Your Official UFC Fox 23 Bets

[Timurd123]

2.5u Shev -115
2u Mas dec +275
1u Kimball TKO +225
0.25u Johnson rd3 +2000
2u Johnson + Raphael + u1.5 Arlovski-Ngan + Sam Alvey + 535


Havent had time to do any research so Im just going with what i think I know

 

[TheViking]

2U Nate by sub +655
2U Pena by DC +260 (not sure about this one after watching weigh ins - Shevchenko looks big)
2U Masvidal by finish +495 (mistake, didn't see the tko option)
2U Masvidal by tko +600
2U N'Gannou by DC +789 (risky, but sometimes Arlovskis chin holds up)

 

[Oblivian]

Singles
Assuncao: $15 to win $9.38 $24.38
Masvidal: $12.50 to win $15 $27.50
Marquardt: $12.50 to win $15 Loss
Johnson: $12.50 to win $7.58 $20.08
Caceres: $10 to win $13.50 Loss
Cottrell: $7.50 to win $5.17 Loss
Di Chirico: $6.25 to win $5.95 Loss

Parlays
T. Woods doesn't get top 5 (Farmers) + Arlovski/Ngannou ITD + De Lima/Kimball ITD: $12.50 to win $8.66 $21.16
Rickels + McKee + Arlovski/Ngannou ITD: $10 to win $5.92 $15.92
Field over Rose (Farmers) + Not Pantoja Dec: $8.75 to win $4.26 Loss
Pessette + Pena (+5.5): $6.25 to win $6.43 Loss
Field over Snedeker (Farmers) + Mas/Cerrone ITD + Arlovski/Ngannou doesn't start 3 + Caceres/Knight starts 2 + Sterling/Ass dec: $1.25 to win $6.55 $7.80
Yauger/Middleton over 2.5 + Jingliang: $5 to win $6.96 $11.96

Total Risk of $120 $128.80

 

[Agent Mulder]

2.66u Masvidal +140
2u Marquardt +125
2u Chirico -105
1.5u Caceres +130
1u Pena +140
1u Assuncao -130
0.66u Arlovski +300

0.5u Caceres DEC +250
0.33u Marquardt DEC +375
0.166u Masvidal r1 +900
0.166u Arlovski r1 +1000

1.33u Caceres/Knight O2.5 + Pena/Shev O4.5 +130

 

[raketmannen]

3u Shevchenko ml -111
1u Shevchenko ml -125
0.2u Shevchenko r4 +2200
0.2u Shevchenko r5 +2800

2u Masvidal ml +140
1u Masvidal/Cerrone u2.5 +180

0.5u Arlovski r1 +1000

3u Knight -142
0.4u Knight sub +400

0.4u Marquardt dec +375
0.4u Alvey r2 +500

1.5u Assuncao -140
1u Assuncao dec +160

1.6u Johnson ml -160
0.2u Johson r2 +550
0.1u Johnson r3 +2000
0.4u Wasten itd +340

1.65u Spicely ml -111
1u Spicely sub +180
0.2u Spicely r3 +3300

1.5u Kimball ml +150

1.5u Shelton ml -125

2u Sterling/Assuncao o2.5 + Knight/Caceres o2.5 +104
1u Sterling/Assuncao o2.5 + Marquardt ml + Ngannou ml +294
1.5u Jinglian ml + Assuncao ml + Ngannou ml +265
1u Nash/Jingliang itd + Wasten/Johnson itd + Knight ml +330
1u Ngannou itd + Spicely +154
0.5u Assuncao dec + Jingliang itd +572
0.75u Marquardt/Alvey gtd + Arlovski/Ngannou itd +275

 

[t6p]

Thought I would be bigger on this card. Oh well, still pumped to watch it:

2u Shevchenko +100
0.25u Pena SUB +615

0.5u Masvidal +160
0.25u Masvidal DEC +261

0.15u Ngannou RD2 +475
0.1u Ngannou SUB +1025

1u Caceres +155
0.375u Caceres DEC +260
0.05u Caceres RD3 +2300

1u Sterling +130
1u Sterling NSC +310
0.2u Sterling SUB +1035
0.05u Sterling RD3 +2450

0.2u Sterling/Caceres/Masvidal/Shevchenko +1792

 

[LEMONZEST]

3u shev
3u jinglaing
1u Mas ITD
1u Mas/Cowboy under
3u Knight over + Sterling over

And tons of parlay action.

 

[Slohog]

Nothing fancy, got:

5u on Shev @1.9
5u Li @1.7

Havn't got enough time to think about the rest of the fights enough.

 

[iGnP]

Re-post now that plays are finalized:

[Shevchenko (-135) risk: 1.35u to win 1u
(Hedged off half a unit) Pena (+140) risk: 0.482u to win 0.675u]

>Updated stake: Shevchenko (-130) risk: 0.675u to win 0.518u

[Cerrone -125 risk: 2.5u to win 2u
(Freeroll) Masvidal +135 risk: 2u to win 2.7u]

>Updated stake: Masvidal risk: 0u to win 0.2u

Masvidal by DEC (+214) risk: 1u
Arlovski by TKO (+550) risk: 0.2u
Arlovski wins in round 2, round 3 (+1150 and +1850, respectively) risk: 0.15u each
Assuncao by DEC (+145) risk: 1u
Marquardt (+125) risk: 0.5u
Caceres by DEC (+260) risk: 1u

 

[Officer_Brown]

added 150 to cotrell/spicely/potatohead/shelton

 

[EzFlyer]

UFC FOX 23 Risk: 2,040.85
pena +125: 150 for 187.50 - 21 parlays / pena ITD: 20 parlays / ITD: 50 for 65 / shevchenko
cowboy -113: 225 for 200 / cowboy DEC: 21 parlays / masvidal
ngannou -260: 260 for 100 / ngannou SUB: 10 for 141.70 / ngannou RD2: 20 for 95 - 20 parlays / AA
caceres +128: 150 for 192.50 - 21 parlays / caceres DEC: 40 for 104 / knight
marquardt +133: 100 for 132.50 - 21 parlays / marquardt DEC: 25 for 100 - 20 parlays / O1.5: 110 for 100 / alvey
assuncao DEC: 50 for 78.50 - 21 parlays / sterling
jingliang -115: 57.50 for 50 / jingliang -3.5: 20 parlays / nash
da silva: 20 parlays / da silva NSC: 50 for 70 / johnson
dichirico -101: 201.30 for 200 - 21 parlays / dichirico DEC: 35 for 101.50 - 20 parlays / spicely
lima RD1: 27.50 for 42.63 / RD1: 22.50 for 17.31 / kimball RD2: 20 for 162.50 / kimball RD3: 10 for 150
shelton -105: 157.50 for 150 - 21 parlays / pantoja NSC: 99.45 for 85
gonzalez NSC: 51.50 for 50 - 21 parlays / cottrell
props
FOTN: caceres-knght: 25 for 175
parlays
33.60 for 1,769.50: pena/ cowboyDEC/ caceres/ marq/ assuncaoDEC/ dichirico/ shelton/ gonzNSC
60 RR for 756.18: penaITD/ ngannouRD2/ marqDEC/ jing-3.5/ daSilva/ dichiricoDEC
---

all set. see you guys in 2 hours.

 

[Polarize]

-6u last event after losing like 10u livebetting Held ( won 1u with Daley last week)
----

4u Masvidal (2.40)
3u Shelton (1.80)
1.5u Kimball (2.30)
0.5u Marquardt (2.30)
0.5u Dichirico (2.00)

0.75u Shelton DEC (2.87)
0.1u Jordan R3 (21.00)
0.25u Nash DEC (4.75)
0.2u Kimball SUB (8.00)
0.2u Marq DEC (4.75)
1.6u Marq-Alvey o1.5 (1.72)
0.5u Caceres DEC (3.50)
0.5u Assuncao DEC (2.60)
0.2u Ngannou R2 (8.00)
0.4u Masvidal DEC (3.50)

parlays:
0.5u Masvidal / Shelton (4.32)
0.5u Marq-Alvey o1.5 / Sterling-RA DEC (2.65)
0.2u Masvidal / Kimball / Dichirico / Knight / Shelton (29.00 aprox)

RR
Marquardt DEC / Nash DEC / Kimball / Masvidal / Knight
0.5u to win 4.2u

 

[Basek]

Added 40 to win 150
Nash by KO/TKO/SUB

 

[MMA Goodfella]

Andrei Arlovski vs. Francis Ngannou

Spoiler

A heavyweight slobber knocker incoming! Über prospect Francis Ngannou aims to take out veteran HW — and future Hall of Famer — Andrei Arlovski in a tilt to put his name all the tips of the tongues of those in serious consideration for title contention.
This pairing features two strikers which will most likely engage in a virtual kick boxing match with 4 ounce gloves on. While the former heavyweight champion Arlovski is the more technical party, he's also long in the tooth and has shown himself to be quite chinny in previous outings. There was a bit of a rejuvenation period for "The Pit-Bull" when he made his UFC return, however fortunes have turned once more and but Arlovski seems to have fallen back down to earth and is on a terrible 3 fight skids.

For some reason I can't get the mental image of Brett Rogers blitzing Arlovski and leaving him crumpled in a heap of his own mess in their Strikeforce match up. Ngannou is everything that Brett Rogers is and then a thousand times more. It's possible that Andrei could use his veteran guil along with a Jacksonian game plan to drag the prospect into deep waters and test his gas tank in the elevation, but more than likely the French savage cracks Arlovski's jaw and for all intents and purposes puts an end to a long and very successful career.

Ngannou x KO r1 (value play 0.3u on Andrei round one +900)

Alex Caceres vs. Jason Knight

Spoiler

Brace yourself for featherweight madness as the Mississippi main hick Diaz also known as Jason Knight squares off against the always exciting Bruce Lee Roy. Both fighters or exciting as hell to watch and a bit under rated in their own right. Alex is a wild man in there with looking like something from a 1970s Blaxploitation B movie. Indeed, you get someone who looked like he walked straight off the set of "The Last Dragon" auditioning for the role of "Sho'nuff" with his 1000 Megawatt smile and trademark Afro blowing in the wind. Don't get it twisted though Bruce Lee Roy is a fucking smiling assassin. He may look like a baby faced free spirit, but dude can do legitimate damage with his fists and/or jujitsu skills.

Meanwhile, in stark contrast to Alex's fun loving style, Knight is all about getting his hands on you and the sooner the better. His countenance a permanent scowl, Knight is in perpetual "fuck you mode" from the moment he song says contract to his entrance to the cage. Indeed, Knight wants to inflict bodily harm to his opponent as if he just found the man who he saw kick his beloved hunting dog Cooter in the ribs and ran away. A grappler turned brawler, Knight is all about staying on the front foot and walking you down. Knight is happy to oblige them in a firefight or bring them to the mat and search for a submission finish. The Alan Belcher protégé is young, he's mean, and he is very talented.

This fight should be an absolute barn burner and I can't wait to watch it.
Hick Diaz by SD

Nate Marquardt vs. Sam Alvey


Spoiler

It's quite simple really, if you can stay on the outside and away from Sam's violent left hand, you are pretty much guaranteed a victory. Alvey may be the most one dimensional fighter in the UFC that is able to have the type of success he does given his absence of any sort of athleticism. He is slow, apathetic, plodding and he doesn't set anything up with feints or other trickery – but somehow he routinely wins via KO. How? He does it because he has some of the worst God gifted power punching we have witnessed. Basically the plan is simple, Alvey has nearly impenetrable TDD and is willing to remain incredibly patient and until his opponent enters the pocket — AKA the blast radius and then hey let's loose with a counter left to end the fight. Inside the blast radius Alvey bites down on his mouthpiece Waits for his opponent to throw a strike and then counter them with a mortar fire. Curtains.

No doubt, if this were 5 to 6 years ago, this isn't even a contest as Marquardt walks all over Smilin' Sam and he does it without breaking a sweat. Marquardt is extremely versatile with excellent kickboxing and has top shelf Brazilian jujitsu. The Colorado native has always possessed really good wrestling and an excellent top game for as long as I remember. After plateauing and then seemingly trending into irrelevancy, Marquardt has found a bit of a resurgence at 185 again. The method is by sticking to the basics. That is to say, he is using his impeccable timing and heavy hands to make up for his deteriorated reflexes and athleticism. The main problem with Marquardt is that he cannot take a punch anymore. Nevertheless, he's a salty dog veteran who just may be able to use his nearly 2 decades in this sport to his advantage and find a way to stay out of Sams wheelhouse and pick up a victory by out pointing his man in a ugly glorified kickboxing match.

At the end of the day, this bout may not be a aesthetically pleasing to viewers, but I do see a path to victory for the 50-plus fight veteran Marquardt. Ergo, I believe he is worth a small play as a dog.

Marquardt UD

Raphael Assuncao vs. Aljamain Sterling

Spoiler

Sterling is a fantastic talent because of his and night athleticism and terrific grappling. This due of makes him a legitimate threat for anyone in the division. However, much like other wrestlers before such as Bubba Jenkins and Darrion Caldwell, so far Aljo is just so uncomfortable in the striking department. If Aljo had Jason Knight's mindset, the kid would be a bonafide lock in a fight like this as it's thoroughly winnable. However, because he has that Bubba Jenkins and Brock Lesnar DNA, he doesn't like to get hit and this causes him to fatigue early and shoot for double leg takedown's from way outside. The result to this is Sterling gassing himself out for her before he should. This will only be compounded and the high altitude of Denver.

Meanwhile, Raphael Assuncao isn't as athletic, but he is extremely versatile with excellent kickboxing and top of the food chain BJJ skills. Rafael has proven that he can hang with superior athletes as he demonstrated in his victory against TJ Dillashaw. What's more, Assuncao is very smart inside the cage and rarely makes forced errors. If Sterling hasn't improved his striking and remains gun shy, Assuncao is going to piece him up in a three round kick boxing match. This is exactly what I think happens.

Assuncao x DEC

 

[hugdeeznuts]

Johnson itd
Li
Aljamain
Nate
Caceres
Ngannou itd
Masvidal
Shevchenko

 

[Stunna77]

1U Caceres +130
0.25u Caceres Dec +180
2U Di Chirico -107
2U Li Jingliang -145
0.5U Frankenstein +175
1U Shelton -135 (late to the party on this one)
1U Alvey -150
0.25U Alvey Dec +425
1U Pena +140
0.1u each Pena Rd 4 & 5 +1900 & +2500
1U Francis KO -185
0.25U Francis rd 2 +475
0.1U AA Dec +925
0.5U Li + Francis +103
1U Alvey + Cerrone +167
1U Cerrone -155
0.5U Cerrone dec +135
0.25U Cerrone Sub +675
0.5U Lotto - Shelton + De Lima + Di Chirico + Li + Alvey + Caceres + Francis + Cerrone + Pena +1641


BOL to all!

 

[timmyclax22]

Nash (+105) $38.10 to win $40
Shelton (-125) $50 to win $40

Added Marquardt (+125) $32 to win $40

Watching tape on Spicely and Di Chirico now and may have a play on that. Also looking to possibly add AA because I think +325 against a relatively unknown and unproven fighter is pretty good plus its the heavyweight division.

 

[MMA Goodfella]

Hate this card..playing small!! Will add parlays later

Pena v Shevchenko o4.5 -144 7.00 units

Arlovski wins in round 1 +800 0.3 units
Ngannou wins in round 2 +450 0.75 units
Shevchenko wins in round 4 +1647 0.20 units
Shevchenko By KO,TKO OR DQ +357 1.35 units

Knight By Submission +411 0.6 units
Marquardt By Decision +275 1.50 units
de Lima v Kimball o1.5 +195 1.50 units
Sterling By Submission +1045 0.25 units

SU

Shelton -125 3.00 units
de Lima -145 3.00 units
Masvidal +140 2.50 units
Jingliang -133 3.30 units
Di Chirico -106 4.50 units

Will add up after fights

 

[wigglestick]

ok so if you want to know whatsup with wigglestick heres the scoop. Got a cute gf that wanted me to stop betting mma. I said i need 100 to take out the money, so i had 50 bet it on a womans fight lost. Now I figured how will she know im betting anyways? so i put in another 50 few days ago, lost 23 on bellator and now im left with 27. So far this is what I got


Shelton - 7.19 to win 6.25
Gonzalez - 2 to win 2.30
Assuncao/ Lima fight ITD - 4 to win 3.90
Johnson/ Lima fight ITD - 5 to win 3.77

the rest I'll bet as i go. I know not much but im trying to build from 27 lol

 

[NorthernLights]

1u Johnson +145
2u Shevchenko -110
+1u Shevchenko by KO/DEC +110
1u Caceres +130
1u Masvidal +140
0,5u Di Chirico +100
0,5u Marquardt DEC +375
0,2u Ngannou R2 +700