/cdn.vox-cdn.com/uploads/chorus_image/image/47282030/159_Anthony_Pettis_vs_Rafael_Dos_Anjos.0.0.jpg)
Pretty much anyone who has fought and beaten Nate since 2014 has fought for a UFC title in their next fight, and 3 out of 4 times, has actually been successful in that title fight. Therefore, statistically, we can say that not only if Chimaev had fought and beaten Diaz would his name obviously be more popular amongst casuals: but also there's a high chance statistically that he would have fought for the WW title next, and probably would have replaced Colby in facing Leon after the Usman trilogy. So missing weight against Diaz pretty much cost him his title shot.
What are your thoughts Sherbros? How badly do you think Chimaev fucked up in retrospect by not making weight against Nate and thus earning that title shot by potentially beating him?