Your official UFC 230 BETS

[kevinramsdell]

wieczorek has no wrestling and is generally bad and on short notice flying in from poland.

Aren’t they both technically flying in from a different country? Lol I posted my bets on a different thread I guess. I put Lima in a couple parlays

 

[piglord]

Aren’t they both technically flying in from a different country? Lol I posted my bets on a different thread I guess. I put Lima in a couple parlays

no rogerio trains at american top team.

 

[LiquidNuke]

wieczorek has no wrestling and is generally bad and on short notice flying in from poland.

My only concern is how heavy Lima came in... 250 something pounds.

I don't actually think all that weight is going to change his MO at much if at all... which is blowing his wad somewhere within a round, a round and a half. If he gets it done, it's probably going to be early. That's the best I've been able to suss it out anyway, I think Wieczorek came in about 10 pounds lighter than his norm for this bout as well...

We'll see I guess!

 

[kevinramsdell]

no rogerio trains at american top team.

ahhh ok so not a bad flight at all for him. my only concern for him was his clear lack of submission defense but he has bombs in his hands and i like HW's knocking each other out

 

[LiquidNuke]

ahhh ok so not a bad flight at all for him. my only concern for him was his clear lack of submission defense but he has bombs in his hands and i like HW's knocking each other out

We've never even seen the Pole take a good punch as of yet. I'm really hoping Lima brings a level of heat he's not accustomed to in there, maybe mix in some leg kicks to chop his man down.

 

[Soccer Steve]

(Use the discussion threads guys!)

 

[streetSub101]

0,5u Goodman R2 at 4,0
0,5u Jason Kight Dec at 4.0
0,3u DC R3 at 7.0
0,2u DC R4 at 12.0
0,5u David Branch Tko at 3,2
5u Adesanya at 1,3

0,2u Parly Adesanya dec, Cerrone, Jacare, David Branch Tko at 93,3

 

[null]

UFC 230 Risk $1,887.50

Daniel Cormier/Derrick Lewis Over 1½ (+120) $200.00 for $240.00
Daniel Cormier wins by submission (+165) $50.00 for $82.50

Chris Weidman -(155) vs Ronaldo Souza $310.00 for $200.00

David Branch -3½ points (-170) vs Jared Cannonier $127.50 for $75.00
David Branch wins by submission (+450) $25.00 for $112.50

Karl Roberson/Jack Marshman Under 1½ (+117) $100.00 for $117.00

Israel Adesanya -3½ points (-185) vs Derek Brunson $138.75 for $75.00
Israel Adesanya wins in round 3 (+1000) $15.00 for $150.00

Jason Knight/Jordan Rinaldi won't go 3 round distance (-140) $105.00 for $75.00

Sijara Eubanks wins by decision (-162) vs Roxanne Modaferri $121.50 for $75.00

Sheymon Moraes +3½ points (-140) vs Julio Arce $105.00 for $75.00

Lyman Good/Ben Saunders Under 1½ (-141) $141.00 for $100.00
Lyman Good wins in round 2 (+325) $35.00 for $113.75

Lando Vannata wins by KO/TKO/DQ (+145) vs Matt Frevola $50.00 for $72.50

Shane Burgos wins by TKO/KO (+160) $40.00 for $64.00
Shane Burgos/Kurt Holobaugh won't go 3 round distance (-165) $123.75 for $75.00

Brian Kelleher (+149) vs Montel Jackson $100.00 for $149.00

Marcos Rogerio de Lima (+190) vs Adam Wieczorek $100.00 for $190.00

 

[hugdeeznuts]

Roberson by ko/tko
Israel/DC itd
Good/Knight
Eubanks/Arce
Burgos/Lando
Kelleher
Weidman
Branch/DC itd

 

[Dooze]

Had a £10 free bet to use up by midnight on Betfair so went with an outlandish accumulator:

Branch ITD + Arce ITD + Frevola/Vanatta DNGTD + Weidman/Souza GTD + Israel Dec

Returns £1,148.

I don't really like many SU bets for this card so far. Will look at props (Branch sub for sure) and either overs/understand or GTD/DNGTD for most fights.

4U Vanatta ITD @ 1.91
1U Good r2 @ 4.50
1U Arce r2 @ 10.00
1U Arce r3 @ 15.00
1U Israel Dec @ 4.30
1U Marshman @ 4.0
2U Branch Sub @ 5.50

I'll see what I fancy for main/co-main later.

 

[EndlessCritic]

View attachment 464711

I added some to Weidman and Cormier TKO. I will be shocked if Arce or Knight lose.

lol holy fuck do i look like an idiot right now.

 

[hugdeeznuts]

Added dc by sub

 

[thewiggo]

Couple of goods winners tonight...

Hope you guys did well!

Up about £260 not including the doubles bets with Ngannou and Iaquinta still to fight.

 

[Sadistics]

Cormier SUB +195 .2u

Weidman -133 1u
Weidman DEC +220 .17u
Weidman/Jacare GTD +125 .17u
Jacare NSC +118 .66u

Branch -315 1.05u
Branch DEC +152 .6u
Branch SUB +555 .1u

Roberson +145 .15u
Roberson/Marshman DNGTD -200 .33u

Brunson +275 .66u
Brunson/Adesanya O1.5 -129 .2u
Brunson/Adesanya GTD +185 .17u
NOT Adesanya ITD -108 .5u
Brunson RD1 +1000 .05u

Modaferri +3.5 +150 .17u

Arce DEC or RD3 -143 .5u
Arce DEC -115 .2u

Good -285 .95u
Good ITD -132 1.33u
Good/Saunders U1.5 -123 .33u
Good/Saunders DNGTD -168 .8u
Good RD2 +360 .2u

Vannata RD1 +240 .25u

Burgos DEC +205 .25u

Jackson +182 1u

Lima +403 .5u
Wieczorek ITD -110 .2u
Wieczorek RD2 +450 .066u

May add to Branch if he hits -300. Should be a very fun card, GL all.

+1.5u. Was a bit of a roller coaster, ended up with about 2k on Cormier once his line hit -400.

Late/Live plays:

 

[t6p]

0.1u Cormier UD +1450 -0.1u

2.5u Weidman -125 -2.5u
0.05u Weidman RD3 +1100 -0.05u

0.5u Branch-Cannonier FGTD +130 -0.5u

0.5u Marshman +240 -0.5u

1u Brunson +285 -1u
0.9u Brunson NSC +298 -0.9u
0.1u Brunson RD1 +950 -0.1u

0.25u Knight DEC +304 -0.25u
0.15u Rinaldi SUB +1105 -0.1u

0.1u Arce RD3 +1275 -0.1u

0.1u Saunders SUB +1380 -0.1u

0.5u Vannata ITD -116 -0.5u

0.5u Burgos DEC +205 -0.5u

1.8u Kelleher +142 0u
0.2u Kelleher SUB +640 0u

0.5u Rogerio +220 +1.1u
0.5u Rogerio NSC +165 0u

0.75u Vannata/Arce -105 -0.75u
0.25u Burgos/Vannata/Arce/Branch +229 -0.25u
0.05u NOT Adesanya ITD/Weidman-Souza o2.5/Branch-Cannonier o2.5/NOT Cormier RD1 +823 -0.05u
0.025u Adesanya DEC/Branch DEC/Weidman DEC/Cormier SUB +6378 -0.025u
0.05u Good KO/Arce DEC/Eubanks -3.5/Knight DEC +1784 -0.05u
0.05u Rogerio/Kelleher/Burgos/Vannata +1035 +0.142u
0.025u Rogerio ITD/Kelleher DEC/Burgos DEC/Vannata ITD +6718 -0.025u
0.05u Rogerio/Kelleher/Burgos/Vannata/Arce/Brunson/Branch/Weidman +12116 -0.05u
0.025u Lima KO/Kelleher DEC/Burgos DEC/Vannata ITD/Arce DEC/Brunson KO/Branch DEC/Weidman DEC +1014494 -0.025u

NET: -7.183u

Worst card ever for me since I started keeping track almost 2 years ago. Just not my night.