Your Official UFC Fox 23 Bets

[2bet]

2.5u Marquardt/Alvey O1.5 + Cottrell 2.96
2.5u Sterling 2.30
[URL='https://bettin.gs/bet/529121']2.5u Shevchenko + Assuncao/Sterling O2.5 2.58[/URL]

 

[null]

UFC on Fox 23 Risk $1581.10

Valentina Shevchenko (-125) vs Julianna Pena ~$115.50 for ~$92.40
Valentina Shevchenko wins in round 4 (+1647) $10.00 for $164.70
Valentina Shevchenko wins in round 5 (+2073) $10.00 for $207.30

Jorge Masvidal (+150) vs Donald Cerrone $100.00 for $150.00
Jorge Masvidal (+140) vs Donald Cerrone $100.00 for $140.00
Jorge Masvidal wins by 3 round decision (+321) $35.00 for $112.35

Andrei Arlovski wins in round 1 (+1000) ~$26.80 for ~$268.00
Francis Ngannou wins in round 2 (+690) ~$26.80 for ~$184.92
Francis Ngannou win by submission (+800) $20.00 for $160.00

Alex Caceres (+122) vs Jason Knight $100.00 for $122.00
Alex Caceres wins by decision (+227) $25.00 for $56.75

Nate Marquardt (+125) vs Sam Alvey $200.00 for $250.00
Raphael Assuncao (-142) vs Aljamain Sterling $142.00 for $100.00
Li Jingliang (-133) vs Bobby Nash $99.75 for $75.00
Luis Henrique da Silva wins by submission (+652) vs Jordan Johnson $20.00 for $130.40
Alessio Di Chirico (-106) vs Eric Spicely $159.00 for $150.00
Marcos Rogerio de Lima vs Jeremy Kimball (-145) $72.50 for $50.00

Eric Shelton (-125) vs Alexandre Pantoja $93.75 for $75.00
Jason Gonzalez (+115) vs J.C. Cottrell $40.00 for $46.00

Francis Ngannou wins Fastest KO (+200) $15.00 for $30.00
Luis Henrique da Silva wins Fastest Submision (+2500) $10.00 for $250.00

Alex Caceres/Jason Knight FOTN award winner (+600) $10.00 for $60.00

Parlays:
Marcos Rogerio de Lima (-145) vs Jeremy Kimball + Nate Marquardt (+125) vs Sam Alvey + Jorge Masvidal (+140) vs Donald Cerrone $50.00 for $406.21
Li Jingliang wins by TKO/KO (+300) + Raphael Assuncao wins by 3 round decision (+148) + Valentina Shevchenko wins by 5 round decision (+160) $50.00 for $1,239.60
Marcus Rogerio De Lima wins inside distance (-108) + Nate Marquardt wins by 3 round decision (+285) + Jorge Masvidal wins by 3 round decision (+321) $50.00 for $1,510.82

 

[Sadistics]

Shevchenko -105 2.5u
Shevchenko DEC +235 .5u
Shevchenko/Pena Draw +5500 .1u

Masvidal +150 .5u

Arlovski KO +550 .2u

Knight -130 .7u
Knight DEC +142 .5u

Marquardt +145 1u
Marquardt/Alvey O1.5 -135 .5u
Marquardt DEC +350 .25u

Assuncao -115 1.15u
Assuncao DEC +150 .5u

Jingliang +100 .5u
Nash/Jingliang O2.5 -110 .5u

Da Silva +170 2u
Johnson RD2 +500 .2u
Johnson RD3 +800 .25u

Di Chirico -105 1u

Lima -140 2u
Kimball/Lima Doesn't start RD2 -130 .6u
Kimball SUB +550 .2u
Kimball RD2 +800 .1u
Kimball RD3 + 1300 .1u

Pantoja -105 1u

Cottrell -129 1u


Round robin parlay: Shev DEC + Cerrone DEC + Knight DEC + Marquardt DEC + Sterling NSC + Di Chirico DEC + Cottrell DEC 1.1u

Njokuani + Gonzalez/Cottrell O1.5 + 3 open slots 1u

 

[Officer_Brown]

added 300 on Spicelt/mArq/shechenko to win 2100

 

[piglord]

WINS:

£50 jingliang returns £90

£360 masvidal returns £864

£104 shevchenko itd returns £416

LOSSES:

£50 jingliang ko, assuncao dec, Shevchenko dec returns £1237

£50 di Chirico returns £100

£50 marquardt, jingliang, masvidal , Shevchenko, Johnson, di Chirico returns £2100

£90 marquardt returns £199

£50 johnson, knight/caceras o 2.5 returns £107

£120 shevchenko, caceras/knight o 2.5, assuncao/sterling o 2.5 returns £375

£30 arlovski round 1 returns £330

TOTAL INVESTMENT: £954

PROFIT £416

if caceras/knight had gone o 2.5 or shevchenko had won by decision i would have had a great night, but as it is i'm up small. i think the lesson from tonight is to stop playing small wagers on fights i'm unsure about, because they add up like a motherfucker.

 

[TimCoreCombat]

I'm going semi-yolo Saturday cause I'm fucking bummed about surgery next week.

My picks:

5 team parlay - 1/2 unit
Valentina Shevchenko ML (-125)
Donald Cerrone ML (-160)
Li Jingliang ML (-150)
Eric Spicely ML (-125)
Eric Shelton ML (-120)

2 Team - Parlay 2 units
Li Jingliang ML (-150)
Eric Spicely ML (-125)

2 Team - Parlay 2 units
Li Jingliang ML (-150)
Eric Shelton ML (-120)

Valentina Shevchenko ML (-115) 10 units

2 Team - Parlay 3 units
Nate Marquardt ML (+125)
Paul Daley ML (-120) Win

2 Team - Parlay 3 units

Valentina Shevchenko ML (-110)

Paul Daley ML (-120) Win

2 Team - Parlay 5 units

Valentina Shevchenko ML (-110)

Donald Cerrone ML (-165)

Pretty strong night overall. Wish Nate wouldn't have been robbed but I'll take it.

 

[iGnP]

[Shevchenko (-135) risk: 1.35u to win 1u
(Hedged off half a unit) Pena (+140) risk: 0.482u to win 0.675u]

>Updated stake: Shevchenko (-130) risk: 0.675u to win 0.518u +0.518u

[Cerrone -125 risk: 2.5u to win 2u
(Freeroll) Masvidal +135 risk: 2u to win 2.7u]

>Updated stake: Masvidal risk: 0u to win 0.2u +0.2u

Masvidal by DEC (+214) risk: 1u -1u
Arlovski by TKO (+550) risk: 0.2u -0.2u
Arlovski wins in round 2, round 3 (+1150 and +1850, respectively) risk: 0.15u each -0.3u
Assuncao by DEC (+145) risk: 1u +1.45u
Marquardt (+125) risk: 0.5u -0.5u
Caceres by DEC (+260) risk: 1u -1u

Added during event:
Knight by SUB (+375) risk: 0.1u +0.375u
Shevchenko (-180) for 1.8u +1u

+0.543u

Mas getting the finish cost me some money there but no way I'd expect him to win like that.

 

[t6p]

2u Shevchenko +100 +2u
0.25u Pena SUB +615 -0.25u

0.5u Masvidal +160 +0.8u
0.25u Masvidal DEC +261 -0.25u

0.15u Ngannou RD2 +475 -0.15u
0.1u Ngannou SUB +1025 -0.1u

1u Caceres +155 -1u
0.375u Caceres DEC +260 -0.375u
0.05u Caceres RD3 +2300 -0.05u

1u Sterling +130 -1u
1u Sterling NSC +310 +0u
0.2u Sterling SUB +1035 -0.2u
0.05u Sterling RD3 +2450 -0.05u

0.2u Sterling/Caceres/Masvidal/Shevchenko +1792 -0.2u

Added: 0.5u Masvidal +160 +0.8u

NET: -0.025u

About as close to breaking even as you can get lol. I'll take it after how bad things started out. Not that I thought Sterling deserved to win (neither did really IMO), but it seems like I lose every split decision. Oh well, I freaking love me some Valentina Schevchenko. Hope everyone else did well.

 

[Sadistics]

Shevchenko -105 2.5u
Shevchenko DEC +235 .5u
Shevchenko/Pena Draw +5500 .1u

Masvidal +150 .5u

Arlovski KO +550 .2u

Knight -130 .7u
Knight DEC +142 .5u

Marquardt +145 1u
Marquardt/Alvey O1.5 -135 .5u
Marquardt DEC +350 .25u

Assuncao -115 1.15u
Assuncao DEC +150 .5u

Jingliang +100 .5u
Nash/Jingliang O2.5 -110 .5u

Da Silva +170 2u
Johnson RD2 +500 .2u
Johnson RD3 +800 .25u

Di Chirico -105 1u

Lima -140 2u
Kimball/Lima Doesn't start RD2 -130 .6u
Kimball SUB +550 .2u
Kimball RD2 +800 .1u
Kimball RD3 + 1300 .1u

Pantoja -105 1u

Cottrell -129 1u


Round robin parlay: Shev DEC + Cerrone DEC + Knight DEC + Marquardt DEC + Sterling NSC + Di Chirico DEC + Cottrell DEC 1.1u

Njokuani + Gonzalez/Cottrell O1.5 + 3 open slots 1u

Up .5u, I think it's time I stop playing every fight for action, or at least much smaller as I still like to be invested.

Was planning to freeroll Henrique but the odds never shifted and I was stuck with 2u on him.

 

[piglord]

got this funny one still alive for a £600 payout.

 

[weedreference]

Gonzalez +120 - 2u
Shelton -115 - to win 2u
Di Chirico +103 - 2u
Jingliang -128 - to win 2u -- u2.5 -105 to win 1u
Assuncao -130 - to win 1u
Alvey/Marquart o1.5 -130 to win 1u
Shevchenko -110 - 6u

Predicted most of the line movement, got solid prices as usual... time to lose some money!

WIll bet Knight, Cerrone, Johnson, and Alvey if their lines drop significantly.

GL to all

Crushed this card for 12u

Added bets on the Johnson/Frankenstein over to win 1u and Alvey to win 1u. Won a few units in props. Thankfully money came in on Cerrone so I didn't end up playing him, though I regret not playing Knight. I am such a huge fan of him now that I have to watch out overrating him in the future.

 

[Sham5916910]

4.5 units profit. Mas 1 unit +145 hit and i hit jordan for just under 1.5 units @ -180 roughly just before it started. Otherwise it was lb for me and my main winner was li. I hit li itd +650 li ml +160 li ml +300.

I had a lotto ticket £150 for £5.5k. Only one leg failed which was knight o2.5 but i cashed out just before that fight started for just under a units profit. Good decision!

Hope you all did well

 

[NorthernLights]

With some added livebets, mostly stupid ones, I ended up with 0,9u profit...Seventh winning event in a row so I'm pleased despite my small winnings and a mostly boring card.

 

[Slohog]

Nothing fancy, got:

5u on Shev @1.9
5u Li @1.7

Havn't got enough time to think about the rest of the fights enough.

So up 8u if my math is on point.

 

[Basek]

Final setup & I am done with that event.

Bobby Nash 2.20 for 500 to win 1100
Valentina ( fock Val = Lateurnou, let's dint bring bad luck ) 1.90 for 147 to win 280,63
Nate 2.25 + Mas 2.40 for 100 to win 540
Valentina / Pena U4.5 (2.40) + Donald /Mas U2.5 (2.75) for 50 to win 330
Caceres 2.30+Francis 1.25 + Valentina 1.90 for 117 to win 642,17
Mas winning inside 1st round (10.00) 15,90 to win 159
Cacares + Nate + Alessio 2.00 for 50 to win 529

Nate + Cacares + Nash + Alessio + Francis +Jordan + Sterling +Valentina for 38 to win 6368

That was tough night. I risk a lot on Nash and it didn't payed off- but at least was fun fight compared to most .
Overall - 400 PLN (100 $)

Big lesson. I am stopping definitely with parlays.
Gratz to all winners !

 

[Joseph Budden]

Fucking hate losing events. Including Friday's Bellator results to feel a little better lol. Luckily up 16u in Jan still and I hated both UFC events for betting.

Grats guys, looked like in pbp thread most made out with a W

 

[Shoulder]

Lost 0.87U after throwing some extra money in there. Was forcing to much and holding back on bets I felt good about. Onwards upwards!

 

[bllandzz]

I love seeing wins like this! Congrats man, you fucking nailed it.

View attachment 194569

 

[LEMONZEST]

Yeah thanks! Feeling very fortunate to have Li come from behind win and 2 split decisions go my way.

 

[Joseph Budden]

View attachment 194569

And people still say doing lotto ticket parlays is throwing money away. Good shit man.