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Volkov has a 5" height and reach advantage. He is 4 years older and has 17 fights more experience. He has won his last 2 fights by 1st round TKO and Tuivasa has lost his last 2 fights by KO. In fact I expect Volkov's last 2 opponents, Romanov and Rozenstruik, would finish Tuivasa, Romanov by sub and Jairzinho by KO.
Tai is a dangerous puncher (6-2 in boxing) and an explosive HW but every time he has had a step up in competition to someone with name value he has lost, except Derrick Lewis, who was already washed up when they fought and is also a stocky power puncher without much else to offer.
Volkov is an elite HW striker with superior kicks, movement, timing and stamina. Neither fighter likes to grapple much but I would say Volkov is better on the ground as well. He will see everything Tuivasa is throwing a mile away and avoid or counter. He will circle and technically break down Tai on the feet and make him tentative, then start to inflict more and more damage with high accuracy until Tai drops in front of his dismayed and silent home crowd.
Drago will make it 3 (T)KOs in a row and move back up closer to the top of the division and Tai could be cut after being finished 3 times in a row. If not he will sink further into irrelevance.
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