Your official UFC 230 BETS

lefontes

lefontes

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Your official UFC 230 *BETS*

Here we go!

Marcos Rogério Lima 1u @3.30 Bet365
Brian Kelleher 1u @2.30 Bet365
Daniel Cormier Wins Round 2 - 0.4u @4 Bet365
Daniel Cormier Wins Round 3 - 0.1u @9 Bet365
Over 1.5 Adesanya/Brunson 1u @1.75 Mollybet
Over 1.5 Roberson/Marshman 1u @1.77
Mollybet

More coming...
 
Last edited:
Total of $185 bucks on Lima at +215. That's it so far.
 
Cormier SUB +195 .2u

Weidman -133 1u
Weidman DEC +220 .17u
Weidman/Jacare GTD +125 .17u
Jacare NSC +115 .5u

Branch DEC +152 .6u
Branch SUB +555 .1u

Roberson +145 .15u

Brunson +275 .66u
Brunson RD1 +1000 .05u
Brunson/Adesanya O1.5 -129 .2u
Brunson/Adesanya GTD +185 .17u
NOT Adesanya ITD -108 .5u

Arce DEC or RD3 -143 .5u
Arce DEC -115 .2u

Good -285 .95u
Good ITD -132 1.33u
Good/Saunders U1.5 -123 .5u
Good/Saunders DNGTD -168 .8u
Good RD2 +360 .2u

Vannata RD1 +240 .25u

Burgos DEC +205 .25u

Jackson +182 1u

Lima +300 1u


Would be bigger on a lot of these lines if not for limits. Probably arb off half my Lima stake, and waiting on a few lines to improve.
 
Had a £10 free bet to use up by midnight on Betfair so went with an outlandish accumulator:

Branch ITD + Arce ITD + Frevola/Vanatta DNGTD + Weidman/Souza GTD + Israel Dec

Returns £1,148.

I don't really like many SU bets for this card so far. Will look at props (Branch sub for sure) and either overs/understand or GTD/DNGTD for most fights.
 
Took 6 plays for this card.

0.500u Marcos Rogério de Lima +187
0.500u Jordan Rinaldi +200
0.500u Weidman vs Souza FGTD +110
0.750u Derek Lewis KO, TKO, DQ, SUB +650
0.381u DC/Lewis Over 2.5 +275
0.500u DC/Lewis Over 1.5 +130

Total units bet: 3.131u
Total units won: TBD
 
$102/$100
New England ml win
Philadelphia 76ers ml win
Golden State -ml win
Denver Nuggets ml win
Daniel Cormier ml

$100/$120
New England winning half/game win
Sijara Eubanks -560
Daniel Cormier -770
Kansas City ml

$159/$108
Nasrat Haqparist -835 win
Daniel Cormier -770
Santiago Ponzinibio -305

$100/$115
Weidman Souza goes to dec +115

$100/$125
Cormier by sub +125
 
0.1u Cormier UD +1450

2.5u Weidman -125

0.5u Branch-Cannonier FGTD +130

0.5u Marshman +240

1u Brunson +285
0.1u Brunson RD1 +950

0.25u Knight DEC +304
0.15u Rinaldi SUB +1105

0.1u Arce RD3 +1275

0.1u Saunders SUB +1380

0.5u Vannata ITD -116

0.5u Burgos DEC +205

1u Kelleher +135
0.2u Kelleher SUB +640

0.5u Rogerio +220

0.05u NOT Adesanya ITD/Weidman-Souza o2.5/Branch-Cannonier o2.5/NOT Cormier RD1 +823
0.025u Adesanya DEC/Branch DEC/Weidman DEC/Cormier SUB +6378
0.05u Good KO/Arce DEC/Eubanks -3.5/Knight DEC +1784
0.05u Rogerio/Kelleher/Burgos/Vannata +1035
0.025u Rogerio ITD/Kelleher DEC/Burgos DEC/Vannata ITD +6718

Still considering a few other plays and hoping for some line movement.
 
why put good money on DE Lima? Am I missing something? I mean of course he has the KO shot, but the guy has lost 3 of his last 5 fights by sub and is going against a man who has 6 subs in 10 wins.... seems like a tough matchup for someone who is only a +180
 
branch dec
adesanya tko
adesanya vs brunson over 1.5
dc vs bb ends via ko/tko
parlay dc vs bb over 1.5 and montel vs kelleher over 2.5
parlay arce good branch roberson ml
parlay jackson branch jacare roberson ml
parlay vanata eubanks adesanya
more parlays
 
Jacare at +185
Saunders at -400
Roxanne at -400
Derrick at -700

Didn’t spend too much don’t worry.
 
3u - Cormier/Lewis o1.5 @ 2.30
2u - Cormier/Lewis starts round 3 @ 3.31
1u - Cormier/Lewis starts round 4 @ 4.78
degenerate week for me, 6u on one fight
 
kevinramsdell said:
why put good money on DE Lima? Am I missing something? I mean of course he has the KO shot, but the guy has lost 3 of his last 5 fights by sub and is going against a man who has 6 subs in 10 wins.... seems like a tough matchup for someone who is only a +180
Click to expand...

"but the guy has lost 3 of his last 5 fights by sub and is going against a man who has 6 subs in 10 wins"
Te Edwards was on a winning streak and could could finish off fighters in 4 minutes and look what happened the underdog won out of nowhere, no one was expecting an underdog. So the point is just because DE Lima had has lost 3 of his last 5 fights by sub doesnt mean that the fighter would lose again and if De Lima does well with his Cardio well we can expect a KO. don't count out underdogs.
 
Brunson 1 unit at 3.5
Cormier Lewis over 1.5 1 unit at 2.2
 
ufc230.jpg

I added some to Weidman and Cormier TKO. I will be shocked if Arce or Knight lose.
 
kevinramsdell said:
why put good money on DE Lima? Am I missing something? I mean of course he has the KO shot, but the guy has lost 3 of his last 5 fights by sub and is going against a man who has 6 subs in 10 wins.... seems like a tough matchup for someone who is only a +180
Click to expand...
Weiczorek barely beat Hamilton, which is all the justification you need to fade him.
 
Updated with more plays. Added Brunson/Rogerio NSC and more to Kelleher ML. A couple other little prop stabs and some dumb parlays as well. I'll be at the event so I might add along the way depending on how things are going. GL all.

0.1u Cormier UD +1450

2.5u Weidman -125
0.05u Weidman RD3 +1100

0.5u Branch-Cannonier FGTD +130

0.5u Marshman +240

1u Brunson +285
0.9u Brunson NSC +298
0.1u Brunson RD1 +950

0.25u Knight DEC +304
0.15u Rinaldi SUB +1105

0.1u Arce RD3 +1275

0.1u Saunders SUB +1380

0.5u Vannata ITD -116

0.5u Burgos DEC +205

1.8u Kelleher +142
0.2u Kelleher SUB +640

0.5u Rogerio +220
0.5u Rogerio NSC +165

0.75u Vannata/Arce -105
0.25u Burgos/Vannata/Arce/Branch +229
0.05u NOT Adesanya ITD/Weidman-Souza o2.5/Branch-Cannonier o2.5/NOT Cormier RD1 +823
0.025u Adesanya DEC/Branch DEC/Weidman DEC/Cormier SUB +6378
0.05u Good KO/Arce DEC/Eubanks -3.5/Knight DEC +1784
0.05u Rogerio/Kelleher/Burgos/Vannata +1035
0.025u Rogerio ITD/Kelleher DEC/Burgos DEC/Vannata ITD +6718
0.05u Rogerio/Kelleher/Burgos/Vannata/Arce/Brunson/Branch/Weidman +12116
0.025u Lima KO/Kelleher DEC/Burgos DEC/Vannata ITD/Arce DEC/Brunson KO/Branch DEC/Weidman DEC +1014494
 
EndlessCritic said:
Weiczorek barely beat Hamilton, which is all the justification you need to fade him.
Click to expand...

Weiczorek was shockingly gassed out in that bout, terrible stamina to match the non-existent tank of Hamilton. That fight was razor close, neither did much of anything.
 
Cormier SUB +195 .2u

Weidman -133 1u
Weidman DEC +220 .17u
Weidman/Jacare GTD +125 .17u
Jacare NSC +118 .66u

Branch -315 1.05u
Branch DEC +152 .6u
Branch SUB +555 .1u

Roberson +145 .15u
Roberson/Marshman DNGTD -200 .33u

Brunson +275 .66u
Brunson/Adesanya O1.5 -129 .2u
Brunson/Adesanya GTD +185 .17u
NOT Adesanya ITD -108 .5u
Brunson RD1 +1000 .05u

Modaferri +3.5 +150 .17u

Arce DEC or RD3 -143 .5u
Arce DEC -115 .2u

Good -285 .95u
Good ITD -132 1.33u
Good/Saunders U1.5 -123 .33u
Good/Saunders DNGTD -168 .8u
Good RD2 +360 .2u

Vannata RD1 +240 .25u

Burgos DEC +205 .25u

Jackson +182 1u

Lima +403 .5u
Wieczorek ITD -110 .2u
Wieczorek RD2 +450 .066u

May add to Branch if he hits -300. Should be a very fun card, GL all.
 
kevinramsdell said:
why put good money on DE Lima? Am I missing something? I mean of course he has the KO shot, but the guy has lost 3 of his last 5 fights by sub and is going against a man who has 6 subs in 10 wins.... seems like a tough matchup for someone who is only a +180
Click to expand...

wieczorek has no wrestling and is generally bad and on short notice flying in from poland.
 
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