Super duper anecdotal, but I've said it many times my sister is a traveling nurse. She's been a Democrat voter since her first vote, and she's not "far left" or anything radical just always preferred the policies of the party and is registered. After they went all in with the Covid shot mandate stuff and forcing on healthcare workers she has flipped and voted Republican this year down the party line. Pretty much this one singular issue made her vote Republican for the first time, because she was so strongly against the receiving the Covid shot and despised people trying to force her to get it or lose her job. Said she would never vote for Biden again if ran because of it and if Trump ran she would just not vote instructions of voting for her party again. It's something mind-blowing to me given how strong she's held voting Democrat all these years.
Just an example of why everyone has to be careful with these issues they force on us. I'm sure there's an equally anecdotal example of a woman never voting Republican again over abortion. I know things generally flip back and forth, but it makes me wonder how many people have made such a jump on one-issue items, and if the experts smarter than us calculate all these things in their planning.
For real, even Hillsborough it's like hmm, but I really think at least in central Florida it would be groundbreaking. Pinellas looks much more, changed, than years past, so if they are trending away from blue in the votes that would be insane. Other counties would be even icing on the cake so to speak. One of the best things about Florida is there are so many independents and they typically care about issues and less about nonsense even though media portrays otherwise.
I dunno about Mitch though lol that dude is legendary. He has a death grip on the party, I don't think he's going anywhere until he's ready to.