Your Official UFC 211 Bets | Page 5

Discussion in 'MMA Betting Discussion' started by EzFlyer, Apr 19, 2017.

  1. Tony J Orange Belt

    Tony J
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    #81
  2. Kowboy Karl Brown Belt

    Kowboy Karl
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    Yair
    Maia
    Joanna
    Jds

    20-268
    Parlay
     
    #82
  3. Kowboy Karl Brown Belt

    Kowboy Karl
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    Yikes. I felt dumb betting Aguilar when I saw the size advantage

    Didn't seem so drastic at weigh ins

    Girl fights smh
     
    #83
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  4. Tony J Orange Belt

    Tony J
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  5. Tony J Orange Belt

    Tony J
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    Boys and girls, do not chase. Very unhealthy. Plan B = Branch.

    Everytime I put a bet down pre-fight, not so good. Man, this will only make me more superstitious.
     
    #85
  6. Thunderflash500 Silver Belt

    Thunderflash500
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    I got emotional after Yair got totally wrecked. Put more money on Maia. End of first Round I was freaking out. Thankfully he came back. Overall profit of $85. I'm happy with it. If Holloway spanks Aldo I'll be even happier. But very happy at least the judging was right. That would have been a god damn shame if they stole that victory. Getting the back should be worth points. It's not just a submission attempt. It's utter dominance.
     
    #86
  7. piglord Brown Belt

    piglord
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    a night to forget for me, brutal main card.

    Poirier £78 returns £153 (VOID)

    WINS

    Sherman, vick £50 returns £128

    Knight £100 returns £200

    Branch £50 returns £125

    LOSS

    Jds £100 returns £250

    Jds £28 returns £67

    Andrade £100 returns £250

    Casey, knight, Poirier (VOID), Andrade, sherman £20 (free bet) returns £279

    Masvidal/maia draw £10 returns £817

    Masvidal £100 returns £210

    Masvidal £50 returns £100

    Masival £75 returns £157

    Masvidal ko, andrade itd, yair, Poirier (VOID) £10 returns £247

    Yair £200 returns £500

    Jotko £50 returns £100

    Christensen £15 returns £65

    Jotko, vick, casey, Poirier, yair, pettis, benitez, masvidal, knight £10 returns £715

    Vick, jotko, yair, knight, Poirier, casey, sherman, benitez, Andrade, masvidal ko £7 returns £4475

    Benitez, vick £120 returns £250

    Benitez, vick £50 returns £102

    Christensen, benitez, sherman, casey, vick, jotko, knight, rodriguez, Poirier, masvidal, Andrade, jds £5 (free bet) returns £17000

    LOSS: £672
     
    #87
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  8. NorthernLights Orange Belt

    NorthernLights
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    3u Maia - 2.10
    2u Miocic - 1.84

    2u Benitez - 1.72
    1.5u Edgar - 1.75
    1.5u Alvarez - 2.02
    1.5u Knight - 1.87
    0.5u Benitez + Knight - 2.81
    0.5u Benitez + Jotko/Branch o2.5 - 2.13

    0.5u Sherman - 1.72
    0.25u Reyes - 4.12
    0.1u Benitez ITD - 3.75
    0.1u Sherman R1 - 3.25
    0.1u Knight DEC - 3.75
    0.1u Andrade ITD - 4.33
    0.05u Benitez R3 - 23.00
    0.05u - Benitez ITD + Sherman + Alvarez DEC + Edgar DEC - 56.37
    0.05u Edgar R3 - 23.00


    Live bets or late additions:

    0.05u Maia R2 - 9.00
    0.05u Maia R3 - 21.00

    0.5u Branch - 1.80
    0,1u Knight ITD - 9.00
    0,25u Frankie ITD - 3.10
    1u JJ - 1.75

    Total: +6,4u

    I went way too big on Benitez, other than that I can't really complain. Solid night!
     
    #88
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  9. Jamah Blue Belt

    Jamah
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    -2.7u , I should have live bet, but no excuses , the hype got me.
     
    #89
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  10. Antagonist88 Blue Belt

    Antagonist88
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    Actually finished down like .8u despite being 6-3 on straights. Like I predicted though, definitely the time where I really take a look at my betting structure. Waaay too hard on Christensen, and cost myself a lot of money with my stupid parlays and prop hedging. For the next card I'll be practicing more restraint, and limiting myself to straight bets and maybe a lotto. Will also concentrate more on my sizing of props since this was still only my second card with access to them.

    All in all, great card to watch. I was able to pull in like 3u livebetting, so I'll consider it a slightly profitable learning experience. No regrets on Jotko, the heavyweight under, and the Polo stab, but definitely regret the parlays, dumb prop hedging, and how hard I went on Christensen.

    Hope everyone else actually made money on their correct picks, haha.
     
    #90
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  11. ChoKuRei Orange Belt

    ChoKuRei
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    $1500 bet on Alvarez returned after NC

    $1000 rolled over to JJ for $500 return

    $350 to JDS for $500 (loss)

    All in all ended +$150 for the night
     
    #91
  12. Orion Brown Belt

    Orion
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    Still bummed the Eddie fight went to shit. Was starting to feel good about Eddie Dec @ +550 as the momentum was shifting

    Main profit was singles on Maia/Edgar/Branch and a parlay with the 3. Up about 8u overall. Was sweating bullets as Masvidal was landing those leg kicks and Maia was shooting naked shots.

    Goofed a couple cheap lotto tickets and a $3 entry on DK (Barzola over Maia would've been 2 grand. Such is life):

    par1.png par3.png par2.png
     
    #92
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  13. Joseph Budden GTM Gym, Tan, Make #Elite Bets

    Joseph Budden
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    [​IMG]

    1.66u for me. win streak stays alive but not very happy with my performance tonight
     
    #93
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  14. EzFlyer Senior Moderator

    EzFlyer
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    UFC 211 Net: +1,464.96
    Miocic -123: 245 for 200 / miocic DEC: 10 parlays / DEC: 15 parlays / O2.0: 69 for 50
    Andrade +243: 210 for 510 - 21 parlays / andrade DEC: 10 parlays / andrade SUB: 15 for 125.25
    / O3.5: 140 for 100 / ITD: 10 for 60
    maia +100: 376.09 for 375 - 21 parlays / maia DEC: 50 for 218 - 10 parlays / maia SUB: 50 for 217.50 - 15 parlays / masvidal RD3: 10 for 120
    edgar -130: 260 for 200 / edgar DEC: 21 parlays / edgar -3.5: 15 parlays / ITD: 33 for 51.15
    branch +100: 250 for 250 / branch DEC: 21 parlays / O2.5: 295 for 150

    alvarez +100: 100 for 100 / alvarez DEC: 74 for 358.36 - 10 parlays / DEC: 100 for 205 - 21 parlays
    skelly: 15 for 50 / skelly DEC: 10 parlays / knight RD3: 10 for 155
    sherman -120: 90 for 75
    / sherman SUB: 10 for 106.50
    polo +348: 100 for 347.50 / polo +3.5: 36 parlays / vick DEC: 10 parlays

    casey -104: 129.50 for 125 / casey ITD: 15 parlays / casey NSC: 77.50 for 50
    barzola +140: 100 for 140 / barzola DEC: 36 parlays / O2.5: 99 for 55
    christensen +350: 50 for 175 / christensen RD3: 5 for 107.50 / christensen +3.5: 15 parlays
    props
    draws: 25 for (paid -23) 1500+
    FOTN: skelly-knight: 15 for 112.50

    parlays
    35 RR for 1,074.19: JDSStipeDEC/ MaiaSUB/ edgar-3.5/ reyes+3.5/ caseyITD/ barzolaDEC/ christ+3.5
    49 RR for (paid +8.41) 853.61: andrade/ maia/ edgarDEC/ branchDEC/ poirieralvarezDEC/ reyes+3.5/ barzolaDEC
    30 RR for (-20.60) 787.89: miocicDEC/ andradeDEC/ maiaDEC/ alvarezDEC/ skellyDEC/ vickDEC
    ---

    had a lot of big bets for me going in here, very pleased w/the result.

    should've made more on stipe/frankie. especially frankie.
     
    #94
  15. TheFactor141 Yellow Belt

    TheFactor141
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    I was at a concert tonight so I couldn't watch live and wasn't home to post my preflight plays but here they are:

    UFC 211
    Total Risk: 19.84u
    Profit/Loss: +5.26u

    Straight Bets (+8.07u)
    4.75u - Edgar ML -137 (won 3.67u)

    4.75u - Poirier ML -129 (No Bet - No Contest)
    4.75u - Maia ML -108 (won 4.4u)

    Props (-2.42u)
    1.67u - Maia Sub +225
    0.75u - Masdival KO/TKO/DQ +225


    Parlays
    (-0.39u)
    0.83u to win 5.38u - Poirier/Cejudo/Edgar/Maia (won 1.94u)
    2.33u to win 16u - Maia/Andrade/Miocic (lost 2.33u)

    I'm looking forward to watching this card tomorrow when I wake up. Should have just put the OVER or fight goes to DEC in the 3 leg parlay for the WMMA fight but I didn't have a lot of time to place it and I had to do it on my phone.

    Hope everyone had a good night and won some money
     
    #95
    Last edited: May 14, 2017
  16. Obsidian Fracture No sunshine when it's on

    Obsidian Fracture
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    Refund:
    1.25U Poirer @ $2.00

    Hit:

    1.5U Joanna Champion @ $1.55 = $33 profit
    1.25U Maia @ $1.80 = $40 profit
    0.75U Maia @ 2.05 = $31.50 profit
    1U Edgar @ $1.48 = $19.20 profit
    1.25U Edgar @ $1.80 = $40 profit
    Total = +$163.70

    Missed:
    0.625U Dos Santos @ $2.55 = -$25
    1U Dos Santos @ $2.45 = -$40
    1.25U Dos Santos/Miocic O1.5 @ $1.50 = -$60
    1.25U Jotko @ $1.67 = -$60
    1.13U Skelly @ 1.90 = -$45
    Total = -$230

    Net = -$66.30 (about -1.5U)

    Not a great night for me. Was hoping JDS had a lot more fight in him than he did, props to Stipe for those lightning fast hands!
     
    #96
  17. Yotsuya Orange Belt

    Yotsuya
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    Alvarez's illegal knees cost me 4u and my first losing semipro event. After live bets (Branch + Knight=1u) my total loss is slightly less than 1u (ROI -5%). I know I should not bet heavy on technical analysis (because I suck at that and only see what I want to see) and yet I had 2u on both Reyes and Rodriquez.

    I lost all my parlays, but I think I figured a way to use then effectively as insurance. Betting small against my own picks on lines that have risen in value serves as an insurance. I should have done couple more like Skelly - JDS - Edgar instead of spamming Reyes, which I thought was the best value line, but in which I already had invested in.

    Edit. I also lost all every prop bet I came up by myself. How about that...
     
    #97
    Last edited: May 14, 2017
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  18. stretcharmstrong Orange Belt

    stretcharmstrong
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    Draw props were obviously a long shot finding out the old rules were in play...
    Added
    1u Benitez @1.70 L
    1.6u Maia @1.95 W + 1.52u
    2u Alvarez @2.10 push
    05u Maia/Alvarez W +0.47u

    Total profit +5.29u

    Great card, feel so dumb today for not hammering Frankie/JJ
     
    #98
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  19. t6p Green Belt

    t6p
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    1.56u Miocic -117 +1.33u
    0.2u Miocic RD1 +475 +0.95u

    2.5u Andrade NSC -125 +0u
    1u Andrade +160 -1u
    0.3u Andrade SUB +835 -0.3u

    3u Maia -122 +2.46u
    0.5u Maia SUB +435 -0.5u
    0.2u Masvidal RD3 +1325 -0.2u
    0.1u Maia-Masvidal DRAW +5500 -0.1u

    1.2u Edgar -120 +1u
    0.1u Edgar SUB +1175 -0.1u

    0.87u Jotko -172 -0.87u
    1u NOT Volkov ITD/Jotko-Branch o2.5 -121 +0.83u
    1u Wizards (Game 3)/Jotko-Branch o2.5 +103 +1.03u

    2.5u Alvarez +100 +0u
    0.2u Alvarez KO +580 +0u
    0.3u Alvarez DEC +550 +0u

    0.5u Knight +270 +1.35u
    1u Knight NSC +110 +1.1u
    0.1u Knight RD3 +1300 +1.3u

    0.5u Vick SUB +215 -0.5u

    1.65u Benitez -165 -1.65u

    0.1u NOT Masvidal ITD/Andrade NSC/Reyes-Vick ITD/Branch-Jotko o2.5/Casey NSC +0.21u
    0.1u Alvarez/Edgar/Maia-Masvidal ITD/Andrade +1561 -0.1u
    0.55u RR (2s,3s,4) Branch DEC +250/Rodriguez ITD +390/Masvidal ITD +217/JDS ITD +240 -0.55u

    NET: +5.69u

    Slightly disappointed with the result based on how I feel like I capped the card. But I'll definitely take any win with how this year has gone for me so far. This was actually my best night of the year up to this point (kinda sad lol), but it puts me back to almost exactly even overall. Hopefully the rest of the year will treat me better. It was sad to see the Eddie vs DP fight end the way it did. Awesome fight and it looked like Eddie had the momentum. Congrats to all the winners.
     
    #99
  20. timmyclax22 Blue Belt

    timmyclax22
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    Andrade (+168) to win 1.5U
    Andrade ITD (+300) to win .5U

    Maia (-105) to win 1U
    Edgar (-120) to win 1U

    Edgar Decision (+128) to win .5U
    Alvarez Decision (+294) to win 1U
    Alvarez Decision (+786) to win 8U

    Vick Sub (+165) to win 1U
    Coulter (+110) to win 1U
    Christenson Rd3 (+2100) to win 1U

    Knight (+105) to win 1U
    Branch (+110) to win .5U


    $12 Round Robin (2's) to win $159.49
    $4 Round Robin (3's) to win $204.14
    $.50 4 team parlay to win $91.69
    Edgar Decision (+145) + Andrade ITD (+290) + Maia Decision (+436) + Alvarez Decision (+260)

    +.32U HA! Still learning. No more parlays and I should've been bigger on Edgar and not on Andrade at all.
     
    #100

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